Sharks vs Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Thursday, December 11, 2025
Use Code WWWC The San Jose Sharks face the Toronto Maple Leafs, with both teams on the outside of the playoff picture, looking in. The Sharks have a 14-14-3 record, but three losses in their last four games have them just outside playoff position in the Western Conference. The Maple Leafs have a 14-11-4 record, and with four wins in their last five games, they are suddenly in the mix for a wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Sharks vs Maple Leafs prediction!
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San Jose has struggled on both ends
The Sharks are having a promising season but their offense has struggled, scoring only 2.77 goals per game with only seven goals in the last four games. Macklin Celebrini and Will Smith have scored 27 goals and 45 assists but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only five skaters have seven goals or more and opponents can limit the top-heavy offense as a result.
The offense has struggled, but the defense has also played poorly, allowing 3.29 goals per game, including 16 goals in the last four games. Mario Ferraro and Dmitry Orlov have combined for 3.1 defensive point share,s but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to fire the puck on the net with ease. Additionally, Yaroslav Askarov has struggled in his latest starts, allowing 10 goals in the last three.
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Key injury report for Sharks
- No key injuries to report.
Maple Leafs hope offense fuels season turnaround
The Maple Leafs are turning a corner on the season, thanks to their offense stepping up and scoring 3.34 goals per game with 19 goals in the last five games. William Nylander and John Tavares have scored 24 goals and 38 assists while Matthew Knies, Auston Matthews, and Bobby McMann have combined for 27 goals and 35 assists to give the Maple Leafs depth in their forward unit.
The defense has struggled all season, allowing 3.17 goals per game, but they’ve stepped up in their own end as well, allowing only five goals in the last five games. Jake McCabe and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have combined for 3.3 defensive point shares but while Morgan Rielly and Troy Stetcher have combined for 1.8 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. Moreover, goaltender Dennis Hildeby has been great, allowing only three goals in three starts.
Key injury report for Maple Leafs
- Anthony Stolarz is on injured reserve. Is the starting goaltender for the Maple Leafs.
- Joseph Woll (lower body) was placed on long-term injured reserve. Is the backup for the Maple Leafs.
Sharks vs Maple Leafs Pick
Money Line Pick For Sharks vs Maple Leafs
- Maple Leafs -1.5 (+120) (4 units)
The Maple Leafs are playing great across the board, and they look to take over this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.34 goals per game, should pile on the goals against Yaroslav Askarov, who has allowed 10 goals in his last three starts, plus the Sharks' defense in front of him, with William Nylander, John Tavares, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs, who have allowed only five goals in their last five games, should limit the Sharks' offense with Dennis Hildeby, who has allowed only three goals in his last three starts, blanking the shots on the net with Jake McCabe and Oliver Ekman-Larsson creating turnovers in the defensive zone. The Maple Leafs should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice.
Over/Under Pick For Sharks vs Maple Leafs
- Over 6.5 (5 Units)
The Maple Leafs are led by their offense, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Sharks should create plenty of scoring chances with Macklin Celebrini, Will Smith, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs, who have scored 19 goals in their last five games, should run up the score against the Sharks, who have allowed 16 goals in their last four games, with William Nylander, John Tavares, Matthew Knies, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while creating open shots with effective puck movement to overwhelm the Sharks defense. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Over on 6.5 goals.
The Sharks head to Toronto to face the Maple Leafs with both teams looking to climb into a playoff position.
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