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Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Prediction and Picks - November 22, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 11/22/2025, 07:25 AM ET
Sam Reinhart looks to lead the Panthers over the Oilers

National League Hockey action on Saturday evening, and we have an Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Prediction ready to roll for you. The Oilers enter this game off a 2-1 OT loss to Tampa Bay on the road to fall to 9-14 on the year. Florida checks in at 11-9 on the year and they are off a 1-0 home win over the Devils.  Read on to see our Oilers vs Panthers prediction.

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Oilers Fall Short In Tampa

The Oilers dropped to 9-9-5 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning on November 20, a game where Calvin Pickard made 33 saves but couldn’t stop Jake Guentzel’s winner early in OT. Edmonton had taken a first-period lead through Trent Frederic, assisted by Leon Draisaitl, but Nick Paul tied it late in regulation before Tampa sealed the result. It was another frustrating night for the Oilers, who have now lost three straight and continue to search for consistency on their long road trip.

Offensively, Edmonton still has plenty of firepower. Connor McDavid leads the team with 32 points in 23 games, while Draisaitl has chipped in 14 goals and 27 points. Jack Roslovic has been a pleasant surprise with 15 points, and Evan Bouchard continues to drive play from the blue line with 17 points. Their power play remains elite at 30.9%, ranking third in the league, and their faceoff win rate of 53% keeps them in possession more often than not. The issue has been finishing games, as secondary scoring has been inconsistent and late breakdowns have cost them valuable points.

Defensively, Edmonton has struggled, allowing 3.6 goals per game, which ranks near the bottom of the NHL. Pickard, who is slated to start again, owns a 3.87 GAA, while Stuart Skinner has been steadier but still inconsistent. Darnell Nurse and Mattias Ekholm log heavy minutes, but lapses in coverage have hurt them. The penalty kill sits at 81.8%, respectable but not enough to offset their defensive leaks. Against Florida, the Oilers will need their stars to carry the load while hoping Pickard can steady things in net.

Florida Shuts Out Powerful Devils

Florida improved to 11-8-1 after a 1-0 win over the New Jersey Devils on November 20, where Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 shots for his second shutout of the season. Sam Reinhart scored the lone goal in the first period, slipping past Luke Hughes and beating Jake Allen over the shoulder. The Panthers celebrated Jeff Petry’s 1,000th NHL game before the puck drop, and the night ended with Bobrovsky preserving the lead through a late Devils push. It was Florida’s fourth win in five games, showing they’re finding rhythm at home.

Offensively, the Panthers average 2.9 goals per game, with Brad Marchand leading the way at 23 points in 19 games. Reinhart has 17 points, including 11 goals, while Anton Lundell has chipped in 16 points. Seth Jones has been a surprising contributor from the blue line with 11 points, and Evan Rodrigues adds depth scoring. Their power play sits at 20.8%, middle of the pack, but Florida thrives on spreading production across multiple lines. Injuries have forced lineup shuffles, yet the team continues to find ways to generate offense.

Defensively, Florida has been strong, allowing just 2.9 goals per game and ranking third in shots against at 25.1 per contest. Bobrovsky has been steady with a 2.62 GAA and 10 wins, while Gustav Forsling and Aaron Ekblad anchor the blue line. Their penalty kill sits at 78.9%, not elite but serviceable, and their ability to limit opponents’ shot volume has been a major strength. Against Edmonton, the Panthers will look to lean on Bobrovsky’s form and their balanced defensive structure to contain McDavid and Draisaitl while grinding out another home win.

Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Pick

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Oilers vs Panthers Moneyline Pick

  • Florida -130 (5 Units)

Florida looks like the sharper side here, especially with the way they’ve been defending. The Panthers are allowing just 2.9 goals per game and rank third in the NHL in shots against at 25.1 per contest. Sergei Bobrovsky has been steady with a 2.62 GAA and two shutouts already, giving them the kind of goaltending edge that can tilt close games. Their defensive core, led by Gustav Forsling and Aaron Ekblad, has been reliable at limiting high‑danger chances, and that structure matches up well against an Edmonton team that has struggled to finish games and ranks near the bottom defensively.

Offensively, Florida has enough balance to keep pressure on the Oilers. Brad Marchand leads the team with 23 points, while Sam Reinhart has chipped in 11 goals and Anton Lundell continues to grow into a key playmaker with 16 points. Their power play sits at 20.8%, not elite but effective enough to capitalize on Edmonton’s defensive lapses. With Bobrovsky in form and the Panthers finding rhythm with four wins in their last five, Florida’s combination of steady goaltending and balanced scoring makes them the side to back in this matchup.

Oilers vs Panthers Over/Under Pick

  • Under 6 (4 Units)

The Under 6 looks like a strong angle here because both Edmonton and Florida have leaned on defense and goaltending lately. The Oilers average 3.0 goals per game but also allow 3.6, meaning their offense hasn’t consistently broken through, while Florida sits at 2.9 goals per game and ranks third in the NHL in shots against at just 25.1 per contest. Sergei Bobrovsky has been sharp with a 2.62 GAA, and Edmonton’s penalty kill is holding at 81.8%, which should help limit Florida’s power‑play chances. With both teams structured to grind out possessions and neither offense firing at peak levels, the Under 6 feels like the right call.

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