Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals Picks and Prediction for Thursday, December 18th, 2025

By: Adam Rauzino Published 12/18/2025, 10:58 AM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals prediction.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs (15-12-5, 10-22 PL, 19-12-1 O/U) take on the Washington Capitals (18-11-4, 18-15 PL, 14-16-3 O/U) in an Eastern Conference meeting on Thursday evening, and we have the prediction. The Maple Leafs won against the Blackhawks on Tuesday. The Capitals suffered a road defeat at the hands of the Wild in their recent clash. The Capitals posted a 4-2 home win in the first meeting against the Maple Leafs in November.

Can the Capitals end their slide with a home win on Thursday evening? Check out the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to NHL Picks!

Maple Leafs Begin Road Trip

The Toronto Maple Leafs begin a road trek in this one. Toronto is hoping to get back into a playoff spot. Toronto had a disastrous first month of the season, but it has been playing a lot better since. The Maple Leafs are 6-2-2 in their past ten games. They remain three points out of a wildcard spot but have games in hand on a few of the teams ahead of them. The Leafs dropped an OT home decision against the Sharks last week and were charged with a home defeat against the Oilers last weekend. Next, the Maple Leafs answered with a 3-2 home win against the Blackhawks on Tuesday.

William Nylander is having an inconsistent season. He has yet to score this month. The 29-year-old winger has 11 goals and 25 assists on the season. Auston Matthews has scored three goals in his past five games. The star center is having a mediocre season by his standards, managing 23 points. Matthews posted an assist against the Capitals last month.

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John Tavares is having an outstanding season. The 35-year-old has cooled recently, netting two points in December, but has been the Leafs' best player, amassing 30 points on the year. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has been steady on defense. The veteran has issued 22 points and has a strong +5 rating. Brandon Carlos and Chris Tanev remain out with injuries.

The Maple Leafs have been dealing with injuries in the net. Anthony Stolarz is the #1 goalie, but is injured. Joseph Woll is the backup and missed a few games with an injury. Woll is back in action. He has been outstanding, posting a 2.39 GAA and a .927 save %, accompanied by a 5-3-1 record. Dennis Hildeby has been in the net. The young netminder has posted a 2.82 GAA and a .923 save %.

Toronto is averaging 3.3 goals per game, ranking them sixth. The Maple Leafs are conceding an average of 3.3 goals, placing them 22nd in the NHL.

Washington Seeks 19th Win of Season

The Washington Capitals are seeking their 19th win of the season. Washington had a sluggish start to the season but has been a threat in the past month. They have won six of their past 10 games. The Capitals sustained a shootout loss to the Hurricanes last week and a 5-2 road defeat to the Jets on Saturday. Next, the Capitals were hit with a 5-0 road defeat against the Wild on Tuesday to wrap up the road trek. The Capitals are in a playoff spot. They stand third in the division behind the Islanders and Hurricanes.

Tom Wilson is having another outstanding season. The 31-year-old winger leads the squad with 32 points and a +16 rating. He was key in the win against the Maple Leafs last month, netting two points. Dylan Strome has been kept in check, recording only two points in December. The 28-year-old center is having a steady year, managing 23 points and a +15 rating.

Aliaksei Protas has scored three goals this month. The 24-year-old winger is one of the more underrated players in the NHL. Protas has 10 goals accompanied by 10 assists on the year. Jakob Chychrun is key on the blue line. The veteran defenseman plays huge minutes, averaging 23 minutes of ice per game. Chychrun has delivered 26 points and a +23 rating. Ryan Leonard is out with a shoulder injury.

The Capitals have strong goaltending. Charlie Lindgren is the backup. He has a 3.10 GAA and an .887 save %. Logan Thompson is having an outstanding season. The veteran keeper is sporting a sharp 2.09 GAA and a .922 save %, accompanied by a 13-7-3 record on the season. He was not in the net in the defeat on Tuesday.

Washington is scoring an average of 3.3 goals per game, good for third. The Capitals are conceding an average of just 2.5 goals, placing them second in the NHL.

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Pick

Spread Pick for Maple Leafs vs. Caps

  • Washington Capitals -160 (5 units)

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been playing better hockey in the past few weeks and have posted a strong 6-2-2 mark in their past 10 games. The Washington Capitals have cooled down this month, managing only one win in their last five games.

Furthermore, the Maple Leafs are playing stingy defense. They have conceded two or fewer goals in six of their past eight games. This is key against a  Washington team that has been quiet in the offensive end this month. They have only scored nine goals in their last five games. The Caps rely on defense and goaltending, but have not been as sharp the past few weeks, squandering 17 goals in their past five games.

Over/Under Pick for Maple Leafs vs. Caps

  • Over 6 (5 units)

I expect plenty of scoring in this one. Toronto has been more productive on the road than at home. Toronto has scored 20 goals in its past five games. The Caps have surrendered five goals in two straight games.

In addition, Washington is consistently generating offense on home ice, scoring 20 goals in their past six home games. They average 29 shots on goal per game. This is good news considering the Maple Leafs give up more shots than any other team in the NHL. Washington scored four goals in the first meeting against the Maple Leafs last month.

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