Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Prediction, Saturday, February 28, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Washington Capitals face the Montreal Canadiens with both teams looking to improve in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. The Capitals have a 30-23-7 record and are only four points out of a wild card spot while the Canadiens are 32-17-9 and in third place in the Atlantic Division. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Capitals vs Canadiens prediction!
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Capitals are led by a great defense
The Capitals are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.18 goals per game. Tom Wilson and Alexander Ovechkin have scored 45 goals and 52 assists while Dylan Strome and Aliakei Protas have combined for 36 goals and 51 assists to give the Capitals multiple great forward lines.
The offense has stepped up but the defense has also been great, allowing only 2.88 goals per game. Jakob Chychrun and Matt Roy have combined for 7.9 defensive point shares while John Carlson and Martin Fehervary have combined for 6.3 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. The hope is that goaltender Charlie Lindgren improves as he’s had a rough stretch, allowing 14 goals in his last three starts.
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Key injury report for Capitals
- No key injuries to report.
Montreal is led by a great offense
The Canadiens are having a great season with their offense leading the way, scoring 3.45 goals per game. Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, and Ivan Demidov have scored 63 goals and 107 assists while defensemen Lane Hutson and Noah Dobson have added 22 goals and 77 assists from the point to put the offense over the top.
The offense has been incredible but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.22 goals per game, including four goals in the last game. Lane Hutson and Mike Matheson have combined for 7.6 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to generate pressure on the goaltenders. Additionally, goaltender Jakub Dobes has struggled in his latest starts, allowing nine goals in the last three.
Key injury report for Canadiens
- No key injuries to report.
Capitals vs Canadiens Pick
Money Line Pick For Capitals vs Canadiens
- Capitals (+130) (4 units)
The Canadiens look to bounce back from a rough loss and defeat a team playing the second game of a back-to-back. The problem is that the Capitals are on a roll, and I see them taking over this one from the first period. The Capitals should create plenty of scoring chances against the Canadiens, who allow 3.22 goals per game, with Tom Wilson, Alexander Ovechkin, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and finding open shots in the faceoff circles and the slot. The Capitals, who allow only 2.88 goals per game, should limit the Canadiens offense with Jakob Chychrun, Matt Roy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Charlie Lindgren to step up and make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs.
Take the Capitals money line as road Underdogs.
Over/Under Pick For Capitals vs Canadiens
- Over 6.5 (5 Units)
This is a high total but with both teams playing great on the offensive end, I see this game being a high-scoring one from the first period. The Canadiens, who average 3.45 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, and the rest of the forward unit moving the puck around in the offensive zone while Lane Hutson and Noah Dobson fire shots on the net from the blue line. The Capitals, who average 3.18 goals per game, should run up the score against the Canadiens, who allowed four goals in their last game, with Tom Wilson, Alexander Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with effective puck movement to overwhelm the Canadiens defense. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.
Take the Over on 6.5 goals
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