St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday January 23 2026
Use Code WWWC Blues vs Stars picks take center stage Friday night in Dallas, where the betting market is clearly siding with the home team but still leaving room for how the game is likely to play out. This matchup at American Airlines Center sets up as a classic favorite-with-edges spot, and it is an important game to break down for anyone building Friday’s NHL picks card.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Dallas Stars -1.5
- Total: Under 5.5
- Projected Final Score: Stars 4, Blues 1
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | +150 | 5.5 |
| Dallas | -180 | 5.5 |
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Blues | +136 | 5.5 |
| Stars | -164 | 5.5 |
Line Movement - Puck Line
| Date | Dallas | St. Louis |
|---|---|---|
| 01/23 | -1.5 (+150) | +1.5 (-180) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 01/23 | 5.5 (-132) | 5.5 (+108) |
| 01/22 | 5.5 (-130) | 5.5 (+106) |
Stars vs Blues
Dallas enters this matchup with clear profile advantages that explain the favorite price. The Stars are averaging 3.25 goals per game while allowing just 2.73, a strong two-way combination that tends to separate them from teams sitting in the bottom half of the scoring table. St. Louis has struggled to keep up offensively, scoring only 2.40 goals per game while allowing 3.38, which puts constant pressure on their goaltending.
Special teams are one of the biggest swing factors here. Dallas owns an elite power play that is converting at a high rate, while the Blues’ penalty kill has lagged behind. In games where St. Louis is forced to defend extended stretches or take penalties while chasing the score, that mismatch can quickly turn a close game into a multi-goal deficit.
Goaltending also tilts toward the home side. Jake Oettinger has provided Dallas with steady, above-average results, while the Blues have dealt with more volatility in net. That matters against a Stars team that is comfortable grinding down opponents with sustained offensive-zone time rather than relying on rush chances alone.
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The injury report further narrows St. Louis’ margin. The Blues are missing several key forwards, including Robert Thomas and other depth pieces, which limits their ability to roll lines and generate consistent offense. Dallas is monitoring Mikko Rantanen’s status, but even if he is limited, the Stars still bring multiple scoring lines and the most efficient power play on the ice.
All of this creates a familiar script. If Dallas scores first, St. Louis is forced to open things up without the personnel to do so efficiently. That is where the puck line comes into play, as the Stars have the structure and special teams to extend a lead rather than simply protect it.
Betting Trends for STL vs DAL
- Dallas holds a clear edge in goals for and goals against.
- St. Louis enters short-handed down the middle due to injuries.
- The total is shaded toward the under based on St. Louis’ limited scoring output.
Key Injuries and Notes (STL and DAL)
- St. Louis: Robert Thomas on injured reserve; Pius Suter on injured reserve; Mathieu Joseph on injured reserve; Oskar Sundqvist out.
- Dallas: Mikko Rantanen day-to-day with illness.
ATS and Total Picks
- Dallas Stars -1.5
- Under 5.5
Final Score Prediction
Stars 4, Blues 1
How to Bet Stars vs Blues
This game is a good example of separating probability from price. The moneyline reflects Dallas’ superiority, but the puck line provides a better return when the matchup points toward a multi-goal outcome. Dallas’ power-play edge and St. Louis’ injury situation both support that approach.
As always, checking numbers across best sportsbooks is key, especially on puck lines where pricing can vary. Using available sportsbook promo codes can also help offset variance, and exploring social sportsbooks may uncover alternative ways to attack the same angle.
If you are shopping for the best overall value, comparing offers tied to a bet365 bonus code or a fliff promo code can make a meaningful difference when backing a favorite like Dallas in a spot where they control most paths to victory.
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