Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings Picks and Prediction for Friday, November 28, 2025
It’s an Atlantic Division tilt on the ice as a pair of teams trying to pick up two points collide on the ice in the Motor City when the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Detroit Red Wings Friday afternoon and we have the inside scoop with our Lightning vs. Red Wings prediction. Tampa Bay picked up a 5-1 home win over Calgary in their previous contest Wednesday night. Detroit was downed 6-3 at home by the Predators on Wednesday night in their previous contest. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Red Wings own a 6-4 advantage and have won two straight matchups, including a 2-1 overtime home win in the first meeting this season October 17. Read more about this Lightning vs. Red Wings prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
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Tampa Bay Trying to Extend Atlantic Division Lead
Tampa Bay ran their win streak to five games as they downed Calgary at home on Wednesday night in their previous contest. The Lightning entered Thursday 14-7-2 on the season and stood atop the Atlantic Division, two points ahead of Ottawa and Boston for the top spot. Tampa Bay went into Friday 8th in the league in goals per game as they put up an average of 3.22 goals per contest. The Lightning stands 6th in goals against by allowing 2.65 goals per game. Tampa Bay is 23rd with the man advantage as they cash in on 16.2% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Lightning are 1st in penalty killing as they successfully work through 88.3% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Calgary, Tampa Bay continued their strong play as they handcuffed the Flames at home Wednesday night. The Lightning put the game away early, outshooting the Flames 10-5 in the opening period and skated off with a 4-0 lead after 20 minutes of play. Brandon Hagel opened the scoring with his 12th goal of the season 39 seconds into the stanza with assists going to Anthony Cirelli and Nikita Kucherov. Charle-Edouard D'Astous made it a 2-0 game with his second goal of the year at 1:26 off assists from Nick Paul and Jake Guentzel. Zemgus Girgensons staked Tampa Bay to a 3-0 lead with his fifth goal of the season at 5:52 off assists from Yanni Gourde and Pontus Holmberg. Declan Carlile built a 4-0 advantage with his first goal of the year at 10:01 with assists going to Steven Santini and Guentzel. In the second period, Tampa Bay saw the shots even at nine with neither side scoring, leaving them up 4-0 at the second intermission. The third period saw the Lightning outshot 19-4 with both teams scoring once, leaving them comfortably ahead as time expired. After the Flames scored to get on the board, Kucherov closed the scoring with his 11th goal of the season at 14:23 off assists from Hagel and Darren Raddysh. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 32 saves for the Lightning, who was outshot 33-23, in the win. Jonas Johansson (4-2-0, 3.22 GAA, .893 save percentage) is expected to get the start between the pipes here for Tampa Bay.
Key Injury Report for Lightning:
- Defenseman Ryan McDonagh (undisclosed) is out.
- Defenseman Maxwell Crozier (undisclosed) is out.
- Defenseman Victor Hedman (undisclosed) is out.
- Defenseman Erik Cernak (lower body) is out.
- Center Brayden Point (undisclosed) is day-to-day.
Red Wings Seeking to Narrow Gap
Detroit dropped their second straight and third in their last four games as they were doubled up by Nashville Wednesday night. The Red Wings entered Friday 13-10-1 on the year and stood tied for fourth in the Atlantic Division, three points behind Tampa Bay for the top spot. Detroit is tied for 22nd in the league in goals per game as they average 2.92 goals a night this season. The Red Wings are 25th in the league in goals against as they allow an average of 3.33 goals a game. Detroit is 12th in the league in power play success as they cash in on 22.8% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Red Wings are tied for 14th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully get through 80.9% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Nashville, Detroit’s issues in their own end continued as they were doubled up on home ice Wednesday. The Red Wings were outshot 12-7 in the opening period and trailed 1-0 on the scoreboard after 20 minutes of play. In the second period, Detroit owned a 10-8 edge in shots and a 2-0 advantage on the scoreboard to take a 2-1 lead at the second intermission. Alex DeBrincat tied the game with his 12th goal of the year, on the power play, at 5:30 off assists from Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond. James van Riemsdyk gave Detroit a 2-1 lead with his third goal of the year, on the power play, off assists from Patrick Kane and Nate Danielson. In the third period, the Red Wings owned a 14-9 advantage in shots but were outscored 5-1 to wind up with the loss. Detroit gave up a pair of goals to trail 3-2 before Ben Chiarot tied the score with his third goal of the year at 3:04 off assists from Mason Appleton and J.T. Compher. The Red Wings gave up a pair of goals 28 seconds apart to go down 5-3 and never recovered. Cam Talbot made 23 saves for Detroit, who owned a 31-29 advantage in shots, in the loss. Talbot (9-4-0, 2.97 GAA, .886 save percentage) is slated to get the start in goal here for the Red Wings.
Key Injury Report for Red Wings:
- Center Michael Rasmussen (undisclosed) is out.
- Defenseman Simon Edvinsson (illness) is day-to-day.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,778.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,716.00 |
| 3 |  David Hess | +1,326.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +1,323.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,071.00 |
Lightning vs. Red Wings Moneyline Pick
- Lightning -118 (4 units)
These teams has trended in different directions of late as the Lightning have won five straight games while the Red Wings have dropped three of their previous four. Detroit has surrendered at least three goals in eight of their last 10 games and at least four in six of those contests. That’s bad news against a Lightning team that is eighth in the league in goals per game and who has outscored the opposition 20-6 in their five-game win streak. Tampa Bay may start Johansson but their offensive attack, combined with Detroit’s recent issues, gives the visitors the upper hand in this contest.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Over/Under Pick
- Under 6.5 (4 units)
Tampa Bay has seen the under post a 12-10-1 mark in their 23 games this season in relation to the total entering Friday night. The Lightning have seen an average of 5.87 goals per game this season and that number bumps up to 5.90 goals per game in 10 road games this season. Detroit enters this game having seen the over post a 12-8-4 mark in their 24 games this season. The Red Wings have seen an average total of 6.25 goals per game though that number climbs to an average of 6.79 goals per game in their 14 home games on the year. We’ve seen the under post a 6-3-1 mark in the last 10 meetings. Look for this one to wind up falling short of the mark.
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