Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, December 27, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Ottawa Senators face the Toronto Maple Leafs with both teams looking to improve on rough seasons. The Senators are 18-13-5 and with only five wins in their last 10 games, they are in fifth place in the Atlantic Division. The Maple Leafs have a 16-15-5 record and are coming off an impressive win but with only four wins in their last 10 games, they have the worst record in the division. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Senators vs Maple Leafs prediction!
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Ottawa hopes offense turns season around
The Senators are having a rocky season and hope their offense leads the turnaround, averaging 3.22 goals per game with 18 goals in the last four games. Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and Dylan Cozens have scored 43 goals and 60 assists while defenseman Jake Sanderson has added seven goals and 19 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has let them down, allowing 3.14 goals per game. Jake Sanderson and Artem Zub have combined for 4.2 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net with ease. Additionally, goaltender Linus Ullmark has struggled all season with -9.7 goals saved above average but he’s stepped up in his latest starts, allowing only eight goals in his last four.
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Key injury report for Senators
- Shane Pinto is on injured reserve. Has 12 goals and six assists.
Maple Leafs will lean on offense to fuel season rebound
The Maple Leafs are having a rough season despite their offense stepping up and scoring 3.19 goals per game. William Nylander, John Tavares, and Matthew Knies have scored 34 goals and 68 assists while defenseman Morgan Rielly has added five goals and 19 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has been great but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.33 goals per game with 17 goals in the last four games. Jake McCabe and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have combined for 3.6 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Joseph Woll has struggled in his latest starts, allowing six goals in his last three.
Key injury report for Maple Leafs
- Anthony Stolarz took a step back in his recovery and is expected to miss more time. Is the starting goaltender for the Maple Leafs.
Senators vs Maple Leafs Pick
Money Line Pick For Senators vs Maple Leafs
- Senators (-110) (4 units)
The Maple Leafs look to return to the break with a win on their home ice but the Senators have won three of their last four games and look to take over this one from the first period. The Senators, who average 3.22 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Maple Leafs, who allow 3.33 goals per game, with Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Senators should limit the Maple Leafs offense, with Linus Ullmark building off four starts where he’s allowed only eight goals and blanking the shots on the net with Jake Sanderson and Artem Zub creating turnovers in front of him. The Senators should win the game with a strong performance on the road.
Take the Senators money line as road Favorites.
Over/Under Pick For Senators vs Maple Leafs
- Over 6 (5 Units)
The Maple Leafs and Senators are led by their offenses, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.19 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances against the Senators, who allow 3.14 goals per game, with William Nylander, John Tavares, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Senators, who have scored 18 goals in their last four games, should run up the score against the Maple Leafs, who have allowed 17 goals in their last four games, with Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, Dylan Cozens, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while creating open shots with effective puck movement as Jake Sanderson fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Over on 6 goals.
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