Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Monday, November 3, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Pittsburgh Penguins face the Toronto Maple Leafs with both teams on opposite ends of the standings to begin the season. The Penguins are 8-3-2 and have the second-best record in the Metropolitan Division. The Maple Leafs have a 6-5-1 record and have the third-worst record in the Atlantic Division. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Penguins vs Maple Leafs prediction!
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Penguins have been led by a great offense
The Penguins are having a great season with their offense leading the way, scoring 3.54 goals per game with 14 goals in the last four games. Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin have scored 12 goals and 22 assists to lead the top line but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Bryan Rust and Anthony Mantha have combined for 10 goals and 11 assists while defensemen Erik Karlsson and Ryan Shea have added two goals and 15 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has also been great, allowing only 2.62 goals per game. Erik Karlsson and Kris Letang have combined for 2.2 defensive point shares while Parker Wotherspoon and Ryan Shea have combined for 2.1 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Arturs Silov has been great with a .913 save percentage and a 2.66 goals-against average on 219 shots with 3.9 goals saved above average.
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RW Justin Brazeau is day-to-day.
Toronto hopes offense turns season around
The Maple Leafs are having a rocky season despite their offense stepping up and scoring 3.58 goals per game, with 16 goals in their last four games. William Nylander, Matthew Knies, and John Tavares have scored 13 goals and 33 assists to lead the top two lines but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Auston Matthews, Nicolas Robertson, and Matias Maccelli have combined for 11 goals and nine assists, while defensemen Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have added three goals and 11 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.67 goals per game. Brandon Carlo and Jake McCabe have combined for 1.4 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Anthony Stolarz has struggled with a .893 save percentage and a 3.13 goals-against average on 262 shots with -0.3 goals saved above average.
D Chris Tanev (upper body) was placed on the IR>
Penguins vs Maple Leafs Pick
Money Line Pick For Penguins vs Maple Leafs
- Penguins (+145) (4 units)
The Maple Leafs look to build off a strong win on the road but the Penguins are having a great season and look to take over this game on the road. The Penguins, who average 3.54 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Penguins, who allow only 2.62 goals per game, should limit the Maple Leafs offense with Kris Letang, Erik Karlsson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Arturs Silovs to make plenty of big saves. The Penguins should win the game and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs.
Take the Penguins' money line as road Underdogs.
Over/Under Pick For Penguins vs Maple Leafs
- Over 6.5 (5 Units)
Both teams have great offenses that look to make this game a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.58 goals per game, should pile on the goals with William Nylander, John Tavares, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Penguins, who have scored 16 goals in their last four games, should run up the score against the Maple Leafs, who allow 3.67 goals per game, with Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Bryan Rust, and the rest of the forward unit overwhelming the Maple Leafs defense with speed in all three zones and creating open shots with effective puck movement while Erik Karlsson and Ryan Shea pick apart the Maple Leafs defense from the point. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Over on 6.5 goals.
The Penguins face the Maple Leafs with both teams looking to improve in the Eastern Conference.
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