Flames vs Lightning Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 26, 2025
The Calgary Flames (8-13-3, 19 points, 8th Pacific) continue a road trip on Wednesday with a visit to the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-7-2, 28 points, 1st Atlantic). Calgary defeated the Vancouver Canucks 5-2 on Sunday night for its third consecutive win, but is last in the Pacific Division, 10 points behind first place. Tampa Bay defeated the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0 on Monday night for its fourth consecutive win. The Lightning lead the Atlantic Division by one point. Make sure to read this in-depth Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction. Ice-cold accuracy: trust our NHL picks for Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning prediction to guide your bets.
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Calgary needs more from its attack, while its defense is average
The Calgary Flames are 31st or next to last in goals for average at 2.4, while 16th in goals against average at 3.0. Calgary averages 29.5 (9th) shots per game and allows an average of 28.7 (22nd). Calgary's power play is 31st or next to last, scoring only 13.4% of the time the Flames have the man advantage. The penalty kill is 18th, holding opponents scoreless 80.2% of the time when short-handed.
Matt Coronato and Blake Coleman are the co-leaders in goals scored with eight apiece. Nazem Kadri is the leader in assists with 14 and in points with 18, while Rasmus Andersson is second in assists with 11 and second in points with 16. Calgary has scored 11 goals on the power play in 24 games. Kevin Bahl is the leader in plus/minus at 13. Goalie Dustin Wolf is 6-11-2 with a 3.02 goals against average and a .895 save percentage, while backup Devin Cooley is 2-2-1 with a 1.81 GAA and a .935 SV%.
Injuries: Calgary will play without Samuel Honzek, Zayne Parekh, and Martin Pospisil
Tampa Bay is above average at both ends of the ice
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 12th in goals for average at 3.1 and 14th in goals against average at 2.9. Tampa Bay averages 26.7 (22nd) shots per game and allows an average of 27.9 (17th). Tampa Bay's power play is 21st, scoring 17.6% of the time with the man advantage, while the penalty kill is second-best, holding opponents scoreless 87.3% of the time the Lightning are short-handed.
Jake Guentzel leads Tampa Bay in goals scored with 12, and Brandon Hagel is second with 11. Nikita Kucherov is the leader in assists with 15 and in points with 25. Victor Hedman is second in assists with 12, but is on the injured list. Guentzel and Hagel are tied for second in points with 22 each. Tampa Bay has scored 12 goals on the power play in 22 games. Anthony Cirelli is the leader in plus/minus at 11. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy 9-5-2 with a 2.36 GAA and a .913 SV%.
Injuries: Tampa Bay will play without Erik Cernak, Maxwell Crozier, Victor Hedman, and Ryan McDonagh.
Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Flames vs. Lightning
- Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (4 units)
Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has won nine of his 16 appearances with a 2.36 goals against average and a .913 save percentage. Tampa Bay has won each of the last four games the Russian has been between the pipes. Tampa Bay has won five of its last six overall, and the Lightning have won seven of the last nine played on their home ice. Tampa Bay has won four of the last five on its home ice against Calgary. The Flames have lost eight of the last 12 overall versus Tampa Bay, and Calgary has lost 10 of its last 13 games played on the road. Calgary has a 2.4 goals for average and faces a Tampa Bay blue line and goalie that have a 2.9 goals against average, which means Calgary will have a tough time scoring on Wednesday.
Over/Under Pick for Flames vs. Lightning
- Under 5.5 (4 units)
As mentioned previously, Calgary averages just 2.4 goals per game, and Tampa Bay is allowing only 2.9. The total has finished under in four of Tampa Bay's last six games against a team from the Western Conference. Tampa Bay goalie Vasilevskiy has a 2.36 goals against average.
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