St. Louis Blues vs Toronto Maple Leafs, Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, November 18, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 11/18/2025, 11:05 AM ET
St. Louis Blues vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction
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The St. Louis Blues face the Toronto Maple Leafs with both teams looking to improve on rough seasons. The Blues are 6-9-4, and with only three wins in their last 10 games, they have the worst record in the Central Division. The Maple Leafs are 8-9-2 and with only four wins in their last 10 games, they have the second-worst record in the Atlantic Division. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Blues vs Maple Leafs prediction!

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Blues defense has let them down this season

The Blues are having a season to forget with their offense struggling, allowing 2.79 goals per game. Robert Thomas, Jimmy Snuggerud, and Jordan Kyrou have scored 14 goals and 20 assists, but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only five skaters have five goals or more, and opponents can limit the top-heavy offense as a result.

The offense has struggled, but the defense has let the Blues down, allowing 3.84 goals per game with 10 goals in the last two games. Justin Faulk and Philip Broberg have combined for 1.8 defensive point shares, but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Jordan Binnington has struggled with a .869 save percentage and a 3.34 goals-against average on 298 shots with -8.1 goals saved above average.

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Key Injury Report for Blues

  • LW Jake Neighbours (leg) is out. Has 6g, 1a.

Toronto has been awful on defense

The Maple Leafs are having a rough season despite their offense stepping up and scoring 3.53 goals per game. William Nylander and John Tavares have scored 19 goals and 31 assists to lead the top line but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Matthew Knies, Bobby McMann, and Nicolas Robertson have combined for 15 goals and 26 assists, while defensemen Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have added five goals and 23 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has stepped up, but the defense has been awful, allowing 3.79 goals per game with 22 goals in their last five games. Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Jake McCabe have combined for 1.8 defensive point shares, but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Joseph Woll has struggled with a .906 save percentage and a 3.07 goals-against average on 32 shots.

Key Injury Report for Maple Leafs

  • C Nicolas Roy is out. Has 1g, 3a.
  • D Brandon Carlo (lower body) was placed on the IR.

 

Blues vs Maple Leafs Pick

Money Line Pick For Blues vs Maple Leafs

  • Maple Leafs (-130) (4 units)

The Blues are desperate for a win but the Maple Leafs look to step up on their home ice and take over this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs should pile on the goals against the Blues, who allow 3.84 goals per game, with William Nylander, John Tavares, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit the Blues' offense, which averages only 2.79 goals per game, with Jake McCabe, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Joseph Woll to make plenty of big saves.

Over/Under Pick For Blues vs Maple Leafs

  • Over 6 (5 Units)

Both defenses are awful and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Blues should pile on the goals against the Maple Leafs, who allow 3.79 goals per game, with Robert Thomas, Jordan Kyrou, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.53 goals per game, should run up the score against the Blues, who have allowed 10 goals in their last two games, with William Nylander, John Tavares, Matthew Knies, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence with creating open shots with effective puck movement while defensemen Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson pick apart the Blues defense from the point. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Over on 6 goals.

The Blues face the Maple Leafs with both teams desperate for a win in their upcoming game.

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