Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers Picks and Prediction, Saturday, February 28, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 02/28/2026, 03:50 AM ET
Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers prediction
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The Pittsburgh Penguins face the New York Rangers, with both teams heading in opposite directions, with the trade deadline a week away. The Penguins are 30-15-12 and with a 3-1 win in their return from the break, they sit in second place in the Metropolitan Division. The Rangers are 22-29-7 and even with a point in their latest game, they sit in last place in the Eastern Conference. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Penguins vs Rangers prediction!

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Penguins are led by a great offense

The Penguins are one of the surprises in the NHL this season, with their offense leading the way, scoring 3.42 goals per game. Evgeni Malkin, Anthony Mantha, and Bryan Rust have scored 52 goals and 77 assists while defenseman Erik Karlsson has added four goals and 31 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has stepped up but the defense has been great lately, allowing only 2.86 goals per game, including allowing only one goal in their return to action. Ryan Shea and Parker Wotherspoon have combined for 7.2 defensive point shares while Erik Karlsson and Kris Letang have combined for 5.8 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. The hope is that goaltender Stuart Skinner improves as he’s struggled this season with -2.8 goals saved above average.

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Key injury report for Penguins

  • Sidney Crosby is out for at least four weeks.

New York is let down by awful offense

The Rangers are having an awful season with their offense letting them down, scoring only 2.60 goals per game, with only two goals in their recent game. Mika Zibanejad and Vincent Trocheck have scored 35 goals and 54 assists but the rest of the unit has struggled. Only five active skaters have 10 goals or more and opponents can limit the hapless offense as a result.

The offense has struggled but the defense has also been a mess, allowing 3.16 goals per game. Vladislav Gavrikov and William Borgen have combined for 4.6 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. Additionally, goaltender Jonathan Quick has struggled with -3.1 goals saved above average.

Key injury report for Rangers

  • No key injuries to report.

Penguins vs Rangers Pick

Money Line Pick For Penguins vs Rangers

  • Penguins (-110) (4 units)

The Penguins look unfazed by the Sidney Crosby injury, and I see them shredding a terrible Rangers team that has only won six games at home this season. The Penguins, who average 3.42 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Rangers, who allow 3.16 goals per game, with Evgeni Malkin, Anthony Mantha, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with centering passes. The Penguins, who allow only 2.86 goals per game, should eliminate the Rangers offense, which averages only 2.60 goals per game, with Ryan Shea, Parker Wotherspoon, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Penguins should win the game with a dominant performance on the road.

Take the Penguins money line as road Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Penguins vs Rangers

  • Under 5.5 (5 Units)

The Penguins have played great defense lately, and I see this game being a low-scoring one from the first period. The Rangers should limit the Penguins offense with Vladislav Gavrikov, William Borgen, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jonathan Quick to make plenty of big saves. The Penguins look to build off a game where they allowed only one goal and eliminate a Rangers offense that scored only two goals in their last game with Ryan Shea, Parker Wotherspoon, Erik Karlsson, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in all three zones while goaltender Stuart Skinner steps up in the net and blanks the shots. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both defenses stepping up.

Take the Under on 5.5 goals.

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