Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025
It’s an Atlantic Division tilt on the ice as a pair of teams trying to pick up two points collide on the ice in the Sunshine State when the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Florida Panthers Saturday afternoon and we have the inside scoop with our Lightning vs. Panthers prediction. Tampa Bay fell 7-3 at home to the Rangers in their previous contest on Wednesday night. Florida picked up a 6-3 win over Washington at home in their previous game on Thursday night. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Panthers own a 7-3 advantage, including a 6-3 road win in the most recent matchup, which came in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on April 30. Read more about this Lightning vs. Panthers prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
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Tampa Bay Trying To Get Back in Win Column
Tampa Bay had won two straight and seven of their previous eight games before getting drubbed at home by the Rangers on Wednesday night. The Lightning entered Friday 8-6-2 on the season and stood tied for sixth in the Atlantic Division, four points behind Montreal, Boston, and Ottawa for the top spot. Tampa Bay went into Friday tied for 17th in the league in goals per game as they put up an average of 3.06 goals per contest. The Lightning stands tied for 14th in goals against by allowing three goals per game. Tampa Bay is tied for 24th with the man advantage as they cash in on 17% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Lightning are 3rd in penalty killing as they successfully work through 88.2% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against the Rangers Wednesday night, Tampa Bay was involved in a wild first period that cashed tickets for over bettors, but forgot the game was 60 minutes. The Lightning owned a 10-8 edge in shots in the opening period of play but trailed 4-3 after 20 minutes of action. After going down 2-0 early, Scott Sabourin got the Lightning on the board with his first goal of the year at 6:04 off assists from Curtis Douglas and Jack Finley. After giving up a goal to trail 3-1, Zemgus Girgensons made it a one-goal game again with his third goal of the year at 13:59 off assists from Yanni Gourde and Oliver Bjorkstrand. The Rangers were up 4-2 before the Lightning cut the deficit to a single goal again as Jake Guentzel struck with his seventh goal of the year at 17:32, shorthanded, off an assist from J.J. Moser. In the second period, Tampa Bay held a 12-5 shot edge but gave up the lone goal of the period to trail 5-3 at the second intermission. The third period saw the Lightning with a 14-8 shot edge only to be outscored 2-0 to wind up with the loss. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped eight of 13 shots before getting pulled after the second period. Jonas Johansson stopped six of seven shots in relief for Tampa Bay, who owned a 36-21 shot advantage, in the loss. Vasilevskiy (5-5-2, 2.83 GAA, .895 save percentage) is expected to get the start in goal for Tampa Bay here.
Ryan McDonagh (undisclosed) and Dominic James (undisclosed) are out here. Nick Paul (upper body), Anthony Cirelli (upper body), Victor Hedman (undisclosed) and Pontus Holmberg (undisclosed) are each day-to-day. Watch for updates heading toward face-off.
Panthers Seeking to Earn Third Straight Win
Florida won their second straight as it doubled up Washington on home ice Thursday night. The Panthers entered Friday 9-7-1 on the year and were fifth in the Atlantic Division, three points behind Montreal, Boston, and Ottawa for the top spot. Florida is 24th in the league in goals per game, as they put up an average of 2.82 goals a night this season. The Panthers are tied for 12th in the league in goals against as they allow an average of 2.94 goals per contest. Florida is 16th in power play success as they have cashed in on 20% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Panthers are 20th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 78% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +781.00 |
| 2 |  Jesse Schule | +576.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +326.00 |
| 4 |  Rob Vincilleti | +240.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +240.00 |
Against Washington, Florida got their offense in gear and beat the Capitals at home Thursday night. The Panthers were outshot 17-7 in the opening period and skated off tied at one at the first intermission. After giving up the opening goal, Evan Rodrigues tied the score with his fourth goal of the year at 8:53, with assists going to Nikko Mikkola and Sam Reinhart. In the second period, Florida owned a 12-10 edge in shots and a 2-0 margin on the scoreboard to lead 3-1 after 40 minutes. Cole Schwindt gave the Panthers a 2-1 lead with his second goal of the year at 3:05, with assists going to Gustav Forsling and Eetu Luostarinen. Sam Reinhart made it a 3-1 game with a power play marker, his ninth of the year, at 14:41 off assists from Carter Verhaeghe and Seth Jones. The third period saw Florida outshot 13-9, but they outscored Washington 3-2 to secure the win. After Florida saw their lead trimmed to 3-2, Reinhart tallied his second goal of the night and 10th of the year at 4:54 off assists from Anton Lundell and Luostarinen. Jones made it a 5-2 game with his first goal of the season, on the power play, at 9:47, with assists going to Brad Marchand and Lundell. Washington cut the lead to 5-3 before Luostarinen closed the scoring with an empty net goal, his third of the year, at 18:30 off assists from Marchand and Lundell. Daniil Tarasov made 37 saves for the Panthers, who were outshot 40-28, in the win. Sergei Bobrovsky (8-4-0, 2.68 GAA, .892 save percentage, shutout) is expected to get the start in goal here.
Aleksander Barkov (knee) could miss the entire season, while Matthew Tkachuk (groin) is expected to be out until December. Tomas Nosek (knee) is also out for an extended period after injuring his knee in the offseason. Defenseman Dmitry Kulikov (upper body) was placed on IR and is out indefinitely. Jonah Gadjovich (upper body) is also out.
Lightning vs. Panthers Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 | Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Lightning vs. Panthers Moneyline Pick
- Panthers -130 (4 units)
Tampa Bay was clubbed by the Rangers in their last game, and Vasilevskiy got the hook after two periods of play. The Lightning has been decent on the road this season, posting a 4-2-2 mark on the year, but Florida has had their number of late. Florida just took down a tough Washington squad on home ic,e and they have been excellent as the host this season, even missing Tkachuk and Barkov from the mix. The Panthers are a stellar 6-1-1 as the hosts this season, and Bobrovsky is fresh here. Give the Panthers the upper hand in this contest as they run their win streak to three games.
Lightning vs. Panthers Over/Under Pick
- Under 6 (4 units)
Tampa Bay has seen the under post a 9-7 mark in their 16 games this season in relation to the total entering Friday night. The Lightning has seen an average of 6.06 goals per game this season, and that number slides down to 5.88 goals per game in their eight road tilts this season. Florida has seen the under hit in nine of their 17 games on the year. The Panthers have an average total of 5.77 goals per game on the year, and that number slips to 5.75 goals per game in their eight home tilts. With both teams struggling offensively and boasting Stanley Cup-winning goaltenders, this game winds up short of the number.
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