Penguins vs. Stars, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, December 7, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Pittsburgh Penguins face the Dallas Stars with both teams looking to build on impressive seasons. The Penguins are 14-7-5 and two wins in a row have them in third place in the Metropolitan Division. The Stars have a 19-5-5 and two wins in a row plus seven wins in the last 10 games have them in second place in the Western Conference. Who will win this game? Check out our Penguins vs Stars prediction!
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Pittsburgh is led by a great defense
The Penguins are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.19 goals per game. Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Bryan Rust have scored 34 goals and 45 assists while defenseman Erik Karlsson has added a goal and 17 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has carried the Penguins, allowing only 2.73 goals per game with only four goals in the last two games. Erik Karlsson and Parker Wotherspoon have combined for 3.8 defensive point shares while Ryan Shea and Kris Letang have combined for 3.3 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Tristan Jarry has looked great in his recent starts, stopping 65 of the 69 shots to lead to two wins and building off a season where he has 5.3 goals saved above average.
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Key injury report for Penguins
- Justin Brazeau (upper body) will miss the road trip the Penguins are on. Has six goals and six assists.
- Rickard Rakell (hand) is out three to four weeks. Has three goals and five assists.
Dallas is playing well across the board
The Stars are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.45 goals per game with seven goals in the last two games. Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson, and Wyatt Johnston have scored 47 goals and 61 assists while Miro Heiskanen has five goals and 20 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has been remarkable, allowing only 2.52 goals per game with only one goal in the last two games. Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell have combined for 4.9 defensive point shares while Alexander Petrovic and Ilya Lyubushkin have combined for 2.4 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Jake Oettinger has been lights out, allowing only one goal in his last two starts to build on a season where he has a .908 save percentage and a 2.52 goals-against average on 519 shots with 5.2 goals saved above average.
Key injury report for Stars
- Tyler Seguin (knee) is out for the season. Had seven goals and 10 assists
- Thomas Harley (lower body) is day-to-day. Has one goal and nine assists.
Penguins vs Stars Pick
Money Line Pick For Penguins vs Stars
- Stars -1.5 (+120) (4 units)
The Penguins have won two games in a row and look like a team that can easily pull off the upset. However, the Stars are playing like the best team in the NHL, and they look to take over this game from the first period. The Stars, who have scored seven goals in the last two games, should pile on the goals with Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with effective puck movement. The Stars, who have allowed only one goal in the last two games, should limit the Penguins' offense with Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell forcing turnovers and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jake Oettinger to make plenty of big saves. The Stars should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice.
Over/Under Pick For Penguins vs Stars
- Under 6 (5 Units)
Both teams are playing incredible defense and this game looks to be a low-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Penguins, who have allowed only four goals in the last two games, should limit the Stars' offense with Erik Karlsson, Ryan Shea, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Tristan Jarry to make plenty of big saves. The Stars should eliminate the Penguins' offense with Jake Oettinger, who has allowed only one goal in the last two starts, blanking the shots on the net while defensemen Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell give him a boost by creating turnovers in the defensive zone. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game controlled by both defenses.
Take the Under on 6 goals.
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