Dallas Stars vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction for Thursday, October 30, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an interconference tilt on the ice as a pair of teams collide when the Dallas Stars take on the Tampa Bay Lightning Thursday night in the Sunshine State, and we have the inside scoop with our Stars vs. Lightning prediction. Dallas picked up a 1-0 home victory over Washington Tuesday night in their previous contest as part of the NHL’s Frozen Frenzy. Tampa Bay earned a 5-2 road win over Nashville on Tuesday night in their previous contest. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Lightning own a 6-4 advantage, including a 3-2 shootout win on the road in the most recent meeting on March 20. Read more about this Stars vs. Lightning prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
Stars Looking to Build Momentum With Road Win
Dallas won their third straight game as they blanked Washington at home in a defensive struggle Tuesday night. The Stars entered Wednesday 6-3-1 and were fourth in the Central Division, three points behind the Mammoth and Avalanche for the top spot. Dallas stands 23rd in the league in goals per game as they average 2.80 goals per contest on the year. The Stars stand tied for 12th in the league in goals against as they allow an average of three goals a night this season. Dallas is 3rd when it comes to success on the power play as they convert on 31.4% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Stars are 24th in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 71% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Washington, goals were at a premium, but Dallas did enough to skate away with a victory on home ice. The Stars held a 9-8 shot advantage in the opening period, but skated off with the game scoreless after 20 minutes of play. In the second period, Dallas was outshot 10-5 but scored the lone goal of the stanza to lead 1-0 at the second intermission. Tyler Seguin scored his third goal of the year, on the power play, 43 seconds into the period off assists from Miro Heiskanen and Mikko Rantanen. The third period saw the Stars outshot 6-5 with neither side lighting the lamp, leaving them up a goal as time expired. Jake Oettinger made 24 saves for Dallas, who were outshot 24-19, to earn the shutout win. Oettinger (5-2-1, 2.61 GAA, .909 save percentage, shutout) is expected to get the start in net here.
Centers Matt Duchene (upper body), along with Chase Wheatcroft (wrist), left wing Jamie Benn (upper body) along with defenseman Nils Lundkvist (lower body) is out indefinitely. Roope Hintz (undisclosed) and Oskar Back (upper body) both missed Tuesday’s game and are considered day-to-day.
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Tampa Bay Seeking Fourth Straight Victory
Tampa Bay ran their win streak to three games as they took down Nashville on the road Tuesday night in their previous contest. The Lightning entered Wednesday 4-4-2 on the season and stood tied for sixth in the Atlantic Division, six points behind Montreal for the top spot. Tampa Bay went into Wednesday tied for 21st in the league in goals per game as they put up an average of 2.90 goals per contest. The Lightning stands tied for 12th in goals against by allowing three goals per game. Tampa Bay is tied for 28th with the man advantage as they cash in on 14.3% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Lightning are 7th in penalty killing as they successfully work through 88.2% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Nashville, Tampa Bay was clicking offensively and they took care of business against the Predators. The Lightning held an 11-8 shot advantage in the opening period and skated off with a 1-0 edge on the scoreboard after 20 minutes. Zemgus Girgensons scored his first goal of the season at 10:31 off assists from Pontus Holmberg and Yanni Gourde. In the second period, the Lightning controlled play as they outshot the Predators 13-3 and outscored them 1-0 to lead 2-0 at the second intermission. Brandon Hagel scored his second goal of the season at 15:37 with Anthony Cirelli drawing the lone assist. The third period saw Tampa Bay outshot 9-6 and they outscored Nashville 3-2 to secure the win. After Nashville scored to make it a 2-1 game, Charle-Edouard D'Astous tallied his first NHL goal at 7:58 off assists from Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov. The Predators closed to within a goal again before Kucherov tallied his fourth of the season, into an empty net, at 19:07 off assists from Hagel and Cirelli. Girgensons closed the scoring with his second goal of the night and the year at 19:33 with Holmberg and Erik Cernak drawing the assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 18 saves for the Lightning, who owned a 30-20 shot advantage, in the win. Vasilevskiy (2-3-2, 2.86 GAA, .892 save percentage) is expected to get the start in goal here.
Left wing Nick Paul (upper body) is expected to be out until early November while defenseman Max Crozier (undisclosed) is expected to miss this contest. Defenseman Darren Raddysh (personal) is questionable for this one.
Stars vs. Lightning Pick
Stars vs. Lightning Moneyline Pick
- Stars +118 (4 units)
Both teams come in on three-game win streaks so something has to give here. Tampa Bay hasn’t been sharp offensively for a team still anchored by skilled forwards led by Kucherov and Point. It’s been a grind for the Lightning to find the back of the net and one good offensive performance doesn’t mean that they’re back to what we’ve seen in recent years. Dallas just handcuffed Washington Tuesday night and has allowed a total of seven goals in their last four games. Expecting a big showing from the Bolts here might be overestimating them. Expect a tight-checking game and Dallas does enough to skate away with a road win behind Oettinger.
Stars vs. Lightning Over/Under Pick
- Under 6.5 (-130)
Dallas has seen the under post a 6-4 mark in their 10 games on the season. The Stars have posted an average total of 5.80 goals per game on the season and that number climbs slightly to 6.50 goals per game on the road this season. Tampa Bay has split their 10 games this season in relation to the total entering Wednesday night. The Lightning have seen an average of 5.90 goals per game this season and that number bumps to 6.40 goals per game at home. We’ve seen the under post a 3-1-1 mark in their last five meetings and with both teams struggling to dent the twine, take the under in this contest.
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