Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets Picks and Prediction for Thursday, October 9, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a matchup of Central Division teams on the ice in the City of Lights when the Dallas Stars take on the Winnipeg Jets Thursday night and we have the inside scoop with our Stars vs. Jets prediction. Dallas finished the 2024-25 campaign 50-26-6 and finished second in the Central Division. The Stars advanced to the Western Conference Finals, where they fell in five games to the Oilers. Winnipeg posted a 56-22-4 mark and won the Central Division last year. They fell in six games in the second round to the Stars. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Jets own a 5-4-1 advantage, though the Stars took a 2-1 overtime win at home in the most recent matchup May 17. Read more about this Stars vs. Jets prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
Stars Hoping Change at the Top Leads to Success
Dallas finished second in the Central Division and reached the Western Conference Finals for the third straight year last season before getting dropped by Edmonton. While most teams would be happy for that showing, the Stars made a change, firing Peter DeBoer, who had the league’s best points percentage (.665) during his tenure, after the season. Glen Gulutzan, who coached the Stars from 2011-13 and spent the last seven seasons as an assistant with the Oilers, is back behind the bench. He inherits a team that is pretty much intact from last season. The lone acquisitions the team made in free agency were the additions of Radek Faksa (Blues) and Nathan Bastian (Devils) during the summer. Dallas lost a few pieces as Mikael Granlund (Ducks), Cody Ceci (Kings), Evgenii Dadonov (Devils) and Matej Blumel (Bruins) all inked deals elsewhere. They also must replace Mason Marchment, who was traded to Seattle. Matt Duchene led the Stars with 82 points last season, while Jason Robertson dented the twine a team-high 35 times to pace the team in that department.
Last season, Dallas finished tied for 3rd in the league in goals per game as they averaged 3.35 goals per contest. The Stars finished 6th in the league in goals against as they allowed an average of 2.71 goals a night last season. Dallas was 17th when it comes to success on the power play as they converted on 22% of their chances with the man advantage in the 2024-25 campaign. The Stars were tied for 4th in penalty killing as they successfully navigated 82% of their shorthanded situations on the year. Jake Oettinger, who made 58 starts for the Stars last season before clashing with DeBoer in the postseason, is slated to get the start here. He was 36-18-4 with a 2.59 GAA, a .909 save percentage and two shutouts last season.
Winnipeg Trying to Take Another Step in 2025-26
Winnipeg won the Central Division title last season, racking up a franchise record 116 points, but faltered in the postseason. After being pushed to double overtime in Game 7 by St. Louis in the opening round before advancing, the Jets fell to Dallas in six games in the second round. Winnipeg signed Kyle Connor to an eight-year extension in the offseason while their other acquisitions were one-year depth deals. Gustav Nyquist (Wild), Tanner Pearson (Golden Knights) and Cole Koepke (Bruins) are the biggest signings the team made in the offseason. There are some major pieces they have to replace, though, as Nikolaj Ehlers (Hurricanes), Brandon Tanev (Mammoth), Mason Appleton (Red Wings) and Dominic Toninato (Blackhawks) have moved on in the offseason. Kyle Connor led Winnipeg with 41 goals and 97 points last season.
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Winnipeg finished the 2024-25 season ranked tied for 3rd in the league in goals for as they averaged 3.35 goals a night. The Jets were first in the league in goals against as they allowed 2.32 goals per contest last year. Winnipeg led the league on the power play by cashing in on 28.9% of the chances with the man advantage last season. The Jets were 13th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigated 79.4% of their shorthanded situations in the 2024-25 campaign. Connor Hellebuyck, who won the Hart and Vezina Trophies last season, is expected to get the start in goal here. He made 63 appearances, 62 starts, last season and posted a 47-12-10 mark with a 2.00 GAA, a .925 save percentage and eight shutouts.
Stars vs. Jets Pick
Stars vs. Jets Moneyline Pick
- Jets -102
Neither team was overly proactive, deciding that their rosters from last year were good enough to carry them to the postseason again. The Stars have to hope that the departure of DeBoer and reimplementation of Gulutzan as head coach won’t throw things off for the team. Dallas has to hope it can mend fences with Oettinger after the bad blood that seemed to bubble up in the postseason. Winnipeg has to replace Ehlers, which is going to be a test for Scott Arniel’s group. Hellebuyck was tremendous last season, hence his winning of the Hart for Most Valuable Player and the Vezina as the league’s top goaltender. Look for the Jets to find a way to do enough offensively to win a tight contest.
Stars vs. Jets Over/Under Pick
- Under 5.5 (-105)
Dallas saw the under post a 42-32-8 mark in the regular season in 2024-25 and followed that up by having the under post a 10-8 mark in the playoffs. The Stars had an average total of 6.06 goals per game and that number bumped to 6.22 goals per game as the visiting team. Winnipeg saw the under post a 45-34-3 mark in the regular season though the over was 7-6 in their postseason run. The Jets saw an average total of 5.67 goals per game on the year and that number plummets to 5.34 goals per game at home. Five of the six meetings in the postseason fell short of the total. With two elite goaltenders and the way Winnipeg stifled teams at home last season, this game falls short of the total.
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