Vegas Golden Knights vs. Tampa Bay Lightning, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, October 26, 2025
The Vegas Golden Knights face the Tampa Bay Lightning with both teams on opposite ends of the standings to start the season. The Golden Knights are 5-0-2 and have the best record in the Pacific Division while the Lightning are 1-4-2 and have the worst record in the Eastern Conference. Who will win this game? Check out our Golden Knights vs Lightning prediction!
This Game Was Published Before Last Night’s Results
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Golden Knights have been great across the board
The Golden Knights are having a great season with their offense leading the way and scoring 4.29 goals per game. Jack Eichel and Mitch Marner have scored eight goals and 18 assists to lead the top line, but the rest of the offense has also been great. Ivan Barbashev, Pavel Dorofeyev, and Tomas Herlt have combined for 13 goals and 10 assists while defensemen Shea Theodore and Ben Hutton have added four assists from the point to help open up the offense.
The Vegas offense has been great but the defense has also stepped up, allowing only 2.71 goals per game. Shea Theodore and Zach Whitecloud have 1.0 defensive point shares and lead the top two pairings while Ben Hutton and Brayden McNabb have added depth to the unit. The hope is that Carl Lindbom can step up as he’s expected to make his season debut with the Golden Knights playing the second game of a back-to-back and battling injuries at goaltending.
Tampa Bay has struggled on both ends of the ice
The Lightning are having a rough season with their offense struggling and scoring only 2.57 goals per game. Jake Guentzel and Brayden Point have scored four goals and nine assists, but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only two skaters have three goals or more, and opposing defenses can limit the top-heavy offense as a result.
The Tampa Bay offense has struggled, but the defense has also played poorly, allowing 3.43 goals per game. Victor Hedman and Ryan McDonagh have led the top two pairings, but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. In addition, goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has struggled with a .885 save percentage and a 3.41 goals-against average on 148 shots with -2.0 goals saved above average.
Golden Knights vs Lightning Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,570.00 |
| 2 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,223.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,000.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +916.00 |
| 5 |  David Hess | +706.00 |
Money Line Pick For Golden Knights vs Lightning
- Golden Knights (-110) (4 units)
The Golden Knights are having a great season, and they look to take over this game from the first period. The Golden Knights should find the back of the net at will with Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Golden Knights, who allow only 2.71 goals per game, should limit the Lightning offense, which averages only 2.57 goals per game, with Shea Theodore, Zach Whitecloud, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Carl Lindbom blanks the shots on the net. The Golden Knights should win the game with a dominant performance on the road.
Take the Golden Knights' money line as road Favorites.
Over/Under Pick For Golden Knights vs Lightning
- Over 6.5 (5 Units)
The Golden Knights are led by their offense, and this game looks to be a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. Lightning should create plenty of scoring chances with Brayden Point, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Golden Knights, who average 4.29 goals per game, should run up the score against the Lightning, who allow 3.43 goals per game, with Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner, Tomas Hertl, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes while Ben Hutton and Shea Theodore fire shots on the net from the blue line. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Over on 6.5 goals.
The Golden Knights continue their Florida road trip as they face the Lightning who have struggled to start the season.
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