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Capitals vs. Islanders, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, November 30, 2025

By: Mike Fink Published 11/30/2025, 03:33 AM ET
Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders prediction

The Washington Capitals face the New York Islanders with both teams looking to improve on great seasons and wrap up November with a win. The Caps are 14-9-2 and have three wins in a row, plus six wins in their last seven games, which has them in third place in the Metropolitan Division. The Islanders are 13-9-3 and a borderline playoff team but they’ve lost three of their last four games. Who will win this matchup? Check out our Capitals vs Islanders prediction!

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Washington has looked great on both ends

The Capitals are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.36 goals per game, with 13 goals in the last three games. Tom Wilson and Alexander Ovechkin have scored 24 goals and 25 assists, while defensemen Jakob Chychrun and John Carlson are adding 16 goals and 29 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has been great, but the defense has been incredible, allowing only 2.64 goals per game, including only six goals in the last three games. Jakob Chychrun and Matt Roy have combined for 4.2 defensive point shares, while John Carlson and Rasmus Sandin have combined for 2.7 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. Moreover, Logan Thompson has allowed only three goals in his last two starts to build off a remarkable season with a .912 save percentage, a 2.15 goals-against average on 399 shots with 6.0 goals saved above average.

Key injury report for the Capitals

  • No key injuries to report.

Islanders have been led by a great defense

The Islanders have shown promise this season but their offense has let them down, scoring only 2.96 goals per game with only six goals in their last four games. Bo Horvat and Mathew Barzal have scored 21 goals and 22 assists, while defensemen Matthew Schaefer have added eight goals and 10 assists from the point, but the rest of the offense has struggled. Only five active skaters have five goals or more, and opponents can limit the top-heavy offense as a result.

The offense has struggled, but the defense has kept them in the playoff race, allowing only 2.80 goals per game with only nine goals in the last five games. Matthew Schaefer and Ryan Pulock have combined for 3.9 defensive point shares, while Adam Pelech and Scott Mayfield have combined for 2.7 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. Additionally, goaltender Ilya Sorokin has been lights out with 1.9 goals saved above average while allowing only five goals in his last three starts.

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Key injury report for Islanders

  • Kyle Palmieri (torn ACL) is out for eight to 10 months. Has six goals and 12 assists.
  • Jean-Gabriel Pageau (upper body) will miss two to three more weeks. Had six goals and six assists.
  • Alexander Romanov (upper body) was placed on injured reserve. Was a key part of the defense.

Caps vs Islanders Pick

Money Line Pick For Capitals vs Islanders

  • Capitals (-120) (4 units)

The Capitals are rolling and look to close out the month with another road win and extend their winning streak to four games. The Capitals, who have scored 13 goals in their last three games, should find the back of the net at will with Alexander Ovechkin, Tom Wilson, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while Jakob Chychrun and John Carlson fire shots on the net from the blue line. Speaking of Carlson and Chychrun, they look to lead a Capitals defense that has allowed only six goals in the last three games and limit the Islanders' offense by creating turnovers and shutting them down with the help of Logan Thompson in the net. The Capitals should win the game with a strong performance on the road.

Take the Capitals' money line as road Favorites.

Over/Under Pick For Capitals vs Islanders

  • Under 6 (5 Units)

The Capitals and Islanders are led by great defenses that look to make this game a low-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Islanders, who have allowed only nine goals in their last five games, should limit the Capitals' offense with Matthew Schaefer, Ryan Pulock, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Sorokin to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should eliminate an Islanders offense that has scored only six goals in the last four games, with Logan Thompson building off three starts where he’s allowed only five goals and blanking shots on the net while defensemen John Carlson and Jakob Chychrun force turnovers in all three zones. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both defenses stepping up.

Take the Under on 6 goals.

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