Vegas Golden Knights vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction and Picks - December 11, 2025
Use Code WWWC National League Hockey action on Thursday evening, and we have a Vegas Golden Knights vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction ready to roll for you. The Golden Knights come in off a 5-4 shootout loss to the islanders on the road, and they are now 14-15 on the season. Philadelphia is off a 4-1 home win over the Sharks, and they are now at 16-12 on the season. Vegas won both meetings between these teams a year ago. Read on to see our Golden Knights vs Flyers prediction.
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Vegas Takes Tough Loss To The Islanders
Vegas’ most recent game was a 5–4 shootout loss to the New York Islanders on December 9, a wild finish that saw Pavel Dorofeyev tie the game with just 14 seconds left in regulation before Emil Heineman won it for New York in the fourth round of the shootout. The Golden Knights had jumped out to a 2–0 lead in the first period behind goals from Ivan Barbashev and Mitch Marner, but the Islanders stormed back with three straight tallies. Noah Hanifin added a goal for Vegas, and Carter Hart finished with 23 saves, but the Knights couldn’t solve Ilya Sorokin in the shootout. The loss snapped their four‑game win streak and underscored how quickly momentum can swing against them when they ease off the gas.
Offensively, Vegas continues to be one of the sharper teams in the league, averaging 3.1 goals per game (14th) while firing 29.8 shots per game (6th). Their power play has been a weapon at 23.9% (8th), and the depth of their attack is evident with contributions from Eichel, Hertl, and Stone alongside secondary scorers like Barbashev and Dorofeyev. Marner’s playmaking has added another layer to their offense, and their dominance in the faceoff circle (53.4%, 4th) ensures they start with possession more often than not. Even in the loss to New York, the Knights showed resilience by clawing back late, a sign that their offense can strike quickly when needed.
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Defensively, Vegas remains disciplined, allowing 2.9 goals per game (12th) and limiting opponents to 25.0 shots per game (3rd). Their penalty kill sits at 80.8% (14th), and they’ve kept their penalty minutes low (211 total, fewest in the league), which helps them avoid extended defensive pressure. Hart’s return to NHL action has given them stability in net, though the shootout loss was his first defeat since coming back. With Shea Theodore anchoring the blue line and the team’s overall structure keeping games tight, Vegas heads into Philadelphia looking to bounce back and reassert control in close contests.
Flyers Stop Sharks At Home
Philadelphia’s most recent game was a 4–1 win over the San Jose Sharks on December 9, where Travis Konecny recorded his 500th career point with an assist and later added an empty‑net goal. Christian Dvorak, Carl Grundstrom, and Noah Cates also scored, while Dan Vladar made 17 saves in net. The Flyers controlled the second period with two goals in under four minutes, and their depth forwards stepped up to secure the victory.
Offensively, the Flyers average 2.8 goals per game (23rd) and generate 25.2 shots per game (30th), ranking near the bottom in volume but finding ways to finish. Their power play sits at 18.4% (20th), with Konecny and Owen Tippett leading the attack. Sean Couturier remains a steady presence down the middle, while Trevor Zegras has added creativity to the lineup. Philadelphia’s scoring has been streaky, but their recent stretch of seven wins in 10 games shows they can produce when needed.
Defensively, Philadelphia allows 2.9 goals per game (12th) and limits opponents to 26.3 shots per game (6th). Their penalty kill has been strong at 81.4% (13th), and they’ve kept games close with disciplined structure. Vladar has been solid since joining, posting a .908 save percentage, while Samuel Ersson has provided depth. The Flyers have been physical, ranking 8th in penalty minutes (287 total), but against Vegas’ top‑10 power play, staying disciplined will be critical. Their ability to grind out wins at home gives them confidence heading into this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick
Golden Knights vs Flyers Moneyline Pick
- Vegas -145 (5 Units)
Vegas looks like the side to back here, even coming off that 5–4 shootout loss to the Islanders on December 9. The Golden Knights showed resilience in that game, clawing back late when Pavel Dorofeyev tied it with 14 seconds left, and they continue to generate offense at a steady clip, averaging 3.1 goals per game (14th) with one of the league’s best shot totals (29.8 per game, 6th). Their power play has been sharp at 23.9% (8th), and with Jack Eichel, Tomas Hertl, and Mark Stone driving the attack, they have the kind of depth that can break through against Philadelphia’s defense. Vegas also dominates possession with a 53.4% faceoff win rate (4th), which gives them control in tight games.
Philadelphia, meanwhile, is coming off a 4–1 win over San Jose on December 9, but their offense has been streaky all season, averaging just 2.8 goals per game (23rd) and ranking near the bottom in shots (25.2 per game, 30th). While Travis Konecny and Owen Tippett provide scoring, the Flyers’ power play sits at 18.4% (20th), and they’ve struggled to consistently generate pressure. Vegas’ disciplined style — fewest penalty minutes in the league (211 total) — means Philadelphia may not get many chances to exploit special teams. With the Knights’ balanced scoring and structured defense (2.9 goals against per game, 12th; 25.0 shots allowed, 3rd), Vegas has the tools to control tempo and outlast the Flyers in this matchup.
Golden Knights vs Flyers Over/Under Pick
- Under 5.5 (4 Units)
The Under 5.5 makes sense in Golden Knights–Flyers given how both teams are built and how they’ve been playing. Vegas’ most recent outing was a 5–4 shootout loss to the Islanders on December 9, but that game was more of an outlier considering the Knights usually keep things tight, allowing just 2.9 goals per game (12th) and ranking 3rd in shots against (25.0 per game). Philadelphia, meanwhile, is coming off a 4–1 win over San Jose on December 9, and their offense has been inconsistent all season, averaging only 2.8 goals per game (23rd) with one of the lowest shot totals in the league (25.2 per game, 30th). Both teams have solid penalty kills — Vegas at 80.8% (14th) and Philly at 81.4% (13th) — and neither takes excessive penalties, which limits special‑teams scoring chances. With Vegas leaning on structure and Philadelphia struggling to generate consistent offense, this matchup sets up well for a lower‑scoring game that stays under the total.
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