Saint Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights Pick and Prediction for Saturday January 10 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/10/2026, 07:50 AM ET
Golden Knights goaltender Akira Schmid
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The St. Louis Blues travel to T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday, January 10, 2026. This 10:00 PM EST matchup, airing on ESPN+, features a Vegas squad battling to maintain their lead in the Pacific Division against a St. Louis team looking to bounce back from a rough defensive outing in Chicago. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on the full slate of NHL action, be sure to check out the latest free NHL picks over at Winners and Whiners.

St. Louis Blues: Looking for Defensive Stability

The Blues (17-19-8) enter this matchup following a high-scoring 7-3 loss to the Blackhawks. St. Louis has struggled to contain opponents this season, surrendering 3.43 goals against per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Offensively, they average 2.50 goals per game, relying on a disciplined system that emphasizes quality over quantity.

The Blues are currently managing a thin middle-six due to injuries. Forward Pius Suter is OUT and remains on Injured Reserve (IR) with an ankle injury, not expected to return until late January. The team is also missing Dylan Holloway (Ankle) and Nick Bjugstad (Upper Body), both of whom are on IR. On the blue line, Torey Krug remains out for the season. In net, the Blues are expected to start Joel Hofer (2.88 GAA, .900 SV%), who has statistically outpaced veteran Jordan Binnington in recent weeks.

Vegas Golden Knights: Overcoming a Goaltending Crisis

The Golden Knights (19-11-12) have been resilient despite a mounting injury list, coming off a 5-3 comeback win over Columbus. Vegas features a top-ten offense averaging 3.10 goals per game and an elite power play operating at 25.2%. However, their primary concern is in the crease; Carter Hart is OUT after suffering a significant leg injury on Thursday night, and Adin Hill remains on IR, though he has recently resumed practicing.

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Vegas will likely turn to Akira Schmid (2.52 GAA, .894 SV%), who performed well in relief on Thursday. The skaters are also missing star defenseman Shea Theodore (Upper Body) and William Karlsson (Lower Body), both of whom are on IR. Despite these absences, the Golden Knights have remained dangerous due to their league-leading shot suppression, allowing only 24.9 shots against per game.

St. Louis Blues vs. Vegas Golden Knights Prediction

The disparity in defensive structure and special teams favors the home side, though Vegas's reliance on a backup goaltender adds a layer of volatility.

St. Louis Blues vs. Vegas Golden Knights ATS Pick

  • Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (+135)

Vegas has shown an incredible ability to rally when facing adversity at home. While they are down to their third-string goaltender, their defensive system is designed to protect the crease, allowing the fewest shots in the league. St. Louis's defense has been porous lately, surrendering seven goals in their last game. Expect Vegas's superior power play and home-ice advantage to be the difference, leading to a multi-goal win.

St. Louis Blues vs. Vegas Golden Knights Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 6 (-115)

St. Louis has consistently trended toward the Over recently, largely due to their defensive struggles (3.43 GA/G). Vegas has the offensive firepower to exploit those weaknesses, and with Akira Schmid in net, the Blues should be able to find the scoresheet a few times as well. Given both teams' current goaltending situations and St. Louis's defensive form, this game projects to reach the 4-3 or 5-2 range.

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