Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, December 20, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 12/20/2025, 05:45 AM ET
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The Detroit Red Wings face the Washington Capitals in a matchup of two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. The Red Wings are 19-13-3 and with five wins in their last seven games, they have the best record in the Atlantic Division. The Capitals have a 19-11-4 record and have the second-best record in the Metropolitan Division. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Red Wings vs Capitals prediction!

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Detroit is led by a great offense

The Red Wings are having a great season with their offense leading the way and scoring 3.03 goals per game. Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Larkin, and Lucas Raymond have scored 47 goals and 62 assists while defenseman Moritz Seider has added four goals and 20 assists to open up the offense.

The offense has been great but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.23 goals per game. Moritz Seider and Ben Chairot have combined for 5.0 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. The hope is that John Gibson helps them turn a corner as he’s stepped up in recent starts, allowing only two goals in the last two games and five in the last four.

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Key injury report for Red Wings

  • Patrick Kane is day-to-day. Has six goals and 17 assists.

Capitals are led by a great defense

The Capitals are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.24 goals per game. Dylan Strome, Tom Wilson, and Alexander Ovechkin have scored 37 goals and 60 assists to lead the top two lines while John Carlson and Jakob Chychrun have added 21 goals and 34 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has been great but the defense is one of the best in the NHL, allowing only 2.47 goals per game with a shutout in their recent win.Β  Jakob Chychrun and Matt Roy have combined for 6.1 defensive point shares while John Carlson and Rasmus Sandin have combined for 3.4 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. Moreover, Logan Thompson is having a remarkable season with 16.8 goals saved above average while coming off a 22-save shutout.

Key injury report for Capitals

  • Ryan Leonard (shoulder) will miss four to six weeks. Had seven goals and 11 assists.

Red Wings vs Capitals Pick

Money Line Pick For Red Wings vs Capitals

  • Capitals (-160) (4 units)

This will be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. The Red Wings look to pull off the upset but the Capitals are having a great season and look to build off a recent home win. The Capitals, who average 3.24 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances against the Red Wings, who allow 3.23 goals per game, with Alexander Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Capitals, who allow only 2.47 goals per game, should limit the Red Wings offense with John Carlson, Jakob Chychrun, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Logan Thompson to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice.

Take the Capitals money line as home Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Red Wings vs Capitals

  • Under 6 (5 Units)

The Capitals are led by their defense and with two great goaltenders, this game looks to be a low-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Red Wings look to limit the Capitals offense with John Gibson building off of four starts where he’s allowed only five goals and make plenty of big saves. The Capitals and Logan Thompson look to build off of a shutout and eliminate the Red Wings with Thompson blanking the shots on the net while John Carlson and Jakob Chychrun blank the shots on the net. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both defenses stepping up.

Take the Under on 6 goals.

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