Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders Prediction and Picks - November 28, 2025
National League Hockey action on Friday afternoon, and we have a Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders Prediction ready to roll for you. The Flyers enter this game off a 4-2 road win over Florida, which moved them to 12-10 on the year. The Islanders come in off a 3-1 home loss to the Bruins, to fall to 13-11 on the year. The Flyers won the first meeting at home by a score of 4-3 in a shootout. Read on to see our Flyers vs. Islanders prediction.
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Flyers Stun The Panthers On The Road
The Flyers are coming off a 4-2 win over the Florida Panthers on November 26, rallying from a two-goal deficit with four unanswered tallies. Emil Andrae and Matvei Michkov scored in the second period to tie things up, and Tyson Foerster delivered the game-winner late in the third before Sean Couturier added insurance seconds later. Dan Vladar stopped 25 shots to secure the victory.
Philadelphia’s offense has been streaky this season, averaging 2.7 goals per game (26th) and ranking last in shots at just 24.5 per contest. The power play has been middle of the pack at 16.9%, but the Flyers have leaned on timely scoring from Foerster and Michkov to stay competitive. Trevor Zegras has been their leading point producer, while Couturier continues to provide veteran stability down the middle. The lack of consistent shot generation remains a concern, but when they do get looks, they’ve shown the ability to capitalize.
Defensively, the Flyers have been far stronger, allowing just 2.8 goals per game (9th) and ranking 5th in shots against. Their penalty kill has been excellent at 86.2%, one of the best in the league, and Vladar has given them steady goaltending with a 2.39 GAA and .913 save percentage. Philadelphia’s ability to grind games down and rely on structure has been their identity, and it will be tested against an Islanders team that generates more shots and thrives in tight-checking contests.
Islanders Are Truggling On Offense
The Islanders dropped their last game, a 3-1 loss to the Boston Bruins on November 26, despite Mathew Barzal scoring early in the first period. Boston answered quickly and added goals in the second and third, while New York’s power play went 0-for-4, continuing a frustrating drought. Ilya Sorokin made 11 saves but fell to 7-7-2 on the season. New York has now scored a total of three goals in their last three games.
Offensively, the Islanders average 3.0 goals per game (21st) and rank 10th in shots at 29.4 per contest, but their power play has been abysmal at just 12.7% (last in the NHL). Bo Horvat has been the team’s most consistent scorer with 14 goals, while Barzal and Kyle Palmieri provide secondary production. The Isles have been strong in the faceoff circle, winning 52% of draws, which helps them control possession, but their inability to convert with the man advantage has cost them in close games.
Defensively, New York has been steady, allowing 2.8 goals per game (11th) and killing penalties at 83.3%. Sorokin remains the backbone of their structure, posting a 2.70 GAA and .901 save percentage, though he’s had to deal with heavy workloads. The Islanders’ physical style and disciplined defensive zone coverage make them tough to break down, but their lack of scoring depth and special teams struggles leave them vulnerable. Against Philadelphia’s stingy penalty kill, the Isles will need to find ways to generate offense at even strength and rely on Sorokin to keep them in the fight.
Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,570.00 |
| 2 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,223.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,000.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +916.00 |
| 5 |  David Hess | +706.00 |
Flyers vs Islanders Moneyline Pick
- Islanders -140 (4 Units)
The Islanders -140 feels like the right lean because New York has been steady defensively and has the goaltending edge with Ilya Sorokin in net. They’re allowing just 2.8 goals per game and killing penalties at 83.3%, which matches up well against a Flyers team that struggles to generate consistent offense, ranking 26th in goals per game and dead last in shots. Even in their recent win over Florida, Philadelphia needed a late rally, and their lack of firepower makes it tough to trust them against a structured opponent like the Isles.
On the other side, the Islanders’ offense isn’t elite, but they average 3.0 goals per game and rank 10th in shots, giving them more consistent pressure than the Flyers. Bo Horvat and Mathew Barzal provide scoring depth, and their strength in the faceoff circle (52% win rate) helps them control possession. With Sorokin capable of stealing games and the Flyers leaning on Dan Vladar, the Isles have the more reliable setup. At -140, the price reflects their defensive stability and ability to grind out wins in tight, low-scoring matchups.
Flyers vs Islanders Over/Under Pick
- Under 5.5 (5 Units)
The Under makes a lot of sense here given the way both teams have been trending. Philadelphia averages just 2.7 goals per game and ranks last in shots, while the Islanders have managed only three total goals across their last three outings. Add in the fact that New York has gone 9-1 to the Under in its last 10 games, and you’ve got a matchup that leans heavily toward a low-scoring grind. With Dan Vladar and Ilya Sorokin both capable of keeping things tight in net, this projects as another defensive battle where goals will be tough to come by.
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