Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction for Thursday, November 6, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an interconference tilt on the ice as a pair of teams trying to pick up two points collide on the ice in the Silver State when the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Vegas Golden Knights Thursday night, and we have the inside scoop with our Lightning vs. Golden Knights prediction. Tampa Bay fell 3-2 on the road to Colorado in their previous contest on Tuesday night. Vegas picked up a 1-0 win at home over Detroit in their previous game on Tuesday night. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Lightning owns a 5-4-1 advantage, including a 2-1 home overtime win in the first matchup this October 26. Read more about this Lightning vs. Golden Knights prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
Tampa Bay Seeking to Pick Up Road Win, Sweep Season Series
Tampa Bay saw its five-game win streak snapped as they were downed on the road by Colorado Tuesday night in their previous contest. The Lightning entered Wednesday 6-5-2 on the season and stood tied for fifth in the Atlantic Division, five points behind Montreal for the top spot. Tampa Bay went into Wednesday 11th in the league in goals per game as they put up an average of 2.77 goals per contest. The Lightning stands tied for 12th in goals against by allowing three goals per game. Tampa Bay is 28th with the man advantage as they cash in on 13.6% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Lightning are 4th in penalty killing as they successfully work through 88.6% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Colorado, Tampa Bay battled but they were unable to skate away with a sixth straight victory. The Lightning was outshot 10-9 in the opening period and skated off with the game tied at one after 20 minutes of play. Nikita Kucherov opened the scoring with his fifth goal of the season, unassisted, at 1:37 of the stanza. They gave up the tying goal later in the period. In the second period, the Lightning was outshot 14-7 and outscored 2-0 to trail 3-1 at the second intermission. The third period saw Tampa Bay outshot 9-8, though they did score the lone goal of the period, leaving them short as time expired. Brayden Point got the Lightning within a goal with his third goal of the season at 3:32, with assists going to Charle-Edouard D'Astous and Victor Hedman. That was the final goal of the contest, leaving them short as time expired. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 30 saves for Tampa Bay, who was outshot 33-24, in the loss. Vasilevskiy (3-4-2, 2.67 GAA, .900 save percentage) is expected to get the start in goal here.
Left wing Nick Paul (upper body) is traveling with the team but won’t play on the road trip.
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Golden Knights Try to Prevail at Home
Vegas was in a tight checking, low-scoring contest with Detroit and managed to come away with the home victory. The Golden Knights entered Wednesday 7-2-3 and stood tied in the Pacific Division standings with the Ducks for the top spot in the division. Vegas entered Wednesday’s action 11th in the league in goals for as they average 3.33 goals per contest on the season. The Golden Knights are 5th in the league in goals against as they give up an average of 2.58 goals per game this season. Vegas is tied for 8th in power play success as they cash in on 25% of their opportunities with the man advantage. The Golden Knights are 14th in the league in penalty killing as they have successfully navigated through 81.3% of their shorthanded situations on the season.
Against Detroit, Vegas did enough offensively to come up with a victory in a tight contest Tuesday night. The Golden Knights owned a 14-9 shot advantage and skated off with the game scoreless at the first intermission. Vegas held a 9-5 edge in shots and scored the lone goal of the period to lead 1-0 after 40 minutes of play. Ivan Barbashev opened the scoring with his fourth goal of the season at 13:45 of the period off assists from Brandon Saad and Jeremy Lauzon. The third period saw Vegas with an 11-10 advantage in shots, with neither side scoring, securing the win. Akira Schmid made 24 saves for the Golden Knights, who owned a 34-24 advantage in shots, in the win. Schmid (6-1-0, 2.31 GAA, .908 save percentage, shutout) is expected to get the start here in goal.
Right wing Mark Stone (wrist) is on long-term injured reserve. Goaltender Adin Hill (lower body) is week-to-week.
Lightning vs. Golden Knights Pick
Lightning vs. Golden Knights Moneyline Pick
- Golden Knights -125
Both teams have had their ups and downs this season. Tampa Bay had won five straight before falling to Colorado but they have struggled when it comes to denting the twine this season. The Lightning have scored two goals or fewer in seven of their last 10 games entering this one. Vegas is a sparkling 4-1-1 at home on the year, and Schmid has been terrific, taking over the #1 goaltender spot with Hill out of the mix. The Golden Knights are a veteran team, and they have firepower to work with behind Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner and Barbashev leading the way. Look for Vegas to skate away with the win.
Lightning vs. Golden Knights Over/Under Pick
- Under 6.5 (4 units)
Tampa Bay has seen the under post an 8-5 mark in their 13 games this season in relation to the total entering Wednesday night. The Lightning have seen an average of 5.62 goals per game this season, and that number slides down to 5.43 goals per game on the road this season. Vegas has seen the under post a 6-5-1 mark on the season. The Golden Knights have posted an average total of 5.92 goals per game on the year. That number does climb to an average of 6.67 goals per game at home in six contests. Tampa Bay has logged three straight unders entering this contest, while Vegas has seen five unders in their last six contests. Look for goals to be at a premium here, keeping this game under the total.
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