Seattle Kraken vs Ottawa Senators Prediction and Picks - October 16, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 10/16/2025, 07:30 AM ET
Shane Pinto looks to lead the Seantors over the Kraken
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National Hockey League action on Thursday evening, and we have a Seattle Kraken vs Ottawa Senators Prediction ready to rock and roll. Seattle enters this game at 2-0-1 on the year and they are off a 5-4 OT loss to Montreal on the road. Ottawa is off to a rough 1-3 start, which includes an 8-4 loss to Buffalo last night. The Sens won both meetings last year. Read on to see our Kraken vs Senators prediction.

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A Tough Loss To Montreal On The Road

Seattle enters Thursday’s game undefeated and riding a three-game win streak, including a 2–1 overtime win against Vegas and a 3–2 road victory over Montreal. The Kraken have allowed just four goals through three games and boast a team save percentage of .938. Their penalty kill has been perfect (9-for-9), and they’ve outscored opponents 7–3 at even strength. Seattle’s top line of Jared McCann, Jordan Eberle, and Matty Beniers has combined for eight points, while defenseman Vince Dunn has added three points from the blue line.

Goaltender Joey Daccord is expected to start, coming off a 23-win season with a .907 save percentage and a 2.70 goals-against average. Seattle’s defensive structure has been sharp, and their shot suppression ranks top-10 league-wide. Injuries to Kaapo Kakko and Ryker Evans haven’t slowed the Kraken, who’ve leaned on depth scoring from Chandler Stephenson, Jaden Schwartz, and Eeli Tolvanen. Rookie Berkly Catton remains a healthy scratch but could make his debut soon.

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Last season, Seattle finished 35–41–6 and ranked 16th in goals scored (245) and 24th in goals allowed (262). Their power play converted 19.4% of chances, and they posted a -17 goal differential. The Kraken were 21–35 as underdogs and struggled on the road, but early returns this season suggest a more balanced, defensively sound team. With a points percentage of 1.000 and a chance to sweep their Canadian road trip, Seattle will look to control tempo and exploit Ottawa’s defensive breakdowns.

Defense Struggles In Loss To Buffalo

Ottawa returns home after a brutal 8–4 loss to Buffalo, where they allowed four goals in the second period and three more in the third. The Senators have now given up 18 goals in their last three games and rank 31st in team save percentage (.821). Linus Ullmark gets the start in this one and he has allowed 12 goals on 76 shots, while the penalty kill has surrendered five goals on 14 attempts (64.3%). Ottawa’s defensive zone coverage has collapsed repeatedly, and they’ve been outscored 14–6 at even strength.

Jake Sanderson and Jordan Spence each had multi-point nights against Buffalo, while Shane Pinto and Lars Eller added third-period goals. Captain Brady Tkachuk remains out with a wrist injury, and the team has struggled to generate consistent offense without him. Tim Stutzle and Claude Giroux have combined for just one goal through four games, and Ottawa’s power play sits at 18.2% (2-for-11). The Senators have fired 94 shots but are converting just 8.5%, and their defensive lapses have erased any momentum from their season-opening win over Tampa Bay.

Last season, Ottawa finished 45–30–7 and ranked 18th in scoring (242 goals) and 13th in goals allowed (232). Their power play was elite at 23.8%, and they posted a +10 goal differential. However, they’ve opened this season with a .250 points percentage and have been outscored 18–8 overall. Head coach Travis Green faces mounting pressure to stabilize the defense and find scoring depth, especially with Seattle’s structured forecheck and disciplined penalty kill coming to town.

Seattle Kraken vs Ottawa Senators Pick

Kraken vs Senators Moneyline Pick

  • Ottawa -144 (4 Units)

Ottawa offers bounce-back potential after a humbling 8–4 loss to Buffalo, where defensive breakdowns and goaltending lapses overshadowed a solid offensive showing. The Senators still managed four goals and 31 shots, with Jake Sanderson and Jordan Spence contributing multi-point efforts. With Brady Tkachuk sidelined, Ottawa’s depth scoring becomes critical—and players like Shane Pinto, Tim Stutzle, and Claude Giroux are due for positive regression after a slow start. Seattle’s defense has been sharp, but they’ve faced lower-volume offenses so far, and Ottawa’s shot generation (94 shots in four games) could test Joey Daccord more than previous opponents.

Despite their 1–3 record, Ottawa has shown flashes of offensive rhythm and remains dangerous on home ice. Their power play sits at 18.2%, and they’ve converted in two straight games. If they tighten up defensively and get a steadier performance from Linus Ullmark, they’re capable of flipping momentum against a Kraken team that’s riding a perfect start but hasn’t faced a team with Ottawa’s offensive ceiling. With urgency mounting and scoring talent still intact, the Senators are a live dog in a spot that sets up well for a rebound.

Kraken vs Senators Over/Under Pick

  • Over 5.5 (5 Units)

Over 5.5 is in play with Ottawa’s defensive collapse and Seattle’s steady scoring pace both pointing toward a high-event matchup. The Senators have allowed 18 goals in their last three games, including eight to Buffalo, and their penalty kill sits at just 64.3%. Seattle has scored seven goals in three games and ranks top-10 in shot suppression, but they’ve also generated consistent offensive zone time and converted in key moments. With Ottawa pushing to rebound and Seattle capable of exploiting breakdowns, this game has the potential to clear the total behind power-play chances, rebound goals, and late pressure.

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