Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils Picks and Prediction for Thursday, December 11, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Thursday, the Tampa Bay Lightning (17-11-2, 36 points, T-1st Atlantic) visit Newark to play the New Jersey Devils (17-12-1, 35 points, T-4th Metro). Tampa Bay defeated the Montreal Canadiens 6-1 on Tuesday night, snapping a four-game losing skid. Tampa Bay is tied for first with Boston in the Atlantic Division. New Jersey defeated the Ottawa Senators 4-3 on Tuesday night, snapping a five-game losing streak. New Jersey is tied with Philadelphia and Pittsburgh for 4th place in the Metropolitan Division. Make sure to read this in-depth Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils prediction. Shoot and score! Don’t miss our free NHL picks for the Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils prediction.
Tampa Bay's strength is at the blue line and in goal
The Tampa Bay Lightning have a goals-for average of 3.1 (10th), but it's their goals-against average of 2.5 (5th) that makes the Lightning a tough opponent. Tampa Bay averages 27.4 (18th) shots per game and allows an average of 27.1 (11th). Tampa Bay’s power play is 23rd, scoring 16.3% of the time, while the penalty kill is second-best, holding opponents scoreless 86.5% of the time.
Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay in goals with 17, while Jake Guentzel is second with 14. Nikita Kucherov is third in goals scored with 13, the leader in assists with 23, and the team-leader in points with 36. Darren Raddysh and Guentzel are tied for second in assists with 15 each, while Hagel and Guentzel are second in points with 29 apiece. Tampa Bay has scored 15 goals on the power play in 30 games. With No. 1 goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy on injured reserve, Jonas Johansson will be in goal for the Lightning. Johansson is 6-5-0 with a 2.53 goals against average and a .907 save percentage.
Injuries: Tampa Bay will play without Erik Cernak and Andrei Vasilevskiy, while Victor Hedman is day-to-day, and three others are questionable.
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New Jersey needs to improve at both ends of the ice
The New Jersey Devils have been hurt by injuries, which have caused problems on both attack and in their own end of the ice. New Jersey is 21st in goals-for average at 2.9 and 17th in goals-against average at 3.1. New Jersey takes an average of 29.4 (9th) shots per game and allows an average of 28.5 (20th). The New Jersey power play is 10th, scoring 22.4% of the time, while the penalty kill is 24th, holding opponents scoreless 78.0% of the time.
Timo Meier leads New Jersey in goals with 11, while Nico Hischier, Dawson Mercer, and Jack Hughes (IR) are tied for second with 10 goals apiece. Jesper Bratt is the leader in assists with 21, and Hischier is second with 16, while also the co-leader in points with Bratt at 26. New Jersey has scored 17 goals on the power play in 30 games. Jacob Markstrom is 8-6-1 with a 3.48 GAA and a .880 SV%, while Jake Allen is 8-6-0 with a 2.52 GAA and a .908 SV%.
Injuries: New Jersey will play without Zack MacEwen, Brett Pesce, Marc McLaughlin, Evgeni Dadonov, Jack Hughes, and Jonathan Kovacevic.
Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils Pick
Spread Pick for Lightning vs. Devils
- Tampa Bay Lightning -133 ( 4 units)
The Tampa Bay Lightning will be without their No. 1 goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy, but backup Jonas Johansson has performed well this season with a 2.53 goals against average and a .907 save percentage in 12 appearances and is coming off a 6-1Victory over the Montreal Canadiens in which he made 26 saves on 27 shots on goal. Tampa Bay has won 10 of the last 13 versus New Jersey, and the Lightning are 6-2 in the last eight games played on the road, while also winning five of the last six games played on the road against New Jersey. The Devils have lost five of the last six games and four of the last five games played on their home ice. New Jersey continues to play without its second-leading goal scorer, Jack Hughes, as well as other players, which has created problems for the Devils on attack as well as on defense. Tampa Bay has a balanced attack with three players scoring between 13 and 17 goals on different lines, which allows the Lightning to create pressure on every shift.
Over/Under Pick for Lightning vs. Devils
- Under 6 ( 5 units)
The total has finished under in four of Tampa Bay's last five games and in four of the last five games that Tampa Bay has played against a team from the Metropolitan Division. Tampa Bay has the fifth-best goals-against average in hockey at 2.5 and has the second-best penalty kill, which will help the Lightning if they become short-handed. New Jersey is only 21st in goals-for average at 2.9.
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