Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres, Picks and Prediction, Friday, October 24, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Toronto Maple Leafs face the Buffalo Sabres with both teams looking to improve on rocky starts to the season. The Maple Leafs are 3-3-1 and in the middle of the Atlantic Division, while the Sabres have a 3-4 record but have turned a corner with three wins in their last four games. Who will win this game? Check out our Maple Leafs vs Sabres prediction!
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Maple Leafs hope defense improves
The Maple Leafs are off to a rough start despite their offense stepping up and scoring 3.43 goals per game. William Nylander, John Tavares, and Matthew Knies have scored eight goals and 22 assists to lead the top two lines, but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Auston Matthews, Calle Jarnkrok, and Bobby McMann have combined for nine goals and three assists while defensemen Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have added three goals and eight assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has stepped up, but the defense has let them down, allowing 3.57 goals per game, including nine goals in their last two games. Rielly and Ekman-Larsson have led the top two pairings but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Anthony Stolarz has struggled with a .894 save percentage and a 3.01 goals-against average on 170 shots.
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Buffalo hopes defense keeps playing well
The Sabres are having a rough season with their offense letting them down, scoring only 2.71 goals per game. Josh Doan, Zach Benson, and Jack Quinn have combined for six goals and 12 assists to lead the top two lines but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only six skaters have two goals or more, and opponents can limit the top-heavy as a result.
The offense has struggled but the defense has stepped up, allowing only 2.86 goals per game with only six goals in their last three games. Bowen Byram and Rasmus Dahlin have led the top pairing while Owen Power and Mattias Samuelsson have added depth to the unit, creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net. In addition, goaltender Alex Lyon has stepped up with a .924 save percentage and a 2.55 goals-against average on 198 shots with 4.9 goals saved above average.
Maple Leafs vs Sabres Pick
Money Line Pick For Maple Leafs vs Sabres
- Sabres (+105) (4 units)
The Maple Leafs look to bounce back from a rough stretch but the Sabres have looked great lately and look to take over this game on their home ice. The Sabres should create plenty of scoring chances against the Maple Leafs, who allow 3.57 goals per game, with Jack Quinn, Josh Doan, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Sabres, who allowed only 2.86 goals per game, should limit the Maple Leafs' offense with Rasmus Dahlin, Owen Power, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Alex Lyon to make plenty of big saves. The Sabres should win the game and provide great odds in the process as home Underdogs.
Take the Red Wings money line as home Underdogs.
Over/Under Pick For Maple Leafs vs Sabres
- Under 6.5 (5 Units)
The Sabres are led by their defense, and this game looks to be a low-scoring one from the first period. The Maple Leafs should limit the Sabres' offense, which averages only 2.71 goals per game, with Morgan Rielly, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Anthony Stolarz to make plenty of big saves. The Sabres, who have allowed only six goals in their last three games, should eliminate the Maple Leafs' offense with Rasmus Dahlin, Owen Power, Bowen Byram, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Alex Lyon blanks the shots on the net. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both defenses stepping up.
Take the Under on 6.5 goals.
The Maple Leafs face the Sabres with both teams looking to improve on rocky starts to the season.
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