Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, December 2, 2025
It’s an Atlantic Division tilt on the ice as a pair of teams trying to pick up two points collide on the ice in the Sunshine State when the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Florida Panthers Tuesday night and we have the inside scoop with our Maple Leafs vs. Panthers prediction. Toronto rolled to a 7-2 road win over Pittsburgh in their previous contest Saturday night. Florida fell 5-3 to Calgary at home in their previous game Saturday night in their previous contest. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Panthers own a 6-4 advantage, including a 6-1 home win in the most recent matchup, which came in Game 7 of their second-round playoff series May 18. Read more about this Maple Leafs vs. Panthers prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
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Toronto Looking to String Together Wins
Toronto evened their record at 2-2 on their six-game road trip as they walloped Pittsburgh Saturday night in the second game of a back-to-back situation. The Maple Leafs entered Monday 11-11-3 on the season and stand tied for sixth, nine points behind Tampa Bay for the top spot in the Atlantic Division. Toronto is tied for fifth in the league in goals per game as they average 3.40 goals per contest. The Maple Leafs are tied for 29th in goals against as they have allowed 3.56 goals per contest. Toronto is 25th in the league in power-play success, converting 15.9% of their chances with the man advantage on the year. The Maple Leafs are tied for 15th in the league in the penalty killing department as they successfully get through 80.8% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Pittsburgh, Toronto’s offense broke out in a big way as they drubbed the Penguins Saturday night in the second game of a back-to-back situation. The Maple Leafs were outshot 10-7 in the opening period but skated away with a 2-1 lead. Oliver Ekman-Larsson opened the scoring with his fourth goal of the year at 6:46 off assists from Matthew Knies and Auston Matthews. After Pittsburgh tied the game, Easton Cowan gave the Maple Leafs a 2-1 lead with his third goal of the year at 11:06, with assists going to William Nylander and Morgan Rielly. In the second period, Toronto was outshot 10-8 but outscored Pittsburgh 3-0 to take a 5-1 advantage after 40 minutes. Bobby McMann made it a 3-1 game with his sixth goal of the season at 2:24 off assists from Rielly and Ekman-Larsson. Dakota Joshua gave Toronto a 4-1 lead with his third goal of the season at 4:53 with assists to Nicolas Roy and Troy Stecher. Roy built a 5-1 advantage with his second goal of the year, on the power play, at 13:5,8 with assists going to Max Domi and McMann. In the third period, Toronto was outshot 15-8 but outscored Pittsburgh 2-1 to secure the win. After Pittsburgh scored to make it 5-2, Matthews tallied his 10th goal of the season at 7:14 off assists from Domi and Knies for a 6-2 edge. Nicholas Robertson closed the scoring with his sixth goal of the year, unassisted, at the 13:16 mark. Dennis Hildeby made 33 saves for the Maple Leafs, who were outshot 35-23, in the win. Joseph Woll (2-3-1, 2.62 GAA, .919 save percentage) gets the start in goal for Toronto here.
Key Injury Report for Maple Leafs:
- Defenseman Marshall Rifai (wrist) is out indefinitely.
- Defenseman Chris Tanev (upper body) is out.
- Goaltender Anthony Stolarz (upper body) is out.
- Defenseman Brandon Carlo (lower body) is out.
- Defenseman Simon Benoit (personal) is day-to-day.
Panthers Hoping to Rebound From Recent Slump
Florida lost their second straight and third in the last four games as they were beaten at home by Calgary Friday night. The Panthers entered Monday 12-11-1 on the year and were tied for sixth in the Atlantic Division, nine points behind Tampa Bay for the top spot. Florida is tied for 13th in the league in goals per game as they put up an average of 3.08 goals a night this season. The Panthers are 19th in the league in goals against as they allow an average of 3.17 goals per contest. Florida is 17th in power play success as they have cashed in on 19.3% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Panthers are 24th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 78.5% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
Against Calgary, Florida struggled in their own end and that ended up costing them a victory. The Panthers owned a 20-14 advantage in shots in the opening period but skated off with the game tied at two at the first intermission. Evan Rodrigues opened the scoring with his seventh goal of the season, 54 seconds into the game, off assists from Sam Reinhart and Jesper Boqvist. Sam Bennett made it a 2-0 game with his sixth goal of the year at 2:58 off assists from A.J. Greer and Carter Verhaeghe. They gave up a pair of goals later in the period to skate off even. In the second period, Florida was outshot 10-8 and outscored 2-0 to trail 4-2 after 40 minutes of play. The third period saw the Panthers with a 13-10 advantage in shots with both teams scoring once, leaving them down as time expired. Brad Marchand got the Panthers within a goal as he tallied his 15th goal of the season at 11:54 off assists from Reinhart and Anton Lundell. That was as close as Florida would get as they gave up an empty net goal late to close the scoring. Daniil Tarasov made 29 saves for the Panthers, who owned a 41-34 advantage in shots on goal, in the loss. Sergei Bobrovsky (10-7-0, 2.88 GAA, .882 save percentage, two shutouts) is expected to be in net for the Panthers in this contest.
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Key Injury Report for Panthers:
- Center Aleksander Barkov (knee) is out indefinitely.
- Left wing Matthew Tkachuk (groin) is out.
- Left wing Tomas Nosek (knee) is out.
- Defenseman Dmitry Kulikov (upper body) is out.
- Left wing Jonah Gadjovich (upper body) is out.
- Right wing Cole Schwindt (arm) is out.
- Center Eetu Luostarinen (lower body) is out.
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Pick
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Moneyline Pick
- Maple Leafs +140 (4 units)
Florida has struggled of late, losing four of their last six at home and three of their last four overall entering this game. The Maple Leafs have had their issues this season but they are getting healthier, which should potentially help them in the long run. Toronto had a big offensive showing against Pittsburgh Saturday night as they torched the Penguins and now get a crack against a Florida team missing some of their key contributors. The Panthers have been up and down this season, and while they can turn it on at any point, it’s tough backing them at such a high price. You can take the Maple Leafs on the puck line for a cushion, but don’t be surprised if Toronto wins straight up here.
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Over/Under Pick
- Under 6.5 (4 units)
Toronto has seen the over post a 18-6-1 mark in their 25 games on the year entering this contest and had a stretch of 13 straight overs earlier in the season. Toronto has had an average of 6.96 goals per game this season and that number bumps to 7.10 goals per game on the road this season. Florida has seen the over hit in 13 of their 24 games on the year. The Panthers have an average total of 6.25 goals per game on the year and that number slips to 5.80 goals per game in their 15 home tilts. With Toronto playing better defensively with the return of Woll, look for this game to wind up falling short of the number.
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