Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Prediction, Sunday, March 1, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 03/01/2026, 06:45 AM ET
Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction
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The Vegas Golden Knights face the Pittsburgh Penguins with both teams looking to improve on impressive seasons. The Golden Knights have a 28-17-14 record and sit in first place in the Pacific Division. The Penguins are 30-15-13 and with seven wins in their last 10 games, they have the second-best record in the Metropolitan Division. Who will win this Sunday afternoon battle? Check out our Golden Knights vs Penguins prediction!

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Golden Knights are led by a great offense

The Golden Knights are having a great season with their offense leading the way, scoring 3.36 goals per game. Jack Eichel and Mark Stone have scored 42 goals and 86 assists while Mitch Marner and Tomas Hertl have scored 39 goals and 71 assists, allowing the Golden Knights to come at teams in waves with their forward unit.

The offense is great but the defense has let them down lately, allowing 3.05 goals per game including seven goals in the last two games. Shea Theodore and Noah Hanifin have combined for 6.3 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Adin Hill has struggled in his latest starts, allowing 19 goals in his last five.

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Key injury report for Golden Knights

  • No key injuries to report.

Pittsburgh will lean on its potent offense to win games

The Penguins are having a great season thanks to their offense, scoring 3.42 goals per game with 15 goals in the last four games. Evgeni Malkin, Anthony Mantha, and Bryan Rust have scored 52 goals and 77 assists while defenseman Erik Karlsson has added four goals and 31 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has stepped up while the defense has also been great, allowing only 2.86 goals per game. Ryan Shea and Parker Wotherspoon have combined for 7.2 defensive point shares while Erik Karlsson and Connor Clifton have combined for 4.3 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. Additionally, goaltender Arturs Silovs has stepped up in his recent starts, allowing only three goals in his last two.

Key injury report for Penguins

  • Sidney Crosby is out at least four weeks.

Golden Knights vs Penguins Pick

Money Line Pick For Golden vs Penguins

  • Penguins (+130) (4 units)

The Golden Knights look to bounce back from a rough loss but the Penguins are having a great season and with seven wins in their last 10 games, they look to take over this one from the first period. The Penguins, who average 3.42 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Evgeni Malkin, Anthony Mantha, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Penguins, who allow only 2.86 goals per game, should limit the Golden Knights offense with Erik Karlsson, Ryan Shea, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Arturs Silovs to make plenty of big saves. The Penguins should win the game and provide great odds in the process as home Underdogs.

Take the Penguins money line as home Underdogs.

Over/Under Pick For Golden Knights vs Penguins

  • Under 6 (5 Units)

The Golden Knights and Penguins are led by great offenses, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Golden Knights, who average 3.36 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Penguins, who have scored 15 goals in their last four games, should run u pthe score against the Golden Knights, who have allowed seven goals in their last two games, with Evgeni Malkin, Anthony Mantha, Bryan Rust, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes as Erik Karlsson fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Over on 6.5 goals.

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