Maple Leafs vs. Capitals, Picks and Prediction, Friday, November 28, 2025
Toronto (10-10-3) will be going for their second consecutive win when they visit Capital One Arena on Friday afternoon to face Washington (13-9-2) at 5 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Maple Leafs vs. Capitals prediction. We have the best NHL Predictions sure to provide a great payout.
The Maple Leafs are coming off a 2-1 win over Columbus. The Capitals are coming off a 4-3 win over Winnipeg.
Toronto is 7-3-0 in its last 10 games against Washington.
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Maple Leafs Going For Third Win In Five Games
The Maple Leafs snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over the Blue Jackets in their last game. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third win in their last five games when they play on Friday.
Toronto averages 3.30 goals per game. They scored two goals on 24 shots in their last game.
William Nylander has 31 points from 11 goals and 20 assists. John Tavares has 28 points from 12 goals and 16 assists, while Matthew Knies has 23 points from five goals and 18 assists.
Toronto is giving up 3.61 goals per game, which is 29th in the league. They’ve killed 80.9 percent of their penalties, which is 14th.
Joseph Woll saved 35 of the 36 shots that he faced. He is 2-2-1 with a 2.74 GAA and a .921 save percentage.
Washington Going For Third Consecutive Win
The Capitals bounced back from their loss to Tampa Bay with wins over Columbus and Winnipeg. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play on Friday.
Washington averages 3.33 goals per game. They scored four goals on 34 shots in their last game.
Tom Wilson has 24 points from 12 goals and 12 assists. John Carlson has 22 points from six goals and 16 assists, while Jakob Chychrun has 22 points from nine goals and 13 assists.
Washington is giving up 2.67 goals per game, which is seventh in the league. They’ve killed 72 percent of their penalties, which is 29th.
Charlie Lindgren saved 18 of the 21 shots that he faced. He is 4-3-1 with a 3.12 GAA and a .886 save percentage.
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,570.00 |
| 2 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,223.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,000.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +916.00 |
| 5 |  David Hess | +706.00 |
Money Line Pick for Maple Leafs vs. Caps
- Washington Capitals ML (4 Units)
The Capitals have won four of their last five home games, while the Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four road games. Washington has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively and scored 12 goals in their last three home games. They haven’t been as good on special teams, converting over 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Maple Leafs are an average penalty-killing team, and they’re not playing well defensively, giving up nine goals in their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Capitals.
The Maple Leafs won’t be as successful offensively because they’re not playing as well, scoring only six goals in their last three road games. They’ve also struggled on special teams, converting 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Capitals aren’t great at killing penalties, but they’re playing well defensively, giving up four goals in their last two home games, so expect them to keep Toronto’s offense in check. Take Washington on the money line.
Over/Under Pick for Maple Leafs vs. Capitals
- Over (4 Units)
The Capitals played over the total in four of their last five games. Washington averages 3.33 goals per game. They averaged four goals per game in their last three games and converted nine percent of their power play chances. They are facing a team that killed 100 percent of their penalties in their last three games and gave up nine goals. The Maple Leafs average 3.30 goals per game. They averaged two goals per game in their last three games and converted 14 percent of their power play chances. They are facing a team that killed 71 percent of their penalties in their last three games and gave up nine goals. Expect these teams to score enough goals to push the score over the total. The Capitals and Maple Leafs played over the total in two of their last three meetings.
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