Edmonton Oilers vs Pittsburgh Penguins, Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, December 16, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 12/16/2025, 03:45 AM ET
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The Pittsburgh Penguins face the Edmonton Oilers with both teams looking to improve on strong seasons. The Penguins are 14-8-9 and a borderline playoff team but they look to rebound from two overtime losses in a row. The Oilers have a 15-12-6 record, and four wins in their last six games have them in the top wild card spot in the Western Conference. Who will win this game? Check out our Oilers vs Penguins prediction!

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Edmonton is led by a great offense

The Oilers are having a great season with their offense leading the way, scoring 3.33 goals per game with 20 goals in the last five games. Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins have scored 42 goals and 78 assists while defenseman Evan Bouchard has added five goals and 25 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has stepped up but the defense has been a mess, allowing 3.39 goals per game. Evan Bouchard and Mattias Ekholm have combined for 3.5 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. The hope is that recent trade addition Tristan Jarry steps up as he stopped 25 of the 28 shots he faced in his Oilers debut and looks to get his revenge on the team that just traded him.

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Key injury report for Oilers

  • No key injuries to report.

Penguins look for offense to step up

The Penguins have lost two rough ones in a row, but they’ve put together a great season thanks to their offense averaging 3.19 goals per game. Sidney Crosby and Bryan Rust have scored 30 goals and 31 assists, while defensemen Erik Karlsson and Kris Letang have added four goals and 35 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The defense has been great as well, allowing only 2.94 goals per game, but it’s struggled lately, allowing 11 goals in the last two games. Ryan Shea and Erik Karlsson have combined for 4.4 defensive point shares, while Parker Wotherspoon and Kris Letang have combined for 3.9 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. The hope is that goaltender Arturs Silovs improves as he’s struggled lately, allowing 17 goals in the last four starts.

Key injury report for Penguins

  • Evgeni Malkin was placed on injured reserve. Has eight goals and 21 assists.

Oilers vs Penguins Pick

Money Line Pick For Oilers vs Penguins

  • Oilers (-140) (4 units)

The Oilers are having a great season, and they look to take over this game from the first period. The Oilers, who average 3.33 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers should limit the Penguins' offense with Evan Bouchard, Mattias Ekholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Tristan Jarry to build off a strong start and blank the shots on the net. The Oilers should win the game with a strong performance on the road.

Take the Oilers money line as road Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Oilers vs Penguins

  • Over 6 (5 Units)

The Oilers and Penguins have great offenses that look to make this game a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Penguins, who average 3.19 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers, who have scored 20 goals in the last five games, should run up the score against the Penguins, who have allowed 11 goals in the last two games, with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with effective puck movement while Evan Bouchard picks apart the Penguins from the point. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Over on 6.5 goals.

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