Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Picks, Prediction and Odds Game 2

By: Kyle Kargel Published 05/08/2026, 09:50 AM ET
Canadiens vs Sabres Prediction Game 2
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Montreal and Buffalo return to the ice for Game 2 on May 8 with the Sabres holding a 1-0 series lead after capitalizing on special teams and timely finishing in the opener. Buffalo did not dominate possession in Game 1, but the Sabres converted key opportunities and protected home ice with efficient scoring. Bettors looking for playoff NHL picks should expect another competitive matchup between two teams capable of creating offense in transition and on the power play.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Moneyline Pick: Sabres -130
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5
  • Projected Final Score: Sabres 4, Canadiens 3

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Moneyline
Montreal +108
Buffalo -130

Current Odds

Team Moneyline
Montreal +108
Buffalo -130

Line Movement - Moneyline

Date Time Montreal Buffalo Public Betting
05/08 08:19:18 AM +108 -130 BUF 78%, BUF 70%
05/08 08:18:11 AM +112 -134 BUF 78%, BUF 70%
05/08 04:12:56 AM +110 -132 BUF 81%, BUF 77%
05/08 04:12:37 AM +108 -130 BUF 81%, BUF 77%
05/07 08:58:49 AM +112 -134 BUF 100%, BUF 100%
05/07 08:58:27 AM +114 -137 BUF 100%, BUF 100%
05/07 08:58:08 AM +110 -132 BUF 100%, BUF 100%
05/07 03:16:34 AM +112 -134
05/07 03:16:34 AM +114 -137
05/07 03:15:55 AM +110 -132
05/07 03:15:18 AM +114 -137
05/06 09:58:58 PM +112 -134
05/06 09:58:46 PM +108 -130
05/06 09:52:25 PM +110 -132
05/06 09:51:49 PM +108 -130
05/06 09:51:34 PM +110 -132
05/06 09:46:44 PM +114 -137
05/06 09:46:09 PM +116 -140
05/06 09:35:43 PM +108 -130

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public Betting
05/08 08:19:18 AM 5.5 -128 5.5 +102 UN 64%, UN 67%
05/08 04:12:43 AM 5.5 -128 5.5 +104 UN 64%, UN 67%
05/08 04:12:37 AM 5.5 -130 5.5 +106 UN 64%, UN 67%
05/08 04:12:11 AM 5.5 -128 5.5 +104 UN 64%, UN 67%
05/07 08:58:49 AM 5.5 -124 5.5 +102
05/07 08:58:28 AM 5.5 -130 5.5 +106
05/07 08:58:09 AM 5.5 -124 5.5 +102
05/07 03:16:34 AM 5.5 -122 5.5 +100
05/07 03:16:12 AM 5.5 -128 5.5 +104
05/07 03:15:55 AM 5.5 -122 5.5 +100
05/07 03:15:18 AM 5.5 -128 5.5 +104
05/06 09:58:58 PM 5.5 -124 5.5 +102
05/06 09:58:46 PM 5.5 -120 5.5 -102
05/06 09:52:05 PM 5.5 -124 5.5 +102
05/06 09:51:50 PM 5.5 -122 5.5 +100

Canadiens vs Sabres Betting Preview

Montreal did several things well in Game 1 despite the loss, particularly when it came to puck possession and controlling stretches of play. The Canadiens outshot Buffalo 28-16 and dominated the faceoff circle by a 62.7% to 37.3% margin, showing they were capable of sustaining offensive pressure throughout the game.

Nick Suzuki continues to drive the offense after finishing the regular season with 101 points, including 29 goals and 72 assists. Cole Caufield remains the primary finishing threat with 51 goals and 258 shots, giving Montreal elite scoring upside whenever the Canadiens generate quality chances off the rush or on the power play.

Montreal also converted once on the power play in Game 1, which remains an important factor in this series. The Canadiens averaged 3.40 goals per game during the regular season while operating at 23.1% on the power play. If Montreal continues controlling puck possession at even strength, the offensive opportunities should remain available throughout Game 2.

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Buffalo enters Game 2 with confidence after capitalizing on special teams and depth scoring in the series opener. The Sabres scored twice on the power play in Game 1, with Ryan McLeod and Bowen Byram converting, while Josh Doan and Jordan Greenway also found the back of the net.

Tage Thompson remains Buffalo’s top offensive weapon after posting 81 points, 40 goals and 272 shots during the regular season. Rasmus Dahlin’s 55 assists continue to provide elite puck movement from the blue line, and Zach Benson’s two-assist performance in Game 1 highlighted Buffalo’s ability to generate offense beyond the top scoring line.

The Sabres also hold small but meaningful defensive advantages entering this matchup. Buffalo finished the regular season allowing only 2.93 goals per game compared with Montreal’s 3.06, while the Sabres’ penalty kill operated at 81.9% compared with the Canadiens’ 78.2%. In a series already impacted by power-play production, those defensive edges matter.

Canadiens vs Sabres Key Matchups and Handicap

The key handicap entering Game 2 revolves around whether Montreal’s possession advantage can finally translate into cleaner finishing opportunities. The Canadiens controlled much of the shot volume in the opener, but Buffalo consistently converted high-value chances and made the most of limited opportunities.

Special teams could once again decide the outcome. Buffalo’s power play delivered two goals in Game 1, and the Sabres continue to hold the edge defensively on the penalty kill. Montreal’s offense is talented enough to create chances, but Buffalo has shown the ability to capitalize more efficiently during key stretches.

Buffalo’s scoring depth also creates matchup problems. The Sabres did not rely exclusively on Thompson or Dahlin in the opener, instead getting contributions throughout the lineup. That balance becomes especially valuable in playoff hockey where checking intensity increases and top scoring lines often face constant defensive pressure.

Montreal should remain competitive because of its puck possession and offensive skill, but Buffalo’s finishing depth, home-ice advantage and slightly stronger defensive profile make the Sabres the preferred side once again. Expect a tighter game than the opener, but one that still produces enough offense to push this matchup over the total.

  • Buffalo leads the series 1-0 after a 4-2 victory in Game 1.
  • Montreal outshot Buffalo 28-16 in the series opener.
  • The Canadiens won the faceoff battle 62.7% to 37.3% in Game 1.
  • Buffalo scored two power-play goals in the opener.
  • Montreal averaged 3.40 goals per game during the regular season.
  • Buffalo averaged 3.45 goals per game during the regular season.

Key Injuries and Notes - MTL and BUF

  • Sam Carrick is listed day-to-day for Buffalo.
  • Noah Ostlund is out until at least May 19.
  • Carrick’s absence would primarily impact checking-line depth and faceoffs.
  • Montreal enters the matchup without major injury concerns among its core scorers.

Canadiens vs Sabres and Total Picks

  • Moneyline: Sabres -130
  • Total: Over 5.5

Final Score Prediction

Sabres 4, Canadiens 3

How to Bet

Buffalo’s moneyline remains the safer approach because the Sabres continue to show stronger finishing ability and more defensive stability in this series. Bettors searching for additional value can consider the Sabres on the puck line at a stronger plus return, especially if Buffalo once again capitalizes on special teams.

The over also carries value because both teams averaged more than 3.4 goals per game during the regular season, and Game 1 already showed how dangerous both power-play units can be. Bettors exploring more hockey wagering opportunities can review available options at various social sportsbooks. Additional promotional offers can also be found through the latest fliff promo code page before placing Game 2 wagers.

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