Edmonton Oilers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction for Thursday, November 20, 2025
It’s an interconference tilt on the ice as a pair of teams collide when the Edmonton Oilers take on the Tampa Bay Lightning Thursday night in the Sunshine State, and we have the inside scoop with our Oilers vs. Lightning prediction. Edmonton was in action on the road Wednesday night as they faced the Capitals in the front half of a back-to-back set. The Oilers were blasted 5-1 on the road by Buffalo Monday night in their previous contest. Tampa Bay earned a 5-1 home win over New Jersey on Tuesday night in their previous contest. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Lightning own a 6-4 advantage, including a 4-1 win at home in the most recent meeting on February 25. This article was published before the conclusion of Edmonton’s contest with Washington on Wednesday night. Read more about this Oilers vs. Lightning prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
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Edmonton Playing Second Game of Back-to-Back
Edmonton was in action on the road against Washington in the front half of a back-to-back set that closes here and this marks their third game in four nights. The Oilers entered Wednesday night 9-8-4 on the season and stood fifth in the Pacific Division, three points behind the Ducks for the top spot. Edmonton entered Wednesday’s action tied for 18th in the league in goals per game as they average three goals per contest. The Oilers stand 28th in goals against as they allow 3.48 goals per night. Edmonton stands 3rd in power play success as they cash in 30.8% of their chances with the man advantage on the year. The Oilers are 12th in penalty killing as they successfully get through 81.5% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Buffalo Monday night, Edmonton was stifled on the road and lost for the fifth time in eight games. The Oilers held a 7-6 advantage in shots in the opening period, only to trail 1-0 after 20 minutes of play. In the second period, Edmonton was outshot 13-10 and outscored 2-1 to trail 3-1 at the second intermission. Jack Roslovic tied the game with his seventh goal of the season at 4:29 off assists from Leon Draisaitl and Andrew Mangiapane. The Oilers gave up a pair of goals 1:02 apart to trail by a pair after 40 minutes. In the third period, Edmonton held a 16-9 advantage in shots but was outscored 2-0 to wind up with the loss. Stuart Skinner made 23 saves for the Oilers, who owned a 33-28 advantage in shots, in the loss. With Skinner expected to get the start against Washington, Calvin Pickard (2-3-1, 4.17 GAA, .830 save percentage) is expected to get the start in goal for Edmonton here.
Key Injury Report for Oilers:
- Right wing Kasperi Kapanen (lower body) is out.
- Center Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (undisclosed) is out.
Lightning Seeking to Stay Hot
Tampa Bay won for the ninth time in 12 games as they downed New Jersey at home in their previous contest Tuesday night. The Lightning entered Wednesday 10-7-2 on the season and stood fourth in the Atlantic Division, three points behind Detroit for the top spot. Tampa Bay went into Wednesday 15th in the league in goals per game as they put up an average of 3.11 goals per contest. The Lightning stands 13th in goals against by allowing 2.95 goals per game. Tampa Bay is 20th with the man advantage as they cash in on 17.7% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Lightning are tied for 4th in penalty killing as they successfully work through 85.7% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +781.00 |
| 2 |  Jesse Schule | +576.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +326.00 |
| 4 |  Rob Vincilleti | +240.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +240.00 |
Against New Jersey, Tampa Bay maintained their recent momentum as they rolled to a one-sided win on home ice. The Lightning was outshot 14-7 in the opening period but managed to skate off with a 2-0 advantage at the first intermission. Jake Guentzel opened the scoring with his ninth goal of the season, unassisted, at the 11:40 mark. Nikita Kucherov made it a 2-0 game with his ninth goal of the year at 19:38 off an assist from Anthony Cirelli. In the second period, Tampa Bay was outshot 13-10 with both teams scoring once, leaving them ahead 3-1 after 40 minutes of action. Guentzel scored his second goal of the year and 10th of the season, on the power play, at 10:38 off assists from Darren Raddysh and Oliver Bjorkstrand. They gave up a goal later in the period to trim the lead to two. In the third period, Tampa Bay owned a 12-5 advantage in shots and a 2-0 margin on the scoreboard to put the game away. Raddysh gave the Lightning a 4-1 edge with his second goal of the year at 4:49 off assists from Brayden Point and J.J. Moser. Guentzel closed the scoring with his third goal of the night and 11th of the year, on the power play, at 7:48 with assists going to Kucherov and Raddysh. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 31 saves for the Lightning, who were outshot 32-29, in the win. Vasilevskiy (7-5-2, 2.56 GAA, .905 save percentage) is expected to get the start in goal for Tampa Bay here.
Key Injury Report for Lightning:
- Defenseman Ryan McDonagh (undisclosed) is out.
- Defenseman Maxwell Crozier (undisclosed) is out.
- Right wing Pontus Holmberg (undisclosed) is out.
- Left wing Nick Paul (upper body) is day-to-day.
- Defenseman Victor Hedman (undisclosed) is day-to-day.
- Defenseman Erik Cernak (lower body) is day-to-day.
Oilers vs. Lightning Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 | Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Oilers vs. Lightning Moneyline Pick
- Lightning (4 units)
Edmonton is playing the second game of a back-to-back set here and their third game in four nights in a third different city. The Oilers have to fly in after playing Washington on Wednesday night, while Tampa Bay is sitting at home. Edmonton has struggled keeping the puck out of their own net and Pickard, should he get the start, is sporting a GAA over four and a save percentage that is dismal to say the least. He has a -10.6 GSAA (goals saved above average) and has recorded just one appearance with a save percentage above .870 on the year. What’s worse is that outing came in his first start of the season. Since that point, he has surrendered four, five, four, three, five and five goals. It’s tough to win in situations like that and Tampa Bay, rested and rolling, takes advantage as they earn the home win.
Oilers vs. Lightning Over/Under Pick
- Under (4 units)
Edmonton entered Wednesday night having seen the under post an 11-9-1 mark on the year. The Oilers have an average total of 6.48 goals per game on the year and that number falls to 5.77 goals per game on the road entering that tilt with the Capitals. Tampa Bay has seen the under post a 10-8-1 mark in their 19 games this season in relation to the total entering Wednesday night. The Lightning have seen an average of 6.05 goals per game this season and that number bumps up to 6.40 goals per game on home ice this season. Both meetings last season fell short of the total and with the Oilers dealing with the fatigue factor here, this game winds up short of the mark, even if the Lightning torches Pickard.
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