Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Prediction and Picks - October 16, 2025
Use Code WWWC National Hockey League action on Thursday evening, and we have an Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Prediction ready to rock and roll. The Oilers enter this game off a 2-0 road win over the Rangers to move to 2-0-1 on the year, while the Islanders are at 0-3 and off a 5-2 home loss to the Jets. Read on to see our Oilers vs Islanders prediction.
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Oilers Blank The Rangers
Edmonton enters Thursday night’s road game riding a two-game win streak, including a 2–0 shutout of the Rangers where they converted just 2 of 22 shots but leaned on elite goaltending and defensive discipline. The Oilers have scored eight goals through three games (26th in NHL) and allowed just four, with a team save percentage of .940. Their power play has converted 22.2% of its chances (2-for-9), and they’ve allowed only one goal on nine penalty kills. At even strength, Edmonton has outscored opponents 6–3 and limited shot volume effectively.
Stuart Skinner is expected to start in net, bringing a career record of 99–54–15 with a .906 save percentage and a 2.69 goals-against average. He’s posted 96 quality starts in 176 career games and has stopped 4,413 of 4,871 shots faced. Offensively, Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid remain the focal points—Draisaitl led the team last season with 52 goals and 106 points, while McDavid added 100 points on 26 goals and 74 assists. Edmonton’s top line has been supported by Evan Bouchard and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, who combined for 116 points last season.
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The Oilers finished last season 48–29–5 and ranked 11th in goals scored (259) and 14th in goals allowed (235). Their power play converted at 23.7% (12th in NHL), and they posted a +24 goal differential. Edmonton went 27–13 as a moneyline favorite at -170 or shorter and covered the puck line in 61% of those games. With a points percentage of .833 to start the season and a defense-first identity emerging, the Oilers are well-positioned to control pace and capitalize on New York’s early-season struggles.
Islanders Are Struggling Out The Gate
The Islanders return to UBS Arena still searching for their first win of the season after a 5–2 home loss to Winnipeg. New York has scored just seven goals through three games and allowed 13, including three power-play goals on 10 penalty kills (70.0%). Their shot percentage sits at 6.48% despite ranking 12th in total shots (108), and their save percentage is just .843. The Islanders have converted 18.2% of their power plays (2-for-11) but have struggled to finish at even strength, where they’ve been outscored 10–5.
Ilya Sorokin is expected to start in goal, bringing a career save percentage of .915 and a goals-against average of 2.57. He’s made 165 quality starts in 256 career games and has stopped 6,997 of 7,643 shots faced. Bo Horvat leads the team in faceoff win percentage (58.1%) and posted 57 points last season, while Anders Lee and Kyle Palmieri combined for 103 points. The Islanders’ top line has been inconsistent, and their defensive structure under head coach Patrick Roy has yet to stabilize.
Last season, New York finished 35–35–12 and ranked 27th in scoring (222 goals) and 20th in goals allowed (257). Their power play was the worst in the league at 12.6%, and they posted a -35 goal differential. The Islanders went 7–11 as moneyline underdogs at +142 or longer and struggled to cover the puck line in high-total matchups. With a points percentage of .000 and early signs of defensive breakdowns, New York faces a steep challenge against an Oilers team that’s clicking in all phases.
Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Pick
Oilers vs Islanders Moneyline Pick
- Edmonton -166 (5 Units)
Edmonton enters Thursday’s matchup with momentum and defensive sharpness, having allowed just four goals through three games while posting a .940 team save percentage. Stuart Skinner is expected to start in net, and his career numbers—99 wins, .906 SV%, and 96 quality starts—suggest he’s more than capable of handling a struggling Islanders offense. The Oilers have outscored opponents 6–3 at even strength and have killed 8 of 9 penalties, showing early-season discipline and structure. With Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl anchoring the top line, Edmonton has the firepower to exploit New York’s defensive lapses.
The Islanders, meanwhile, are winless and have allowed 13 goals in three games, including three power-play goals on just 10 penalty kills. Their save percentage sits at .843, and they’ve been outscored 10–5 at even strength. While Ilya Sorokin is a capable goaltender, New York’s defensive breakdowns and lack of finishing touch have made it difficult to stay competitive. Edmonton’s ability to control tempo, capitalize on special teams, and lean on elite goaltending gives them a clear edge in this one, especially against a team still searching for its first win.
Oilers vs Islanders Over/Under Pick
- Over 6 (4 Units)
Over 6 is a strong look in a matchup featuring one of the NHL’s most explosive offenses against a winless team still searching for defensive structure. Edmonton has scored eight goals through three games despite a modest shooting percentage, and with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl leading the charge, they’re always a threat to break open a game. The Oilers’ power play is converting at 22.2%, and they’ve outshot opponents in two of their first three games. Against a New York team that’s allowed 13 goals and posted a .843 save percentage, Edmonton’s top six could feast.
On the other side, the Islanders have quietly generated 108 shots through three games—12th in the league—but have struggled to finish, converting just 6.48% of their chances. That kind of volume suggests positive regression is coming, especially at home where they’ll push pace to avoid a fourth straight loss. With both teams capable of generating chances and New York’s penalty kill sitting at just 70%, this game has the ingredients for a 4–3 or 5–2 type result that clears the total.
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