New York Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, November 12, 2025
Use Code WWWC The New York Rangers face the Tampa Bay Lightning with both teams looking to improve on rocky starts. The Rangers are 8-7-2 and are in the middle of the Metropolitan Division, while the Lightning have an 8-5-2 record, and with two wins in a row, they have jumped into the wild card spot in the Eastern Conference. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Rangers vs Lightning prediction!
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Rangers are let down by an awful offense
The Rangers are having a rough season with the offense letting them down, scoring only 2.41 goals per game. Artemi Panarin and Alexis Lafreniere have scored eight goals and 15 assists, but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only four skaters have four goals or more, and opponents can eliminate the hapless offense as a result.
The offense has struggle,d but the defense has stepped up, allowing only 2.53 goals per game. Adam Fox and Vladislav Gavrikov have combined for 2.6 defensive point shares, while William Borgen and Carson Soucy have combined for 1.9 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Igor Shesterkin has stepped up with a .909 save percentage and a 2.46 goals-against average on 350 shots with 4.2 goals saved above average.
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Tampa Bay is led by a great defense
The Lightning are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.07 goals per game. Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, and Jake Guentzel have scored 20 goals and 23 assists but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Brayden Point, Anthony Cirelli, and Oliver Bjorkstrand have combined for 11 goals and 14 assists, while defensemen Victor Hedman and Ryan McDonagh have added three goals and 15 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has carried the Lightning, allowing only 2.73 goals per game with only five goals in their last two games. Hedman and McDonagh have combined for 1.9 defensive point shares while JJ Moser and Erik Cernak have combined for 1.6 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has stepped up with a .904 save percentage and a 2.64 goals-against average on 303 shots with 2.3 goals saved above average.
Rangers vs Lightning Pick
Money Line Pick For Rangers vs Lightning
- Lightning (-150) (4 units)
The Lightning have two wins in a row and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the first period. The Lightning, who average 3.07 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Lightning, who allow only 2.73 goals per game, should limit the Rangers' offense with Victor Hedman, Ryan McDonagh, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice.
Take the Lightning money line as home Favorites.
Over/Under Pick For Rangers vs Lightning
- Under 6 (5 Units)
Both teams are led by great defenses, and this game looks to be a low-scoring one from the first period. The Rangers, who allow only 2.53 goals per game, should limit the Lightning offense with Adam Fox, Vladislav Gavrikov, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Igor Shesterkin to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning, who have allowed only seven goals in their last two games, should eliminate the Rangers' offense, which averages only 2.41 goals per game, with Victor Hedman, Ryan McDonagh, Erik Cernak, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy blanks the shots on the net. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both defenses stepping up.
Take the Under on 6 goals.
The Rangers face the Lightning with both teams looking to improve on rocky starts to the season.
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