Los Angeles Kings vs St Louis Blues Prediction and Picks - October 21, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 10/21/2025, 07:30 AM ET
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NHL action on Tuesday evening, and we have a Los Angeles Kings vs St Louis Blues Prediction ready to rock and roll. The Kings are off to a slow 1-5 start and they come in off a 4-3 OT loss to the Hurricanes at home. St Louis comes in off a 3-1 home win over the Stars to move to 3-2 on the year. St Louis has won four of the last five in this series. Read on to see our Kings vs Blues prediction.

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Kings Need Help On Defense

The Kings enter this matchup still searching for consistency after a 4–3 overtime loss to Carolina in their last outing. Offensively, Los Angeles has managed 16 goals in six games (2.7 per game), with Adrian Kempe and Kevin Fiala leading the charge. Their power play has been a bright spot, converting at 25%, ranking among the league’s top 10. However, at even strength, the Kings have struggled to finish, scoring just 12 goals while allowing 15. With longtime captain Anze Kopitar sidelined week-to-week with a foot injury, the responsibility falls on younger forwards like Quinton Byfield to step up and provide secondary scoring.

Defensively, Los Angeles has been leaky, surrendering 23 goals (3.8 per game), which ranks near the bottom of the NHL. Their penalty kill has been a particular weakness at 70.4%, leaving them vulnerable against teams that can generate pressure on the man advantage. Goaltender Anton Forsberg has been under siege, posting a career .904 save percentage, but the team’s defensive structure has left him exposed to high-danger chances. If the Kings can’t tighten up in their own zone, they risk being overwhelmed by a Blues team that has been opportunistic at home.

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For Los Angeles, the formula is clear: stay disciplined to avoid giving St. Louis power play opportunities, lean on their top scorers to generate offense, and hope Forsberg can deliver a stabilizing performance. Without Kopitar’s two-way presence, the Kings will need to rely on speed and transition play to keep pace in a tough road environment.

Blues Take Down The Stars

The Blues return home after a 3–1 win over Dallas, a game that showcased their ability to capitalize on limited chances. Through five games, St. Louis has scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) while allowing 18, giving them a modest -3 goal differential. Jake Neighbours has been a standout early, leading the team with four goals, while Jimmy Snuggerud and Jordan Kyrou have provided secondary production. Their power play has lagged at 15.4%, but their even-strength scoring has been steady, with 13 of their 15 goals coming 5-on-5.

Defensively, the Blues have been inconsistent, allowing 3.6 goals per game, but they’ve managed to limit shot volume, giving up just 25.4 per contest. Jordan Binnington remains the backbone in net, carrying a career .910 save percentage, though his early-season numbers have dipped slightly. The penalty kill has been solid at 80%, and historically, St. Louis has had success shutting down Los Angeles’ power play, killing nearly 88% of penalties in their last five head-to-head meetings.

St. Louis has also dominated this series at home, winning three straight at Enterprise Center and going 5–1–0 in their last six against the Kings in St. Louis. With momentum from their win over Dallas and a favorable matchup against a struggling Kings defense, the Blues will look to extend that trend. If their top six continues to produce and Binnington holds steady, St. Louis has the edge to control this game.

Los Angeles Kings vs St Louis Blues Pick

Kings vs Blues Moneyline Pick

  • St Louis -127 (5 Units)

Backing St. Louis in this spot makes sense given how the matchup lines up with their strengths. The Blues have been steady at home, winning three straight at Enterprise Center against Los Angeles, and their offensive depth has been a difference-maker early in the season. Jake Neighbours has emerged as a reliable finisher, while Jordan Kyrou and Jimmy Snuggerud provide speed and creativity on the wings. Against a Kings team that has struggled defensively, allowing nearly four goals per game, St. Louis’ ability to generate even-strength scoring chances should give them the upper hand. Their forecheck has been effective in pinning opponents deep, and that pressure could expose Los Angeles’ defensive lapses once again.

Defensively, the Blues also hold an edge. While they’ve had some inconsistency, they’ve limited shot volume effectively, and Jordan Binnington has the track record to stabilize things in net. The Kings’ penalty kill has been a glaring weakness, and with St. Louis’ power play due for positive regression, this could be the game where they break through with special teams production. Add in the fact that Los Angeles is missing Anze Kopitar’s two-way presence, and the Blues’ path to controlling both ends of the ice becomes clearer. At home, with momentum from their win over Dallas, St. Louis looks well-positioned to secure another victory.

Kings vs Blues Over/Under Pick

  • Over 5.5 (4 Units)

The Over 5.5 looks appealing here given the way both teams have been playing. St. Louis has averaged three goals per game through their first five contests, with multiple forwards contributing, while Los Angeles has allowed nearly four goals per outing and struggled to keep opponents off the board. The Kings still have offensive talent with Adrian Kempe and Kevin Fiala driving play, and their power play has been sharp at 25%, which should create scoring chances against a Blues penalty kill that has been solid but not airtight. With both clubs showing defensive inconsistencies and the Kings’ tendency to get into higher-event games, this matchup sets up well for goals to push the total over 5.5.

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