New York Islanders vs. Washington Capitals, Picks and Prediction, Friday, October 31, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 10/31/2025, 10:56 AM ET
New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals prediction
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The New York Islanders face the Washington Capitals, with both teams heading in opposite directions to start out the season. The Islanders are 4-4-1 and have the worst record in the Metropolitan Division, while the Capitals are 6-4 and near the top of the Metropolitan Division but look to rebound from back-to-back losses. Who will win this game? Check out our Islanders vs Capitals prediction!

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This Article Was Published Before Last Night’s Results

Islanders hope to improve on defense

The Islanders are having a rough season despite their offense stepping up and scoring 3.56 goals per game. Bo Horvat and Anders Lee have scored eight goals and 11 assists to lead the top line but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Mathew Barzal, Kyle Palmieri, and Jonathan Drouin have combined for seven goals and 14 assists while defenseman Matthew Schaefer has added two goals and five assists from the point to open up the offense.

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The offense has been great, but the defense has let them down, allowing 3.56 goals per game. Schaefer and Scott Mayfield have led the top two pairings, but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Ilya Sorokin has struggled with a .868 save percentage and a 3.75 goals-against average on 197 shots with -5.4 goals saved above average.

Washington is led by a great defense

The Capitals are having a great season despite their offense struggling and scoring only 2.70 goals per game. Tom Wilson and Dylan Strome have scored seven goals and 14 assists but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only four skaters have three goals or more, and opponents can eliminate the top-heavy offense as a result.

The offense has struggled, but the defense has been one of the best in the NHL, allowing only 2.20 goals per game. Jakob Chychrun and John Carlson have combined for 1.6 defensive point shares, while Matt Roy and Rasmus Sandin have combined for 1.2 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Logan Thompson has been great with a .939 save percentage and a 1.44 goals-against average on 163 shots with 7.1 goals saved above average. First-line center Dylan Strome is questionable with a lower-body injury.

Islanders vs Capitals Pick

Money Line Pick For Islanders vs Capitals

  • Capitals -1.5 (+115) (4 units)

The Capitals are having a great season, and they look to take over this game from the first period. The Capitals should pile on the goals against the Islanders, who allow 3.56 goals per game, with Tom Wilson, Dylan Strome, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Capitals should limit the Islanders' offense with John Carlson, Jakob Chychrun, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Logan Thompson to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice.

Over/Under Pick For Islanders vs Capitals

  • Under 5.5 (5 Units)

The Capitals are led by their defense, and this game looks to be a low-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Islanders should limit the Capitals' offense, which averages only 2.70 goals per game, with Matthew Schaefer, Scott Mayfield, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Sorokin to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals, who allow only 2.20 goals per game, should eliminate the Islanders' offense with John Carlson, Jakob Chychrun, Rasmus Sandin, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Logan Thompson blanks the shots on the net. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both defenses stepping up.

Take the Under on 5.5 goals.

 

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