Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, December 21, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Toronto Maple Leafs face the Dallas Stars with both teams on opposite ends of the standings halfway through the season. The Maple Leafs are 15-13-5 and have the second-worst record in the Atlantic Division while the Stars are 24-7-5 and with three wins in a row, they have the second-best record in the Central Division. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Maple Leafs vs Stars prediction!
If you’re looking to cross-check the books and put some cash in your pocket, check out our free NHL picks
This Game Was Published Before Last Night's Results
Maple Leafs hope offense turns season around
The Maple Leafs are having a rough season and hope their offense turns things around as they are scoring 3.18 goals per game. William Nylander, John Tavares, and Matthew Knies have scored 31 goals and 64 assists while defenseman Morgan Rielly has added five goals and 18 assists from the point to open up the offense.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
The offense has stepped up but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.24 goals per game. Jake McCabe and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have combined for 3.5 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net with ease. Additionally, with the Maple Leafs playing the second game of a back-to-back, the hope is that backup Dennis Hildeby steps up in the net as he’s struggled, allowing 10 goals in the last two games.
Key injury report for Maple Leafs
- Anthony Stolarz (upper body) is not making the progress the team expected and will more more time. Is the starting goaltender.
- Chris Tanev (upper body) has returned to practice. Is a key part of the defense.
Dallas is playing great across the board
The Stars are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.47 goals per game with 17 goals in the last three games. Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson, and Wyatt Johnston have scored 55 goals and 77 assists while defenseman Miro Heiskanen has added seven goals and 25 assists from the point to open up the offense.
The offense has been incredible but the defense has also stepped up, allowing only 2.61 goals per game. Esa Lindell and Miro Heiskanen have combined for 5.9 defensive point shares while Alexander Petrovic and Ilya Lyubushkin have combined for 2.4 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. The hope is that goaltender Jake Oettinger improves as he’s struggled in recent starts, allowing nine goals in his last three.
Key injury report for Stars
- Tyler Seguin (knee) is on injured reserve. Had seven goals and 10 assists.
- Lian Bichel (lower body) is on long-term injured reserve. Is a key part of the defense.
Maple Leafs vs Stars Pick
Money Line Pick For Maple Leafs vs Stars
- Stars -1.5 (+120) (4 units)
The Stars look like one of the best teams in the NHL, and they look to take over this game from the first period against a Maple Leafs team that’s playing the second game of a back-to-back. The Stars, who average 3.47 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Stars, who allow only 2.61 goals per game, should limit the Maple Leafs offense with Miro Heiskanen, Esa Lindell, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jake Oettinger to make plenty of big saves. The Stars should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice.
Over/Under Pick For Maple Leafs vs Stars
- Over 6.5 (5 Units)
The Maple Leafs and Stars are both led by their offenses, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.18 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with John Tavares, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Stars, who have scored 17 goals in the last three games, should run up the score against the Maple Leafs, who allow 3.24 goals per game, with Jason Robertson, Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while creating open shots with effective puck movement as Miro Heiskanen fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Over on 6.5 goals.
Never Tried Winners and Whiners? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code DOLLAR
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
