Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Prediction, Saturday, April 11, 2026

By: Mike Fink Published 04/11/2026, 06:20 AM ET
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction
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The Washington Capitals face the Pittsburgh Penguins with both teams looking to improve in the playoff picture with just a handful of games left in the season. The Capitals are 40-30-9 and are only four points out of a playoff spot while the Penguins are 41-22-16 and thanks to three wins in a row, they have already secured the second-best record in the Metropolitan Division and a spot in the playoffs.

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Capitals hope offense fuels playoff push

The Capitals are having a great season with their offense leading the way and scoring 3.16 goals per game with 20 goals in the last five games. Alexander Ovechkin, Tom Wilson, and Dylan Strome have scored 79 goals and 98 assists while defenseman Jakob Chychrun has added 25 goals and 34 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense has carried the Capitals but the defense has stepped up as well, allowing only 2.96 goals per game. Jakob Chychrun and Matt Roy have combined for 9.1 defensive point shares while Martin Fehervary and Rasmus Sandin have combined for 7.3 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. Additionally, goaltender Logan Thompson has been great in the net, allowing only two goals in his last two starts.

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Pittsburgh is led by an incredible offense

The Penguins are having a great season thanks mostly to their offense which is averaging 3.57 goals per game. Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust, and Anthony Mantha have combined for 89 goals and 111 assists while defenseman Erik Karlsson has added 15 goals and 51 assists from the point to open up the offense.

The offense is incredible but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.06 goals per game. Ryan Shea and Parker Wotherspoon have combined for 9.3 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net at will. Additionally, goaltender Arturs Silovs has struggled lately, allowing 17 goals in the last five starts.

Capitals vs Penguins Pick

Money Line Pick For Capitals vs Penguins

  • Capitals (+110) (4 units)

The Penguins have won three in a row but the Capitals are making a last-minute push for the playoffs, and they look to take over this game from the first period. The Capitals, who average 3.16 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Alexander Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Capitals should limit the Penguins offense with Jakob Chychrun, Matt Roy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Logan Thompson to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game and provide great odds in the process are road Underdogs.

Take the Capitals money line as road Underdogs.

Over/Under Pick For Capitals vs Penguins

  • Over 6.5 (4 units)

The two teams have incredible offenses that look to make this game a high-scoring one from the opening puck drop. The Penguins, who average 3.57 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Capitals, who have scored 20 goals in their last five games, should run up the score with Alexander Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, Tom Wilson, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence while creating open shots with effective puck movement as Jakob Chychrun fires shots on the net from the point. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both offenses stepping up.

Take the Over on 6.5 goals.

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