Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Predictions for Thursday January 22 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/22/2026, 06:45 AM ET
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The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to face the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday, January 22, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 9:00 PM EST at Rogers Place. This matchup will be televised on ESPN+. Edmonton enters as the home favorite with the Oilers listed at -198 on the moneyline, while the Penguins are priced at +164. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the Over at -105 and the Under at -115. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting insights and analysis.

Penguins Looking to Bounce Back on the Road

Pittsburgh Penguins come into this matchup with a 23-14-11 overall record and have been solid away from home at 12-7-4 on the road. Over their last five games, the Penguins have recently won over the Kraken and Flyers, but have also recently lost to the Blue Jackets, Lightning, and Bruins, with two of those defeats coming in shootouts. That stretch highlights how competitive Pittsburgh has been even in losses.

From a statistical standpoint, Pittsburgh is averaging 3.23 goals per game while allowing 2.92 goals against. They generate 29 shots per game and allow 27.6 shots against, showing balanced puck possession. Special teams have been a major strength, with a 28 percent power play and an 83.1 percent penalty kill.

One aspect that stands out for the Penguins is their efficiency on special teams. Their ability to capitalize with the man advantage while limiting damage when shorthanded has helped keep them in tight games, particularly on the road.

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Oilers Aiming to Defend Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers enter this contest with a 25-18-8 overall record and a 12-7-4 mark at home. In their last five games, the Oilers have recently won over the Blues and Canucks, but have also recently lost to the Devils, Islanders, and Predators, with two of those losses coming by a single goal. That run suggests Edmonton has been competitive but inconsistent.

Statistically, Edmonton is averaging 3.35 goals per game while allowing 3.08 goals against. They take 29.2 shots per game and allow 27 shots against, reflecting a fast-paced style. Their power play has been elite at 32.6 percent, supported by 46 power play goals, while the penalty kill sits at 80.6 percent.

The Oilers’ biggest strength continues to be their offensive firepower. When their top units get time and space, Edmonton can quickly tilt the ice and put pressure on opposing defenses.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Pick

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Pick

  • Pick: Edmonton Oilers moneyline

Edmonton is the pick here due to their home-ice advantage and superior offensive ceiling. While Pittsburgh is disciplined and efficient, the Oilers’ power play and scoring depth give them the edge in a matchup where special teams could be decisive.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 6.5

I’m backing the under because both teams are capable defensively and tend to play tighter games against quality opponents. With strong penalty kills on both sides and several recent one-goal games for Edmonton, this matchup sets up for controlled pace and limited scoring chances.

Final Score Prediction: Edmonton Oilers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.

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