Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, January 31, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 01/31/2026, 03:30 AM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks prediction
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The Toronto Maple Leafs face the Vancouver Canucks with both teams looking to improve on rough seasons. The Maple Leafs are 24-21-9 and with six losses in a row, they have the second-worst record in the Eastern Conference. The Canucks are 18-31-5 and with only two wins in their last 10 games, they have the worst record in the Western Conference. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Maple Leafs vs Canucks prediction!

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Maple Leafs are let down by an awful defense

The Maple Leafs are having a rough season despite their offense stepping up and scoring 3.26 goals per game. John Tavares, Auston Matthews, and Matthew Knies have scored 58 goals and 76 assists while defensemen Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Morgan Rielly have added 15 goals and 45 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has been great but the defense has let the Maple Leafs down, allowing 3.46 goals per game including 22 goals in the last four games. Jake McCabe and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have combined for 5.0 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. Additionally, Joseph Woll has been awful in his latest starts, allowing six goals in the most recent while allowing 22 in his last five.

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Key injury report for Maple Leafs

  • Chris Tanev (groin) was placed on long-term injured reserve. Is a key part of the defense.
  • William Nylander (groin) is on injured reserve. Has 17 goals and 31 assists.

Vancouver is awful across the board

The Canucks are having a season to forget with their offense letting them down and scoring only 2.57 goals per game with only six goals in the last three games. Elias Pettersson and Jake DeBrusk have scored 26 goals and 35 assists but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only six active skaters have 10 goals or more and opponents can eliminate the hapless offense as a result.

The offense has let them down but the defense has also been a mess, allowing 3.61 goals per game including 13 goals in the last four games. Filip Hronek and Marcus Pettersson have combined for 5.7 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Kevin Lankinen has struggled lately, allowing 11 goals in his last three starts.

Key injury report for Canucks

  • Marco Rossi (lower body) won’t return until after the Olympics. Is a key part of the forward unit.
  • Zeev Buium has a broken bone in his face and won’t return until after the Olympics. Is a key part of the defense.
  • Brock Boeser (concussion) still must go through protocol before returning. Has 12 goals and 13 assists.
  • Thatcher Demko will undergo hip surgery and miss the entire season. Was the starting goaltender.

Maple Leafs vs Canucks Pick

Money Line Pick For Maple Leafs vs Canucks

  • Maple Leafs (-150) (4 units)

The Maple Leafs have lost six games in a row but they look to rebound against the Canucks, arguably the worst team in the NHL. The Maple Leafs should constantly find the back of the net against the Canucks, who allow 3.61 goals per game, with Auston Matthews, John Tavares, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit a Canucks offense that averages only 2.57 goals per game with Jake McCabe, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Joseph Woll to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game with a strong performance on the road.

Take the Maple Leafs money line as road Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Maple Leafs vs Canucks

  • Over 6.5 (5 Units)

The two teams have awful defenses, and I see this game being a low-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Canucks should create plenty of scoring chances against the Maple Leafs, who allow 3.46 goals per game, with Elias Pettersson, Jake DeBrusk, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.26 goals per game, should run up the score against the Canucks, who have allowed 11 goals in their last three games, with Auston Matthews, John Tavares, Matthew Knies, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with effective puck movement as Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson pick apart the Canucks defense from the point. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Over on 6.5 goals.

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