Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29th, 2025
The Toronto Maple Leafs (10-11-3, 7-17 PL, 17-6-1 O/U) take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (12-6-5, 16-6 PL, 9-11-2 O/U) in an Eastern Conference showdown on Saturday evening, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Maple Leafs were dealt a road loss by the Capitals on Thursday. The Penguins dropped a road meeting against the Blue Jackets in their previous action. The Maple Leafs lead the season series 1-0.
Can the Maple Leafs come away with a road win on Saturday? Check out the Maple Leafs vs. Penguins prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to NHL Picks!
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Maple Leafs Resume Road Trek
The Toronto Maple Leafs are in the midst of a six-game road trek. It has been a disastrous season. They are near the bottom of the conference and NHL standings. Injuries have played a part. The defense and goaltending have been exposed most of the season. Toronto opened the road trek with a road defeat in Montreal. Next, the Maple Leafs answered with a big 2-1 overtime road win against the Blue Jackets on Thursday. The success did not last in a 4-2 road defeat against the Capitals on Friday.
Auston Matthews has only played in eight games this month due to injury. The star center has nine goals along with five assists. William Nylander has been one of the few positives. The 29-year-old winger has recorded six points in his past five games. Nylander has recorded 31 points on the year. He had one of his best games of the year against Pittsburgh last month, amassing three points.
John Tavares has been a beast this season. The 35-year-old is not slowing down. Tavares has five points in his past six games and is second on the squad with 28 points on the season. He had an assist in the win on Wednesday. Morgan Reilly is having a subpar season. The 31-year-old defenseman is contributing offensively, managing 17 points, but has a -6 rating. He averages 22 minutes of ice per game.
The Maple Leafs have not received steady goaltending. Anthony Stolarz is the #1 goalie. The veteran is dealing with an injury and is out. Joseph Woll has been in the cage. The 27-year-old has been strong, posting a 2.74 GAA and a .921 save %, and a 2-2-1 record. Backup goaltender Dennis Hildeby is expected to be in the net. He has a 3.37 GAA and a .906 save % in five games.
Toronto is averaging 3.3 goals per game, ranking them ninth. The Maple Leafs are conceding an average of 3.6 goals, pegging them 29th in the NHL.
Pittsburgh Seeks Third Straight Win
The Pittsburgh Penguins are seeking their third straight win. Pittsburgh was one of the hottest teams in the NHL in October, but it has regressed a bit in the past few weeks. They are 3-2 in their past five games. They managed a point in a 3-2 overtime home defeat by the Kraken last weekend. The Penguins answered with a 4-2 home win against the Sabres and recorded a 4-3 overtime road win against the Blue Jackets on Friday. They stand in third in the division.
Sidney Crosby remains a huge threat. The veteran captain has four points in his past five games. Crosby has 25 points on the year. Evgeni Malkin has scored two goals in his last five games. The 39-year-old winger has also been steady, netting six goals along with 18 assists. Bryan Rust has been quiet. The 33-year-old winger has managed just six points this month. Rust has issued 17 points this season. He contributed with an assist in the defeat against the Maple Leafs last month.
Erik Karlsson has been kept to two points in his past five games. The 35-year-old defenseman has registered 15 points and a +6 rating. He averages 25 minutes of ice. Parker Witherspoon is a rookie getting a ton of ice. He has eight points and averages 21 minutes. He is a +8.
The Penguins have used three goalies this season. Tirsten Jarry has returned after an injury. He was in the net on Friday. He has a 2.53 GAA and a .915 save %. Arturs Silovs is expected to be guarding the cage. The young netminder has been decent, delivering a 2.74 GAA and a .907 save %.
Pittsburgh is scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game, ranking them 19th. The Penguins' defense has been a strength, conceding an average of only 2.6 goals, placing them fifth in the NHL.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
- Pittsburgh Penguins +110 (5 units)
The Toronto Maple Leafs have been shaky. They have dropped six of their past eight games and have no confidence as they stand near the bottom of the NHL standings. They are in the midst of a six-game road trek. The Maple Leafs have been a disaster on the road, winning just two road games this season. The Pittsburgh Penguins have won two straight games and are strong at home, where they stand at 6-3-1.
Furthermore, Pittsburgh has been one of the better defensive teams in the NHL this season. This is ideal against a slumping Toronto team. They have scored just 11 goals in their past five games. Also, the Maple Leafs are dealing with key injuries to the defense, which have not helped matters. They are playing without two of their best defenseman in Brandon Carlo and Chris Tanev.
Over/Under Pick for Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
- Over 6.5 (5 units)
I expect a ton of scoring in this one. Toronto now has Auston Matthews back in action after missing most of this month. The Penguins have not been as sharp in the defensive zone, squandering 13 goals in their past four games.
In addition, the Maple Leafs are weak in their own end and rank 30th in goals conceded. They are squandering an average of 31 shots on goal per game and have surrendered 10 goals in their past three games. The Pittsburgh PP is ranked #1 in the NHL, while the Leafs' PK has been subpar, standing 15th in the NHL. The over hit in the first meeting. Also, the backups are expected to be in the net for these squads.
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