Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction, Saturday, March 28, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Ottawa Senators face the Tampa Bay Lightning in a matchup of two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. The Senators are 38-24-10, and with seven wins in their last 10 games, they are only one point out of a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Lightning have a 44-21-6 record and sit in second place in the conference. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Senators vs Lightning prediction!
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Senators hope offense fuels playoff push
The Senators are having a great season with their offense leading the way and scoring 3.32 goals per game. Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and Dylan Cozens have scored 85 goals and 104 assists while Brady Tkachuk, Claude Giroux, and Shane Pinto have added 51 goals and 82 assists to give the Senators multiple forward lines that can come at teams in waves.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.04 goals per game. Artem Zub and Jordan Spence have combined for 7.8 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. The bright spot is the play from Linus Ullmark in the net as heβs allowed only nine goals in his last four starts.
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Key injury report for Senators
- Thomas Chabot is out.
- Jake Sanderson is out.
Tampa Bay has been great across the board
The Lightning are one of the best teams in the NHL, thanks to their offense averaging 3.61 goals per game with 23 goals in the last five games. Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel, and Brandon Hagel have scored 106 goals and 121 assists while defenseman Darren Raddysh has added 20 goals and 45 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has also been incredible, allowing only 2.77 goals per game. JJ Moser and Darren Raddysh have combined for 10.5 defensive point shares while Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel have stepped up at the forward position to create turnovers and help out the defense. Moreover, goaltender Andrei Vailevskiy has stepped up lately, allowing only 13 goals in his last five starts.
Key injury report for Lightning
- Victor Hedman is out.
Senators vs Lightning Pick
Money Line Pick For Senators vs Lightning
- Lightning (-160) (4 units)
The Senators are looking to make a playoff push but the Lightning are having a great season and look to take over this game on their home ice. The Lightning, who average 3.61 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Lightning, who allow only 2.77 goals per game, should limit the Senators offense with JJ Moser, Darren Raddysh, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice.
Take the Lightning money line as home Favorites.
Over/Under Pick For Senators vs Lightning
- Over 6.5 (5 Units)
The Lightning and Senators have great offenses that look to make this game a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Senators, who average 3.32 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Lightning, who have scored 23 goals in the last five games, should run up the score against the Senators, who allow 3.04 goals per game, with Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while creating open shots with effective puck movement as Darren Raddysh fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Under on 6 goals.
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