Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, October 8, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 10/08/2025, 03:07 AM ET
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The Montreal Canadiens face the Toronto Maple Leafs with both teams entering the new season with high expectations. The Canadiens were the final wild card team last season, and with a young and improving roster plus the Noah Dobson addition, they look to make significant strides in the Eastern Conference. The Maple Leafs had the best record in the Atlantic Division last season and despite losing Mitch Marner, they look to remain in the Cup conversation. Who will win this game? Check out our Canadiens vs Maple Leafs prediction!

Montreal looks to take big step on both ends of the ice

The Canadiens were one of the best teams in the second half of last season with an offense that averaged 3.20 goals per game following the Four-Nations Faceoff break. Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, and Juraj Slafkovsky led a dynamic top line with 85 goals and 125 assists, while Lane Hutson added six goals and 60 assists from the point to win the Calder Trophy. Better yet, the offense looks poised to only get better with Ivan Demidov, one of the top prospects in the game, joining the forward unit, while Noah Dobson, an excellent scoring defenseman, joins the team as well.

The offense carried the Canadiens while the defense, which allowed only 2.70 goals per game in the second half, looks poised to improve as well. Lane Hutson and Noah Dobson will lead the top two pairings, while Mike Matheson and Kaiden Guhle look to add depth to the unit. In addition, Samuel Mountembeault looks to hold down the fort in the net as he had a .901 save percentage and a 2.82 goals-against average on 1679 shots with 2.1 goals saved above average.

Maple Leafs hope balanced team leads them to a Cup

The Maple Leafs lost Mitch Marner to free agency but the offense looks to pick up where it left off as it scored 3.26 goals per game last season. Auston Matthews and William Nylander scored 78 goals and 84 assists but the rest of the offense stepped up as well. John Tavares and Matthew Knies combined for 67 goals and 65 assists while defenseman Morgan Rielly added seven goals and 34 assists from the point to open up the offense.

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The offense was great while the defense looked to carry them as well after allowing only 2.79 goals per game. Chris Tanev and Morgan Rielly are the anchors of the unit, while Jake McCabe and Simon Benoit add depth to the unit. Additionally, goaltender Anthony Stolarz looks to build off a season where he had a .926 save percentage and a 2.14 goals-against average on 955 shots with 24.6 goals saved above average.

Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Pick

Money Line Pick for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs

  • Canadiens (+130) (4 units)

This will be a great game between two teams expected to be near the top of the Eastern Conference. The Maple Leafs look to win on their home ice but the Canadiens are on the rise and look to surprise them in this one. The Canadiens should create plenty of scoring chances with Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Canadiens, who allowed only 2.70 goals per game in the second half of last season, should limit the Maple Leafs' offense with Lane Hutson, Noah Dobson, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers and blocking shots while goaltender Samuel Mountembeault blanks the shots on the net. The Canadiens should win the game and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs.

Take the Canadiens money line as road Underdogs.

Over/Under Pick For Avalanche vs Kings

  • Over 5.5 (5 Units)

Both teams look poised to be great on offense, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Maple Leafs, who averaged 3.26 goals per game last season, should create plenty of scoring chances with Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Canadiens who averaged 3.20 goals per game in the second half, should run up the score with Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, Juraj Slafkovsky, and the rest of the forward unit crashing the net on the rush and creating open shots with effective puck movement while Lane Hutson and Noah Dobson pick apart the Maple Leafs from the point. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Over on 5.5 goals.

 

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