Vegas Golden Knights vs Anaheim Ducks Picks, Prediction and Odds Game 4
Use Code WWWC Game 4 at Honda Center has the Vegas Golden Knights trying to take a stranglehold on this Western Conference series after stomping the Anaheim Ducks 6-2 in Game 3. With Mitch Marner riding a hat trick, Jack Eichel anchoring the top six, and Vegas owning a clear special teams edge, this matchup tilts toward the road favorite even with Anaheim's home crowd in play. For more NHL picks and breakdowns on every postseason game, we are diving deep into the numbers, the injuries, and the line movement for Sunday night.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Vegas -113
- Total Pick: Over 6.5 (-106)
- Projected Final Score: Golden Knights 4, Ducks 3
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas | -113 | O 6½ (-108) |
| Anaheim | -106 | U 6½ (-112) |
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| VGK | -113 | O 6½ (-106) |
| ANA | -106 | U 6½ (-114) |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Time | Vegas | Anaheim | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | 03:43:41 AM | -113 | -106 | ANA 84%, VEG 83% |
| 05/10 | 03:43:18 AM | -110 | -110 | ANA 84%, VEG 83% |
| 05/10 | 03:42:38 AM | -114 | -105 | ANA 84%, VEG 83% |
| 05/10 | 03:41:53 AM | -113 | -108 | ANA 84%, VEG 83% |
| 05/09 | 02:54:21 PM | -114 | -105 | VEG 100%, VEG 100% |
| 05/09 | 02:48:58 PM | -111 | -108 | VEG 100%, VEG 100% |
| 05/09 | 08:50:44 AM | -113 | -106 | — |
| 05/09 | 08:50:15 AM | -111 | -108 | — |
| 05/09 | 08:12:06 AM | -113 | -106 | — |
| 05/09 | 01:57:28 AM | -111 | -108 | — |
| 05/09 | 12:25:45 AM | -113 | -106 | — |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | 03:43:42 AM | 6½ -106 | 6½ -114 | UN 79%, UN 55% |
| 05/10 | 03:41:54 AM | 6½ -105 | 6½ -115 | UN 79%, UN 55% |
| 05/09 | 07:16:11 PM | 6½ -104 | 6½ -118 | OV 60%, OV 50% |
| 05/09 | 08:50:15 AM | 6½ -108 | 6½ -112 | — |
| 05/09 | 08:12:06 AM | 6½ -106 | 6½ -114 | — |
| 05/09 | 02:00:28 AM | 6½ -108 | 6½ -112 | — |
| 05/09 | 01:57:28 AM | 6½ -105 | 6½ -115 | — |
| 05/09 | 01:06:23 AM | 6½ -106 | 6½ -114 | — |
| 05/09 | 12:25:45 AM | 6½ -108 | 6½ -112 | — |
Golden Knights vs Ducks Key Matchups and Handicap
Vegas
The Golden Knights enter Game 4 leading the series 2-1 after a dominant 6-2 response in Game 3, a result that flipped momentum back toward Vegas after Anaheim's 3-1 Game 2 win. What stood out about Game 3 was the efficiency: Vegas generated only 28 shots but buried six goals, highlighted by Mitch Marner's hat trick and a strong Carter Hart performance in net. That kind of finishing rate is not sustainable, but it speaks to the quality of looks the Knights are creating against an Anaheim defense that has been overworked through three games.
Jack Eichel remains the offensive engine after a 90-point regular season, and the depth around him is what makes Vegas dangerous in a series like this. Pavel Dorofeyev's 37 goals provide a true secondary scoring threat, and Marner's playoff form gives the Knights multiple lines that opponents have to account for. Special teams also tilt heavily toward Vegas, with a 24.6% power play conversion rate compared to Anaheim's 18.6%, and that matters against a Ducks team that racked up 814 penalty minutes during the regular season. If Anaheim plays the same physical brand at home, Vegas should get power-play opportunities, and the Knights are built to capitalize.
Ducks
Anaheim has real upside through Cutter Gauthier, who led the team with 41 goals and 69 points, and Jackson LaCombe's puck movement from the blue line gives the Ducks a way to generate offense in transition. The problem in this series has been Anaheim's inability to control game state. The Ducks had 33 shots and 53 hits in Game 3 but spent too much of the night chasing after falling behind 3-0 in the first period. That early-game pattern has now repeated, and it puts enormous pressure on a defensive group that allowed 3.51 goals per game during the regular season.
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The path forward for Anaheim is physicality, shot volume and a bounce-back performance from either Lukas Dostal or Ville Husso in net. Home ice should help with line matching, and the Ducks have shown in flashes that they can hang with Vegas when goaltending holds up. Still, the defensive leaks make it hard to trust Anaheim to win outright, especially against a Vegas team that is finishing chances at an elite rate. The case for Anaheim +1.5 is much stronger than the moneyline, but as a straight-up play, the Ducks are not the side.
Betting Trends - VGK vs ANA
- Vegas converts at 24.6% on the power play compared to Anaheim's 18.6%, a major edge in a likely chippy game.
- Anaheim took 814 penalty minutes during the regular season, which feeds directly into Vegas' biggest strength.
- The Golden Knights scored six goals on just 28 shots in Game 3, signaling elite finishing efficiency in this series.
- Anaheim allowed 3.51 goals per game during the regular season, supporting a lean to the over.
- Public money has been heavy on the under all day despite the matchup pointing the other way.
Key Injuries and Notes - VGK vs ANA
- Golden Knights: Mark Stone is listed day-to-day, and his status impacts the forecheck, top-six balance and power-play spacing.
- Golden Knights: Carter Hart is coming off a strong Game 3 performance and projects as the starter again.
- Golden Knights: Mitch Marner enters Game 4 off a hat trick and is in peak playoff form.
- Ducks: Lukas Dostal and Ville Husso both need a bounce-back start after Game 3's blowout.
- Ducks: Cutter Gauthier (41 goals, 69 points) remains the most important offensive piece for Anaheim.
Golden Knights vs Ducks Moneyline and Total Picks
- Moneyline Pick: Vegas -113 - The Golden Knights have the better goaltender right now, the better top six, the better special teams and the momentum coming off a 6-2 win. Anaheim is dangerous at home, but the matchup still favors Vegas straight up.
- Total Pick: Over 6.5 (-106) - Anaheim's 3.51 goals against per game during the regular season, combined with Vegas' finishing rate and a Ducks team likely to push for offense at home, all point to a high-event game. The public is on the under, but the on-ice profile leans the other way.
- Alternate Lean: Anaheim +1.5 is a safer route than laying the puck line if you do not want to back Vegas straight up.
Final Score Prediction
Golden Knights 4, Ducks 3
Vegas does not need to dominate territorially to win this game. The Knights' finishing depth, special teams advantage and Marner's playoff form should be enough to grind out another win, even on the road and even if Mark Stone is limited. Expect Anaheim to make it competitive with home-crowd energy and physicality, but the goaltending and defensive profile of the Ducks make it tough to trust them outright. A one-goal Vegas win that sneaks over the total is the cleanest projection.
How to Bet Golden Knights vs Ducks
Game 4 between Vegas and Anaheim sets up as a matchup where bettors can find value on both sides of the slip: the Vegas moneyline is the right play straight up, but the over 6.5 has just as much support based on how this series has played offensively. With Marner heating up, Eichel running the top line, and Gauthier needing to drag Anaheim back into the series, this is a game that should produce real action late in regulation.
If you are in a state without traditional sportsbook access or simply want a low-risk way to bet on this Golden Knights vs Ducks matchup, social sportsbooks are a strong alternative. They are available nationwide and offer competitive lines on every NHL playoff game, including Game 4 from Honda Center.
Fliff is one of the most popular options in this category, and new users can claim a sign-up bonus by visiting our fliff promo code page for full details. With Game 4 expected to feature both Vegas' finishing and Anaheim's home push, locking in the Vegas moneyline and the over 6.5 at the best available number is the way to attack this matchup.
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