Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction, Saturday, March 28, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 03/28/2026, 05:35 AM ET
Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lighting prediction
Use Code WWWC

The Ottawa Senators face the Tampa Bay Lightning in a matchup of two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. The Senators are 38-24-10, and with seven wins in their last 10 games, they are only one point out of a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Lightning have a 44-21-6 record and sit in second place in the conference. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Senators vs Lightning prediction!

We have the best NHL Predictions sure to provide a great payout.

Senators hope offense fuels playoff push

The Senators are having a great season with their offense leading the way and scoring 3.32 goals per game. Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and Dylan Cozens have scored 85 goals and 104 assists while Brady Tkachuk, Claude Giroux, and Shane Pinto have added 51 goals and 82 assists to give the Senators multiple forward lines that can come at teams in waves.

The offense has stepped up but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.04 goals per game. Artem Zub and Jordan Spence have combined for 7.8 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. The bright spot is the play from Linus Ullmark in the net as he’s allowed only nine goals in his last four starts.

Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts

Subscribe Now

I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Winners and Whiners may use third-party services to process my data.

Key injury report for Senators

  • Thomas Chabot is out.
  • Jake Sanderson is out.

Tampa Bay has been great across the board

The Lightning are one of the best teams in the NHL, thanks to their offense averaging 3.61 goals per game with 23 goals in the last five games. Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel, and Brandon Hagel have scored 106 goals and 121 assists while defenseman Darren Raddysh has added 20 goals and 45 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has stepped up but the defense has also been incredible, allowing only 2.77 goals per game. JJ Moser and Darren Raddysh have combined for 10.5 defensive point shares while Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel have stepped up at the forward position to create turnovers and help out the defense. Moreover, goaltender Andrei Vailevskiy has stepped up lately, allowing only 13 goals in his last five starts.

Key injury report for Lightning

  • Victor Hedman is out.

Senators vs Lightning Pick

Money Line Pick For Senators vs Lightning

  • Lightning (-160) (4 units)

The Senators are looking to make a playoff push but the Lightning are having a great season and look to take over this game on their home ice. The Lightning, who average 3.61 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Lightning, who allow only 2.77 goals per game, should limit the Senators offense with JJ Moser, Darren Raddysh, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice.

Take the Lightning money line as home Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Senators vs Lightning

  • Over 6.5 (5 Units)

The Lightning and Senators have great offenses that look to make this game a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Senators, who average 3.32 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Lightning, who have scored 23 goals in the last five games, should run up the score against the Senators, who allow 3.04 goals per game, with Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while creating open shots with effective puck movement as Darren Raddysh fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Under on 6 goals.

Never Tried Winners and Whiners? Now Is Your Chance

  • Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code DOLLAR
  • If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
  • If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
  • Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
BetMGM Sport

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Recommended BetMGM Sport Bonus
Min. Deposit $5
Cashable No
FanDuel Sportsbook

New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Hot Offer FanDuel Sportsbook Bonus
Requirement New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days. (Up to $1,000 Bet Reset Tokens)
Cashable No
DraftKings Sport

New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly!

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Hot Offer DraftKings Sport Bonus
Min. Deposit $5
Odds Requirements -500
Cashable No

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN). 21+ (18+ WY). AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/MI/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. T&C's Apply. Void where prohibited. If you click on a link on this site which takes you to a bookmaker or casino and you subsequently open an account, Pick and Parlays may receive a commission. Bets placed are the responsibility of the bettor.

Copyright Β© 2026 Picks and Parlays. All rights reserved.

The sports news and information contained at this site is for entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of laws whether they are federal, state and/or local is prohibited. Picks and Parlays is the nation's premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information.

Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Special Offer
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Play now Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.