St. Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins Prediction and Picks - December 4, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 12/04/2025, 02:14 AM ET
Alex Steeves looks to lead the Bruins over the Blues
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National League Hockey action on Thursday evening, and we have a St. Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins Prediction ready to roll for you. St Louis enters this contest of a 4-1 home loss to the Ducks at home to fall to 9-18 on the year. Boston checks in at 15-13 on the season and they are off a 5-4 road loss to the Red Wings. These teams split the two meetings a year ago. Read on to see our Blues vs Bruins prediction.

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Offense Struggles In Loss To Ducks

The Blues’ most recent game was a 4–1 home loss to the Anaheim Ducks on December 1, where Jordan Kyrou scored their lone goal in the first period before Anaheim pulled away with three unanswered tallies. Joel Hofer made 19 saves in relief, but St. Louis went 0‑for‑6 on the power play and couldn’t generate sustained offense.

That defeat highlighted the offensive struggles that have plagued St. Louis all season. The Blues average just 2.6 goals per game (29th) and rank near the bottom in shots at 25.3 per game (27th). Robert Thomas leads the team with 17 points, but outside of Kyrou’s eight goals, consistent scoring has been hard to come by. Their power play sits at 19.2% (18th), respectable but not enough to offset their lack of even‑strength production. Winning faceoffs at 51% (12th) has helped them control possession in spurts, but the lack of finishing touch has kept them from climbing out of the Central Division basement.

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Defensively, St. Louis hasn’t fared much better, allowing 3.4 goals per game (27th) despite limiting opponents to 27.3 shots (13th). Their penalty kill is shaky at 76.6% (25th), and they’ve managed just one shutout all season. Discipline has been an issue too, with 188 penalty minutes (31st), often putting them in tough spots. Jordan Binnington and Joel Hofer have both struggled with save percentages under .885, leaving the Blues vulnerable in close games. Heading into Boston, St. Louis will need Kyrou and Thomas to spark the offense while hoping their goaltending can hold up against one of the league’s better power‑play units.

Bruiins Take One Of Two Vs Detroit

Boston’s last game was a 5–4 road loss to the Detroit Red Wings on December 2, where Alex Steeves scored twice and Marat Khusnutdinov added a goal, but the Bruins couldn’t overcome Detroit’s early surge. Jeremy Swayman made 18 saves , but allowed all five goals before being pulled. The Bruins surrendered a pair of power‑play goals and fell short despite a late push. It was game two of a home-and-home series. Boston did take game one.

Offensively, the Bruins have been solid, averaging 3.0 goals per game (17th) while ranking 6th on the power play at 24.7%. David Pastrnak leads the team with 29 points (11 goals, 18 assists), and Morgan Geekie has been a breakout scorer with 20 goals already. Pavel Zacha continues to provide steady playmaking, and Boston’s ability to win draws at 51.8% (11th) helps them sustain pressure. Their shot totals sit at 27.1 per game (19th), but efficiency on special teams has kept them competitive in the Atlantic Division.

Defensively, Boston has been inconsistent, allowing 3.2 goals per game (23rd) and ranking near the bottom in shots against at 30.7 (29th). Still, their penalty kill has been strong at 82.6% (8th), and Swayman has been reliable with a .910 save percentage. Discipline remains a concern, as the Bruins lead the league with 367 penalty minutes, often forcing their PK to shoulder extra work. With Charlie McAvoy and David Pastrnak both day‑to‑day, depth will be tested, but Boston’s home record (9–5–0) and strong special teams give them an edge against a Blues squad struggling to score.

St. Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins Pick

Blues vs Bruins Moneyline Pick

  • St Louis -135 (5 Units)

Taking St. Louis in this spot has some logic behind it, especially given how the Blues have quietly shown flashes despite their overall struggles. In their 4–1 loss to Anaheim, Jordan Kyrou scored early and Robert Thomas continued to create chances, but the lack of finishing doomed them. Still, the Blues have the ability to grind games down with their faceoff strength (51% win rate, 12th in the NHL) and a power play that sits at 19.2%, which can be enough to tilt momentum if they stay disciplined. Boston’s penalty issues — they lead the league with 367 penalty minutes — could open the door for St. Louis to capitalize on special teams, and that’s where the Blues have a chance to steal one.

Defensively, St. Louis has been shaky, allowing 3.4 goals per game (27th), but Boston hasn’t exactly been airtight either, giving up 3.2 goals per game (23rd) and ranking near the bottom in shots against. The Bruins’ reliance on David Pastrnak and Morgan Geekie for offense leaves them vulnerable if those top scorers are contained, while the Blues can spread their attack through Kyrou, Thomas, and Pavel Buchnevich. Ville Husso and Jordan Binnington haven’t been consistent, but if one of them can deliver a solid outing, St. Louis has enough balance to frustrate Boston’s attack. With the Bruins’ tendency to take penalties and the Blues’ ability to slow the game down, backing St. Louis feels like a live underdog play.

Blues vs Bruins Over/Under Pick

  • Under 5.5 (4 Units)

The Under 5.5 feels like the sharper angle here because both St. Louis and Boston have struggled to consistently finish offensively while showing enough defensive structure to keep games tighter. The Blues average just 2.6 goals per game (29th) and rank near the bottom in shots at 25.3 per game, while Boston sits at 3.0 goals per game (17th) but has leaned heavily on its power play to generate offense. At even strength, both clubs have been streaky, and their recent matchups have featured stretches of low‑event hockey. Defensively, Boston’s penalty kill is strong at 82.6% (8th), and St. Louis, despite allowing 3.4 goals per game, has kept shot totals manageable at 27.3 against (13th). With the Blues struggling to score and the Bruins prone to grinding games down, this matchup has the profile of a slower, more controlled contest that stays beneath the 5.5 total.

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