Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues Picks and Predictions for Tuesday January 27 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/27/2026, 06:55 AM ET
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The Dallas Stars head to Enterprise Center to face the St. Louis Blues on Tuesday, January 27, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. This Central Division matchup will be broadcast on ESPN+ and Hulu and features two teams heading in very different directions as the season progresses. Dallas enters as the road favorite with the Stars listed at -155 on the moneyline, while St. Louis comes back at +130. The total is set at 6.5 goals with the over priced at +120 and the under at -135, and the puck line lists Dallas -1.5 at +164 against St. Louis +1.5 at -198. For more daily analysis and betting insight, make sure to check out our free NHL picks.

Dallas Stars: Strong on the Road With Elite Special Teams

Dallas comes into this contest with a 29-14-9 overall record and has been one of the most reliable road teams in the NHL, posting a 15-7-6 mark away from home. The Stars have played a demanding schedule recently, as they have recently won over St. Louis and Boston, while also recently losing to Columbus, Tampa Bay, and Utah. That stretch highlights some inconsistency, but Dallas has largely remained competitive against quality opponents.

From a statistical standpoint, Dallas is one of the more complete teams in the league. The Stars average 3.25 goals per game while allowing just 2.71, giving them a strong positive goal differential. They do not overwhelm teams with shot volume at 25.3 shots per game, but they focus on high-quality scoring chances and defensive positioning, limiting opponents to 27.4 shots per contest.

Where Dallas truly separates itself is on special teams. The Stars boast one of the NHLโ€™s top power plays at 29.1 percent, converting 44 power play goals this season. That efficiency can quickly change the complexion of a game, especially against teams that struggle to stay disciplined. While Dallasโ€™ penalty kill sits at 79.5 percent, they have not allowed a shorthanded goal against and remain effective at limiting damage when down a man.

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St. Louis Blues: Searching for Stability at Home

St. Louis enters Tuesdayโ€™s matchup with a 19-24-9 overall record and a 12-9-6 mark on home ice. While Enterprise Center has provided some stability, the Blues have struggled to keep pace with stronger teams. Over their last five games, St. Louis has recently lost to Los Angeles, Dallas, Winnipeg, and Edmonton, while also recently winning over Tampa Bay in a shootout. That stretch underscores ongoing issues with defensive consistency and offensive production.

Offensively, the Blues average just 2.42 goals per game, one of the lower marks in the league, and generate only 24.8 shots per contest. Those numbers place added pressure on their defense, which has struggled to contain opponents. St. Louis allows 3.39 goals per game and nearly 28 shots against, often spending extended time defending in their own zone.

Special teams have also been a concern for St. Louis. Their power play converts at 17.3 percent, while the penalty kill sits at a vulnerable 74.8 percent. Against a Dallas team with an elite power play, that mismatch could be decisive. While the Blues do have five shorthanded goals this season, relying on short-handed scoring is not a sustainable path to success, especially against disciplined opponents.

Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues Pick

Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues Pick

  • Pick: Dallas Stars -155 (Moneyline)

Dallas holds clear advantages in offensive efficiency, defensive structure, and special teams. The Starsโ€™ ability to capitalize on power play opportunities directly targets one of St. Louisโ€™ biggest weaknesses. While road games in division matchups can be tricky, Dallas has consistently shown it can win away from home and manage tight situations late. Backing the Stars on the moneyline is the safer option given the disparity in form and underlying metrics.

Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 6.5

Iโ€™m leaning toward the under in this matchup because Dallas plays a controlled style that limits scoring chances when protecting leads. St. Louis has struggled to generate consistent offense, particularly against structured defensive teams. Even if Dallas does most of the scoring, the Bluesโ€™ limited offensive output makes it difficult for this game to reach seven total goals.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 4, St. Louis Blues 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.

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