Washington Capitals vs. New York Islanders, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, October 11, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 10/11/2025, 03:03 AM ET
Washington Capitals vs New York Islander predictions
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The Washington Capitals face the New York Islanders in a Metropolitan Division matchup. The Capitals had the best record in the Eastern Conference last season but are coming off a 3-1 loss on opening night, while the Islanders are looking to improve after losing their first game 4-3. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Capitals vs Islanders prediction!

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Washington hopes offense wakes up

The Capitals are looking to rebound after scoring only one goal in their opening night game at home. Tom Wilson scored a goal,  but the rest of the offense struggled. The hope is that all-time leading goal scorer Alexander Ovechkin starts finding the back of the net, as he scored 43 goals last season and is the greatest scorer in league history, but didn’t do much in the recent game. He was limited in the preseason due to an injury so he's trying to find his way back into hockey shape.

The offense struggled but the defense was a bright spot, allowing only three goals, with one coming with the net empty. Jakob Chychrun and John Carlson led the top two pairings while Rasmus Sandin and Trevor van Riemsdyk added depth to the unit, creating turnovers in all three zones and limiting shots on the net. Moreover, goaltender Logan Thompson looked great as he stopped 19 of the 21 shots he faced.

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Islanders look to bounce back on defense

The Islanders stumbled in their first game despite their offense stepping up and scoring three goals. Jonathan Drouin, Maxim Shabonov, and Kyle Palmieri scored three goals but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Mathew Barzal and Simon Holmstrom contributed two assists while defensemen Scott Mayfield and Matthew Schaefer added two assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense was great but the defense let the Islanders down, allowing four goals in the loss. Alexander Romanov and Anthony DeAngelo led the top pair but the rest of the unit struggled, allowing easy scoring chances throughout the game. Moreover, goaltender Ilya Sorokin struggled in the game, allowing four goals on only 28 shots.

Capitals vs Islanders Pick

Money Line Pick For Capitals vs Islanders

  • Capitals (-110) (4 units)

The Islanders look to step up on their home ice, but I like the Capitals to take over this game on both ends of the ice. The Capitals should pile on the goals against an Islanders defense that allowed four of them in their last game, with Tom Wilson and Aliaksei Protas controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Capitals should limit the Islanders' offense with Jakob Chychrun, John Carlson, and the rest of the defense creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Logan Thompson to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game with a strong performance on the road.

Take the Capitals money line as road Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Capitals vs Islanders

  • Under 5.5 (5 Units)

The Capitals looked great on defense, and I see this game being a low-scoring one from the first period. The Islanders should limit a Capitals offense that scored only one goal in the previous game, with Alexander Romanov, Anthony DeAngelo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Sorokin to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals, who allowed only three goals with only two in five-on-five hockey in their last game, should eliminate the Islanders with Jakob Chychrun, John Carlson, Rasmus Sandin, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Logan Thompson blanks the shots on the net. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both defenses stepping up.

Take the Under on 5.5 goals.

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