Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 8, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an Eastern Conference tilt on the ice as a pair of teams collide when the Washington Capitals take on the Tampa Bay Lightning Saturday night in the Sunshine State, and we have the inside scoop with our Capitals vs. Lightning prediction. Washington fell 5-3 to Pittsburgh on Thursday night in their previous contest on the road. Tampa Bay earned a 6-3 road win over Vegas on Thursday night in their previous contest. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Lightning own a 6-4 advantage, including a 3-2 shootout win on the road in the most recent meeting on March 20. Read more about this Capitals vs. Lightning prediction! Our NHL Predictions are sure to provide a great payout. Check them out!
Washington Trying to Earn Road Victory
Washington lost for the fifth time in six games as they were dropped on the road by the Penguins Thursday night. The Caps entered Friday 7-6-1 on the year and fifth in the Metropolitan Division, five points behind the Devils and Penguins for the top spot. Washington is tied for 20th in the league in goals per game with 2.86 goals per contest on the year. The Capitals are tied for 1st in the league in goals against as they allow an average of 2.43 goals per contest. Washington is tied for 25th in the league in power play success as they have converted 15.2% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Capitals are 24th in penalty killing as they successfully navigate through 72.7% of their shorthanded situations this season.
Against Pittsburgh, Washington had their chances but saw a tie game disappear in the third period, sending them to defeat. The Capitals were outshot 16-7 in the opening period and trailed 2-0 on the scoreboard after the opening 20 minutes of play. In the second period, Washington owned a 15-7 advantage in shots and outscored Pittsburgh 3-1 to tie the game at the second intermission. After giving up a goal to trail 3-0, Dylan Strome got the Capitals on the board with his fourth goal of the year at 9:41 off an assist from Alex Ovechkin. Rasmus Sandin cut the margin to 3-2 with his first goal of the year at 14:55 off assists from Strome and Ovechkin. Tom Wilson knotted the game with his ninth goal of the season at 19:55 with assists going to Strome and John Carlson. In the third period, Washington saw the shots even at eight but was outscored 2-0 to wind up with the loss. Charlie Lindgren made 26 saves for the Capitals, who were outshot 31-30, in the loss. Logan Thompson (6-3-0, 1.45 GAA, .938 save percentage) is expected to get the start in goal for Washington here.
Lightning Looking to Prevail on Home Ice
Tampa Bay doubled up Vegas on the road Thursday night to finish their road trip on a positive note. The Lightning entered Friday 7-5-2 on the season and stood fifth in the Atlantic Division, five points behind Montreal for the top spot. Tampa Bay went into Friday tied for 17th in the league in goals per game as they put up an average of 3.07 goals per contest. The Lightning stands tied for 8th in goals against by allowing 2.79 goals per game. Tampa Bay is 27th with the man advantage as they cash in on 14.6% of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Lightning are 3rd in penalty killing as they successfully work through 89.4% of their shorthanded situations on the year.
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Against Vegas, Tampa Bay got their offense in gear and picked up the road win on Thursday night. The Lightning were outshot 15-3 in the first period and trailed 2-0 on the scoreboard after 20 minutes of play. In the second period, Tampa Bay owned a 15-4 shot advantage and outscored Vegas 2-0 to tie the game at two at the second intermission. Gage Goncalves got the Lightning on the board with his first goal of the year 36 seconds into the period off an assist from Dominic James. James tied the score with his first goal of the year at 3:28 off assists from Oliver Bjorkstrand and J.J. Moser. In the third period, Tampa Bay was outshot 13-9 but outscored Vegas 4-1 to earn the win. Nikita Kucherov gave Tampa Bay a 3-2 lead with his sixth goal of the year, on the power play, at 2:47 off assists from Bjorkstrand and Jake Guentzel. After giving the tying goal 50 seconds later, Brandon Hagel restored the Lightning’s lead with his fifth goal of the year at 4:12 off an assist from James. Kucherov scored his second goal of the night and seventh of the season, on the power play, at 14:13 off assists from Victor Hedman and Hagel, for a 5-3 lead. Hagel closed the scoring with his second goal of the night and sixth of the year, into an empty net, at 19:13 off an assist from Kucherov. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 29 saves for Tampa Bay, who was outshot 32-27, in the win. Vasilevskiy (4-4-2, 2.70 GAA, .900 save percentage) is expected to get the start in goal here.
Capitals vs. Lightning Pick
Caps vs. Lightning Moneyline Pick
- Lightning -145 (4 units)
Ovechkin scored his 900th career goal earlier this week, but the Capitals are sputtering right now with five losses in their last six games. Thompson has been stellar between the pipes, but Washington’s offense has been nothing like what we’ve seen the last couple of seasons. Tampa Bay has gone in the opposite direction, winning six of their previous seven contests. The Lightning has momentum on their side heading into this contest and they are at home. With Washington struggling to dent the twine and the Capitals trending in the wrong direction, you have to fade them here. Take Tampa Bay in this contest.
Caps vs. Lightning Over/Under Pick
- Under 6 (-114) (4 units)
Washington has seen the under post a 6-6-2 mark in their first 14 games on the year. The Capitals have an average total of 5.29 goals per game on the season, and that number drops to a minuscule 4.67 goals per game as the road squad. Tampa Bay has seen the under post an 8-6 mark in their 14 games this season in relation to the total entering Friday night. The Lightning have seen an average of 5.86 goals per game this season and that number slides down to 5.83 goals per game on home ice this season. We’ve seen the under hit in five of the last eight meetings, with one push, and with both teams struggling offensively, this game stays under the total.
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