Pittsburgh Penguins vs St. Louis Blues Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday April 14 2026
Use Code WWWC Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins roll into Enterprise Center on Tuesday night carrying a bruised recent record and a banged-up roster, and the St. Louis Blues are sitting in a prime position to take full advantage of both. Our NHL picks for the Pittsburgh Penguins vs St. Louis Blues break down a game where a Penguins squad that leads the NHL in goals per game has hit a sharp form wall, where a Blues team in a classic home-control spot has been winning with structure and balance, and where the injury picture may be the most decisive variable of all before puck drop at Enterprise Center. Here is the complete breakdown.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Puck Line Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
- Total Pick: Under 6.5 (-112)
- Projected Final Score: St. Louis 3, Pittsburgh 2
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | +106 | Over 6.5 +100 |
| St. Louis Blues | -128 | Under 6.5 -122 |
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | +118 | Over 6.5 -108 |
| St. Louis Blues | -142 | Under 6.5 -112 |
Line Movement - Puck Line
| Date | Time | Pittsburgh | St. Louis | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/14 | 04:20:12 AM | +106 | -128 | |
| 04/14 | 04:39:01 AM | +114 | -137 | |
| 04/14 | 05:08:45 AM | |||
| 04/14 | 06:08:13 AM | +112 | -134 | |
| 04/14 | 07:37:43 AM | +118 | -142 | |
| 04/14 | 07:37:56 AM | +112 | -134 | |
| 04/14 | 07:38:04 AM | +114 | -137 | |
| 04/14 | 08:27:07 AM | +116 | -138 | |
| 04/14 | 08:27:22 AM | +116 | -140 | |
| 04/14 | 08:27:40 AM | +122 | -146 | |
| 04/14 | 08:27:52 AM | +120 | -144 | |
| 04/14 | 08:28:35 AM | +116 | -140 | |
| 04/14 | 08:29:10 AM | +118 | -142 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/14 | 04:20:12 AM | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -122 | |
| 04/14 | 05:08:45 AM | |||
| 04/14 | 06:43:49 AM | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -122 | |
| 04/14 | 07:37:43 AM | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 | |
| 04/14 | 07:37:56 AM | 6.5 -108 | 6.5 -112 | |
| 04/14 | 08:27:40 AM | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 | |
| 04/14 | 08:28:35 AM | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 | |
| 04/14 | 08:29:10 AM | 6.5 -108 | 6.5 -112 |
Penguins vs Blues Key Matchups and Handicap
The Penguins-Blues matchup on April 14 at Enterprise Center looks like a solid spot for St. Louis from a betting perspective, and the tension between Pittsburgh's season-long offensive pedigree and its sharp recent-form decline is the central story shaping how to approach this game. The Blues are priced as a -130 to -142 home favorite, the total has held firm at 6.5 throughout the movement window, and the key question is whether Pittsburgh's star-driven offense can flip the script against a Blues team that has been winning through structure and balance over the past few weeks.
The season-long offensive edge belongs clearly to Pittsburgh. The Penguins average 3.52 goals per game, one of the higher marks in the entire league, compared with St. Louis at 2.73. Pittsburgh's power play operates at 24.3 percent, ranking among the most dangerous in the NHL, compared with the Blues' 17.5 percent. On paper, the Penguins are the more explosive offensive team by a meaningful margin, and those numbers represent real talent and real shot-creation ability that does not simply disappear.
However, recent form has told a very different story. Pittsburgh has dropped back-to-back games against Washington by scores of 3-0 and 6-3, a two-game stretch where the Penguins were unable to generate consistent offense against a quality opponent. That kind of performance sequence heading into a road game creates legitimate doubt about whether Pittsburgh's season-long offensive numbers reflect what this team is doing right now versus what it was capable of earlier in the year.
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St. Louis has been winning with discipline and balance, which is the correct approach for a home team looking to grind out a late-season result. The Blues have won three of their last four, including a 6-3 result over Minnesota and a 5-3 win at Chicago — quality results against reasonable competition that reflect a team playing with purpose. St. Louis allows 3.08 goals per game compared with Pittsburgh's 3.10, a nearly identical defensive profile, but the Blues have been more consistent in protecting their defensive structure over the recent stretch, which is what matters most heading into Tuesday.
The individual star-power matchup is genuinely fascinating and keeps Pittsburgh live in this game regardless of the recent form concerns. Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 74 points and remains one of the most dangerous offensive players in the NHL when he is driving the top line. Erik Karlsson leads the club with 45 assists, providing offensive-zone quarterback ability from the blue line that can swing a power play at any moment. Anthony Mantha's 32 goals give Pittsburgh the top pure finishing number in the entire matchup — a legitimately dangerous scorer who can change a game with a single release.
St. Louis counters with Robert Thomas, who has been the engine of the Blues' attack all season with 59 points, 22 goals, and 37 assists. Thomas does not have the same ceiling as Crosby in terms of individual impact, but he is a consistently productive top-six forward who can generate offense at even strength and on the power play. The Blues do not match Pittsburgh's high-end scoring ceiling on paper, but they have been more balanced and reliable across the lineup in the recent stretch, which is a meaningful advantage in a tight road game like this one.
The injury picture is the most decisive variable in this matchup and the factor that most clearly separates the two sides heading into puck drop. Pittsburgh lists Ryan Shea, Ben Kindel, Anthony Mantha, Noel Acciari, and Connor Clifton as day to day — a list that touches both middle-six forward depth and the blue-line depth simultaneously. The Mantha question is the most impactful individual concern. If the Penguins' top goal scorer is unavailable or limited, Pittsburgh loses the finishing threat that makes the top line as dangerous as the season numbers suggest. Any limitation to Clifton or Shea further thins a defensive corps that was already leaking goals in those recent Washington losses. St. Louis appears to be in much cleaner shape entering Tuesday, with no major injuries highlighted in recent reporting, giving the Blues a meaningful roster-stability edge for a late-season game where healthy depth can be the deciding factor.
The totals movement has been one of the more interesting sequences of the morning. This line opened with the under already heavily juiced at -122 and the over sitting at +100, a strong opening signal from the books that a low-scoring outcome was the primary expectation. The over has since been progressively bet up from +100 to nearly even-money at the current -108 to -110 range, with the under juice dropping from -122 to -112. That steady migration of juice toward the over suggests money has been coming in on the higher-scoring side, but the books have not moved the number — still holding firm at 6.5. When sharp action is flowing toward the over but the books refuse to move the number past 6.5, it is often a signal that the market is absorbing the over bets with confidence. St. Louis generally plays lower-event hockey, and the Blues' best path to a win is a structured, controlled home result that stays under the total.
Betting Trends - PIT and STL
- Pittsburgh averages 3.52 goals per game, compared with St. Louis at 2.73, giving the Penguins the clear season-long offensive ceiling edge.
- The Penguins' power play operates at 24.3 percent compared with the Blues' 17.5 percent, a significant special-teams gap on paper.
- Pittsburgh dropped its last two games to Washington by scores of 3-0 and 6-3, reflecting a sharp recent form decline heading into Tuesday.
- St. Louis has won three of its last four, including a 6-3 result over Minnesota and a 5-3 win at Chicago.
- Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh with 74 points, while Erik Karlsson leads the club with 45 assists, providing elite top-line talent for the road side.
- Anthony Mantha leads Pittsburgh with 32 goals but is currently listed as day to day, creating uncertainty around the Penguins' top finishing threat.
- Robert Thomas leads St. Louis with 59 points, 22 goals, and 37 assists, giving the Blues their most consistent offensive driver.
- Pittsburgh lists five players as day to day, including contributors across the forward depth and defensive depth chart, giving St. Louis a meaningful roster-stability edge.
- The total opened with the under heavily juiced at -122, and while over money has since tightened the juice, the number has held firm at 6.5 throughout the entire movement window.
- St. Louis' moneyline climbed from -128 at open to as high as -146 through the morning movement window, reflecting consistent money coming in on the home side.
Key Injuries and Notes - PIT and STL
- Anthony Mantha (PIT) - Day to Day: The Penguins' leading goal scorer with 32 on the season is listed as day to day, creating the most significant individual uncertainty in this game. If Mantha is unavailable, Pittsburgh loses its top finishing threat and the top-line dynamic shifts considerably.
- Connor Clifton (PIT) - Day to Day: The defenseman is listed as day to day, adding to Pittsburgh's blue-line depth concerns ahead of a road game where defensive structure will be tested against St. Louis' balanced offensive attack.
- Ryan Shea (PIT) - Day to Day: Also listed as day to day, further thinning the Penguins' defensive corps entering Tuesday and compounding the injury attrition on Pittsburgh's blue line.
- Noel Acciari (PIT) - Day to Day: The forward's availability is uncertain, adding middle-six depth concerns to an already stressed Pittsburgh lineup heading into puck drop.
- Ben Kindel (PIT) - Day to Day: Listed as day to day alongside the other Penguins contributors, representing the fifth notable availability question for Pittsburgh's active roster on Tuesday.
- St. Louis Blues - No Major Injuries Reported: St. Louis enters Tuesday without any major injuries highlighted in recent team reporting, giving the Blues a significant roster-stability and depth advantage over a Pittsburgh club managing five day-to-day contributors simultaneously.
Penguins vs Blues ATS and Total Picks
- Puck Line Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 — Pittsburgh still carries enough shot-creation and special-teams upside with Crosby driving the top line to keep this game competitive and stay within a goal. Taking the puck line rather than the moneyline is the correct approach for a Penguins team that has the offensive ceiling to score in this game but faces too many injury and form questions to back outright against a healthy Blues club at home.
- Total Pick: Under 6.5 (-112) — St. Louis generally plays lower-event, structured hockey, the Blues' best path is a controlled home win that limits Pittsburgh's transition opportunities, and the Penguins' recent offense has cooled sharply after back-to-back Washington losses. The total opened with the under heavily juiced and has held at 6.5 despite over pressure — the books' refusal to move the number off 6.5 is a meaningful signal. Back the under.
Final Score Prediction
St. Louis' healthier roster, steadier recent form, and home-ice advantage give the Blues the structural edge they need to grind out a narrow victory in a game that projects as a tight, defensive-minded affair from start to finish. Crosby and the Penguins' top line will generate dangerous moments, but Pittsburgh's injury attrition and recent form decline make it difficult to trust them to finish with enough production to win outright on the road. Our projected final score is St. Louis 3, Pittsburgh 2.
How to Bet the Penguins vs Blues
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