Washington Capitals vs Nashville Predators Pick and Prediction for Sunday January 11 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/11/2026, 06:10 AM ET
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The Washington Capitals travel to Bridgestone Arena to take on the Nashville Predators on Sunday, January 11, 2026.1 This 7:00 PM EST matchup on ESPN+ features a Capitals squad looking for their first set of consecutive wins in over a month following a dominant 5-1 victory in Chicago on Friday. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on the full slate of NHL action, be sure to check out the latest free NHL picks over at Winners and Whiners.

Washington Capitals: Top-Line Decisions and Road Form

The Capitals (23-16-6) have maintained a strong position in the Metropolitan Division but have lacked consistency lately.2 Statistically, Washington is efficient, averaging 3.29 goals per game while allowing 2.78. Their success on this road trip has been bolstered by a power play that, while currently at 15.0%, has shown flashes of high-end production behind the continued chase for history by Alex Ovechkin.

The roster headlines are centered on the potential return of Tom Wilson. Wilson is currently on Injured Reserve (retroactive to Jan.3 3), but he is eligible to return Sunday. He skated in a non-contact jersey earlier this week and accompanied the team on this trip, making him a likely game-time decision. The team remains without Pierre-Luc Dubois, who is sidelined long-term. In net, Logan Thompson is the expected starter; he has been the backbone of the Capitals' season with a 2.35 GAA and a stellar .916 SV%.

Nashville Predators: Searching for Offensive Rhythm

The Predators (20-19-4) return home after a mixed road trip, most recently securing a tight 2-1 shootout win over the Islanders. Nashville has struggled to find a consistent offensive spark this year, averaging just 2.77 goals per game, though their defense has kept them in the hunt by allowing 3.33 goals against. Their penalty kill remains a strength at 81.7%, which will be vital against Washington’s veteran shooters.

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Nashville’s lineup remains shorthanded as star winger Jonathan Marchessault is OUT and will miss his 11th straight game with a lower-body injury. Despite being labeled day-to-day for weeks, he has yet to return to full practice. In the crease, Juuse Saros remains the workhorse with a 2.96 GAA and .897 SV%.6 The Predators will look to Ryan O’Reilly and Steven Stamkos to carry the offensive load against a Capitals defense that has been prone to allowing high-danger chances in transition.

Washington Capitals vs. Nashville Predators Prediction

The Capitals enter with the better statistical profile and the momentum of a dominant win, but Nashville’s ability to grind out low-scoring home games makes this a tight matchup.

Washington Capitals vs. Nashville Predators ATS Pick

  • Pick: Washington Capitals -1.5 (+170)

Washington’s depth has proven more reliable than Nashville’s top-heavy attack, especially with Marchessault sidelined. If Tom Wilson returns to the lineup, the Capitals gain a massive physical and offensive boost. Logan Thompson has consistently outplayed Juuse Saros this season, and with the Capitals' ability to strike quickly—as seen in their three-goal first period in Chicago—they are well-positioned to cover the spread with a late empty-netter.

Washington Capitals vs. Nashville Predators Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 5.5 (+114)

Both teams are leaning on high-end goaltending to mask defensive inconsistencies. Washington has seen the Under hit in several recent road contests, and Nashville has struggled to score more than two goals in four of their last five games. Expect a 3-1 or 3-2 defensive struggle where both Thompson and Saros trade big saves, keeping the total under the 5.5 mark.

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