Florida Panthers vs New York Rangers Picks and Prediction for Sunday March 29 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/29/2026, 06:30 AM ET
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The Florida Panthers travel to take on the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden in New York, New York on Sunday, March 29, 2026 with puck drop set for 1:00 PM ET and coverage on NHL Net. The Rangers enter this matchup as -155 favorites on the moneyline, while the Panthers are listed as +130 underdogs. The total is set at 5.5 goals, and Florida comes in at +1.5 on the puck line. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL action and betting insights.

Panthers Searching for Road Consistency

Florida comes into this matchup with a 35-33-3 record and a 16-18-0 mark on the road. Over their last five games, they have recently lost to Minnesota, recently won over Seattle, recently lost to Calgary, recently won over Edmonton, and recently lost to Vancouver. This stretch highlights a team that has struggled to maintain consistency, alternating wins and losses without finding sustained momentum.

Offensively, the Panthers are averaging 2.93 goals per game while allowing 3.31 goals against per game, showing a negative differential that has impacted their overall record. They generate 28.4 shots per game and allow 26.7 shots against, which suggests they are capable of controlling play at times but have not translated that into consistent results. Their power play has produced 48 goals at a 19.6 percent success rate, while their penalty kill sits at 81.7 percent.

One area Florida can lean on is their ability to generate shots while limiting opposing chances. Their shot differential is a positive indicator, and when combined with a solid penalty kill, it gives them a chance to stay competitive in tight games. However, their defensive lapses, reflected in the 3.31 goals allowed per game, continue to be a concern heading into this matchup.

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Rangers Look to Regain Form at Home

The New York Rangers enter this contest with a 29-35-9 record and a 10-18-7 mark at home. In their last five games, they have recently won over Chicago but have recently lost to Toronto, recently lost to Ottawa, recently lost to Winnipeg, and recently lost to Columbus. This recent skid shows a team struggling to find rhythm, particularly on the defensive side.

Statistically, the Rangers are averaging 2.81 goals per game while allowing 3.15 goals against, indicating similar struggles to Florida in terms of defensive consistency. They generate 25.4 shots per game but allow 29.3 shots against, which suggests they are often under pressure in their own zone. Their power play has been effective with 46 goals and a 24.5 percent success rate, while their penalty kill sits at 78.4 percent.

The Rangers’ strength lies in their power play efficiency, which can create scoring opportunities even when five-on-five play is lacking. However, their inability to control shots and limit chances has led to their struggles, especially at home where they have yet to establish a consistent edge.

Florida Panthers vs New York Rangers Pick

Panthers vs Rangers Moneyline Pick

  • Pick: Florida Panthers +130

Florida has shown slightly better balance in terms of shot generation and defensive structure, and they come into this game facing a Rangers team that has struggled heavily in recent games. With New York allowing nearly 30 shots per game and failing to find consistency at home, Florida has a strong opportunity to capitalize as an underdog.

Panthers vs Rangers Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 5.5

I am taking the over in this matchup because both teams have defensive issues and allow over three goals per game. With each team capable of scoring and both penalty kills showing some vulnerability, I expect this game to feature enough chances to push the total past 5.5 goals.

Final Score Prediction: Florida Panthers 4, New York Rangers 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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